What if you won the MegaMillions Lottery?

<a href="http://www.newsday.com/long-island/nassau/two-win-mega-millions-jackpot-1.1401927">http://www.newsday.com/long-island/nassau/two-win-mega-millions-jackpot-1.1401927</a>





Well, two people won the jackpot. And neither of them was me. Damn.
 
[quote author="green_cactus" date=1251422172][quote author="irvine_home_owner" date=1251421425][quote author="green_cactus" date=1251421151]Random question ... do you guys pick your own "lucky" numbers or do the quick pick? I'm lazy and just go for the quick pick instead of agonizing over what the "best" numbers would be.</blockquote>
I let ghosts pick for me... or God.



Heh... I think based on previous winners, they say the random "quick pick" has won the most jackpots so I go with the odds. Occasionally, if I have time, I'll pick my lucky numbers. I haven't personally played Lotto in quite a while but this next draw I'm going to bust the "8" theory out and see how it does.



What is the best scientific method of picking Lotto numbers?</blockquote>


There is no best way of picking since it's a random event. However, if you pick common "lucky" numbers the odds of sharing the price increase dramatically. Then again, it's still better to win and share than not to win at all. I've heard a bunch of "theories" on what picking strategy is best. My favorite is the claim that since the lottery is a random event, letting the machine pick will guarantee a better randomness to your numbers. Other people swear by the fact that if you play the same number over and over your odds increase over time. I've picked 1 2 3 4 5 + 6 and called a fool cause that kind of pattern wasn't random enough. Whatever floats your boat is fine when it comes to lottery.</blockquote>


I have collected 10 years worth of MEGA LOTTO numbers. The stat. analysis does show a consisent pattern with a band error of 3 numbers. I'm afraid though that it just isn't quite bit enought to be a consistent winner.



Anyways good luck

-bix
 
[quote author="biscuitninja" date=1251610528][quote author="green_cactus" date=1251422172][quote author="irvine_home_owner" date=1251421425][quote author="green_cactus" date=1251421151]Random question ... do you guys pick your own "lucky" numbers or do the quick pick? I'm lazy and just go for the quick pick instead of agonizing over what the "best" numbers would be.</blockquote>
I let ghosts pick for me... or God.



Heh... I think based on previous winners, they say the random "quick pick" has won the most jackpots so I go with the odds. Occasionally, if I have time, I'll pick my lucky numbers. I haven't personally played Lotto in quite a while but this next draw I'm going to bust the "8" theory out and see how it does.



What is the best scientific method of picking Lotto numbers?</blockquote>


There is no best way of picking since it's a random event. However, if you pick common "lucky" numbers the odds of sharing the price increase dramatically. Then again, it's still better to win and share than not to win at all. I've heard a bunch of "theories" on what picking strategy is best. My favorite is the claim that since the lottery is a random event, letting the machine pick will guarantee a better randomness to your numbers. Other people swear by the fact that if you play the same number over and over your odds increase over time. I've picked 1 2 3 4 5 + 6 and called a fool cause that kind of pattern wasn't random enough. Whatever floats your boat is fine when it comes to lottery.</blockquote>


I have collected 10 years worth of MEGA LOTTO numbers. The stat. analysis does show a consisent pattern with a band error of 3 numbers. I'm afraid though that it just isn't quite bit enought to be a consistent winner.



Anyways good luck

-bix</blockquote>


Likely variance due to the smallish sample size. In poker, the standard is 50K hands to get a true baseline and take out the noise (!).
 
[quote author="acpme" date=1251464079][boost post count]</blockquote>


SCMan is probably the winner of the "give everyone a reason to be a post whore" contest. I guess now that he posted his lottery wish list, he'd better start posting a lot more, we have it in writing. I really wish I believed he was going to win, but you'd see lots of crazy a** posts from me if I did. In the area of crazy posts, you can't beat the entertainment Graph, no_vas and Awgee have provided lately in another thread, I hope you guys are having fun with the newbies.
 
<a href="http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/this-britain/scientist-banker-my-little-pony-fanatic-958709.html">http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/this-britain/scientist-banker-my-little-pony-fanatic-958709.html</a>



I know a lot of grown women back home who collect Barbies. For a while there, I collected casino chips and vintage auto racing posters. I kinda quit, so I got a lot of respect for you....
 
[quote author="GraceOMalley" date=1251435413]OH YES. I FORGOT. Id buy some air conditioning.</blockquote>


I just caught this. You guys don't have AC?
 
[quote author="irvine_home_owner" date=1251633652]Maybe momopi won it:

<blockquote>

Mega Millions Jackpot ticket(s) were sold at:

KIM KY NOODLE

1108 S SAN GABRIEL BL

SAN GABRIEL, 91776

</blockquote></blockquote>


@_@ I have yet to eat at that noodle restaurant, nor have I ever seen lotto tickets sold at noodle restaurants...!
 
