What the "Dow" is happening?

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Irvinecommuter said:
Another 500 points!  It's like monopoly money at this point. 

hmm...awfully quiet from Trump and his "economic advisers"
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Don’t tell your financial advisor that :)

“More sellers than buyers” - duh ?

“Healthy correction “

“ we are in it for the long haul (whatever that means) “

Throw in a lot of “shalls” and “we” to sound pompous and you are  done !

 
Government shutdown? (Trump threatens to shut down the government.)

Just when I thought the stock market was turning around.
 
eyephone said:
Government shutdown? (Trump threatens to shut down the government.)

Just when I thought the stock market was turning around.
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My prediction and the range still holds for now . Nothing so far has changed that  . If it does , I will post an update here .
 
Been awfully quiet from MAGA supporters about the market lately. I guess they are hungover from all the winning.

Any revised predictions where S&P and DJI end up for the year?
 
Potential Fed hike and mindless Gov shutdown.  Gov shutdowns are bad for business.  So my question is how much of the drop recovers once the shutdown is averted.

And, how much more does it fall once he smashes the economy against the wall?
 
Current asset allocation at one of my accounts:
11% domestic stock
3% foreign stock
2% bonds
83% short term securities

;p
 
Cares said:
Been awfully quiet from MAGA supporters about the market lately. I guess they are hungover from all the winning.

Any revised predictions where S&P and DJI end up for the year?
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I thought it would bounce back and hit 26,000 and change. Whoops.  For 2019 my guess is 4 to 6% higher than 12/31/18. There are some decent alternatives now that provide 3% returns with no risk and given that things seem to be slowing down I think more people will be happy to just sit on the sidelines in cash for all or parts of 2019. Public company results should be decent in 2019, the comps are just harder to beat now.
 
Shutdown don’t think matters as much

But Fed does a LOT

market is basically staring down Fed right now , daring them to hike ...
 
who's ready?

man-displays-a-hat-reading-dow-23000-on-the-floor-of-the-new-york-picture-id862510212
 
Man...thought about buying some Costco stock this morning but held back.  I mean both Costco and Apple are good buying range but with this market...who knows.
 
This is why things “feel “ so bad ... despite overall down 3 percent for yr

Equal Weight S&P -6.2%
Midcaps -9.7%
Small caps -9.1%


Looking at 2015:
SPX +1.2%
Eq Wtd S&P -2.7%
Midcaps -2.5%
Small Caps -4.5%

Here is the kicker —

Trailing 5 year returns:

SPX 55.1%
Eq Wtd SPX 44.7%
Mid Caps 38.5%
Small caps 31.2%

TLT 33.1%  !!


 
Irvinecommuter said:
Panda said:
I think long term treasury bonds is going to do very well next year.
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Rather do the short term ones...3 months to a year.
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I would go up to 3 year . Even if they hike tomorrow , Fed is not going anywhere next year with oil now at 45 !!  Inflation , my foot !

Many of the “rising rates” trades of recent past will now reverse .

For those who use financial advisors , expect a switcheroo now using terms like “moderating growth” , “soft landing” , “end to US exceptionalism” , etc etc. 

also expect many to start baiting you into going into emerging markets now as “rates may remain low for the foreseeable future”
 
Cares said:
Been awfully quiet from MAGA supporters about the market lately. I guess they are hungover from all the winning.

Any revised predictions where S&P and DJI end up for the year?
Click to expand...

Look at the bright side — at least we are spared the agony (for now) of wading through copy and pasted articles from right wing nutjob sites that proclaim “winning “
 
fortune11 said:
Irvinecommuter said:
Panda said:
I think long term treasury bonds is going to do very well next year.
Click to expand...

Rather do the short term ones...3 months to a year.
Click to expand...

I would go up to 3 year . Even if they hike tomorrow , Fed is not going anywhere next year with oil now at 45 !!  Inflation , my foot !

Many of the “rising rates” trades of recent past will now reverse .

For those who use financial advisors , expect a switcheroo now using terms like “moderating growth” , “soft landing” , “end to US exceptionalism” , etc etc. 

also expect many to start baiting you into going into emerging markets now as “rates may remain low for the foreseeable future”
Click to expand...

How does selling bonds early work?  What level of loss do you take?
 
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