tmare said:
I had a math professor years ago at UCI who said that your chances of winning the big pot in the lottery were essentially the same for buying a ticket versus walking down the street and having the winning ticket fall out of the sky and land in your hands. I've never bought a ticket but I think that the dreams that come from a few dollars spent buying a ticket are actually worth it for most people. I guess I can dream of the winning ticket falling from the sky just as well.
I think your professor was just trying to make a point about poor odds, assuming a ticket is bought at all. Logically, a random lottery ticket falling from the sky (before the drawing) will have just as much chance of winning as any other lottery ticket, airborne or not. As there are perhaps a million times (total WAG here) more lottery tickets obtained via purchasing than by falling from the sky, the odds of a winning ticket falling out of the sky are minscule--even next to the tiny odds of buying the one winning ticket.
BTW: odds of any one random ticket having the winning numbers is roughly 1 in 25 billion = 1/((56)^5 * 46)
(Odds of winning ticket falling from the sky: ~ 1 in 25 quadrillion.)
If the lottery gets around $100M or higher, and if I happen to be near a liquor store, I'll pony up for some tickets. I've played maybe 5 times in my life. That said, if I don't post after Tuesday it's because I'm probably either in a hospital somewhere, or off busy buying my own Snap On Tool franchise, a large garage, and a bunch of old cars in need of some TLC.