[quote author="no_vaseline" date=1251633553]<a href="http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/this-britain/scientist-banker-my-little-pony-fanatic-958709.html">http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/this-britain/scientist-banker-my-little-pony-fanatic-958709.html</a>



I know a lot of grown women back home who collect Barbies. For a while there, I collected casino chips and vintage auto racing posters. I kinda quit, so I got a lot of respect for you....</blockquote>


Like I was saying:



<blockquote>None of them worth as much as the Holy Grail of My Little Pony hunting, a Greek one in an Easter egg that sold for ?1,000 on eBay last year.</blockquote>


Other than that one, I own all the ponies mentioned in the article. I have one of the world's largest collections. Top 2% or so.
 
[quote author="irvine_home_owner" date=1251442313][quote author="caycifish" date=1251439990]

<blockquote><span style="color: blue;"><span style="font-size: 14px;"><strong>while (!(succeed = try()));</strong></span></span></blockquote>


I fear the infinite loop.



function boolean try(){

boolean success = false;

if(Cayci.isAtOffice() == true){

success = Cayci.askHowToDoIt();

}else{

success = Cayci.call();

}

if(!success){

wait();

return try();

}

return success;

}</blockquote>
NERDS! NERDS! NERDS!

<img src="http://i26.tinypic.com/rkd1jm.jpg" alt="" /></blockquote>


<img src="http://www.dailyhaha.com/_pics/talk_nerdy_to_me.jpg" alt="" />
 
[quote author="no_vaseline" date=1251633846][quote author="GraceOMalley" date=1251435413]OH YES. I FORGOT. Id buy some air conditioning.</blockquote>


I just caught this. You guys don't have AC?</blockquote>


Nope and let me just say... the last few days have sucked out loud.
 
[quote author="bkshopr" date=1251507713][quote author="usctrojanman29" date=1251451876]If I won the MegaMillions Lottery I would do the following:



Buy a home for mom and one for my dad along with some nice cars

Put most of it away but donate a good amount to some worthwhile charities

Buy a decent home for myself and buy one for each of my current buyers

Buy Graph a pimp home in North Tustin

Payoff BK's mortgage

Buy a home for IR in Irvine

Buy a Bentley for IR2 so he can drive his clients around in style

Buy a home for all the other members who have more posts than I do</blockquote>


I am in good standing. He will pay off my mortgage and buys me another house. The rate that he has been posting I might just fall behind in post count and just end up with paying off my mortgage which I will be more than grateful and not to get too greedy here.



Thank you Trojan.



I have been preparing my list and I want to include buying you a mail order beauty from each exotic Asian country. I know you like Asian women but the ones here make you carry their purse.</blockquote>


Dude. BUYING someone a wife is just... blargle.



<img src="http://i134.photobucket.com/albums/q87/webgerl/prince.gif" alt="" />
 
[quote author="GraceOMalley" date=1251637972][quote author="no_vaseline" date=1251633846][quote author="GraceOMalley" date=1251435413]OH YES. I FORGOT. Id buy some air conditioning.</blockquote>


I just caught this. You guys don't have AC?</blockquote>


Nope and let me just say... the last few days have sucked out loud.</blockquote>


Many of the older nice homes in Floral Park and Park Santiago don't have air. Ours didn't have air when we bought it over 5 years ago. I've pretty much determined that older people are much tougher and not as spoiled as me because they seem to tolerate the heat and they don't mind. I lived through one summer with a wall unit in the family room and a window unit in the bedroom before I'd had enough. My AC runs most of the time during the summer. Growing up in Costa Mesa has a bit to do with it also.
 
[quote author="usctrojanman29" date=1251451876]If I won the MegaMillions Lottery I would do the following:



Buy a home for mom and one for my dad along with some nice cars

Put most of it away but donate a good amount to some worthwhile charities

<strong>Buy a decent home for myself and buy one for each of my current buyers</strong>

Buy Graph a pimp home in North Tustin

Payoff BK's mortgage

Buy a home for IR in Irvine

Buy a Bentley for IR2 so he can drive his clients around in style

Buy a home for all the other members who have more posts than I do</blockquote>


Hell Yeah! :) I had to make sure I quoted this one so T can't go back and edited it later.
 
[quote author="tmare" date=1251672792][quote author="GraceOMalley" date=1251637972][quote author="no_vaseline" date=1251633846][quote author="GraceOMalley" date=1251435413]OH YES. I FORGOT. Id buy some air conditioning.</blockquote>


I just caught this. You guys don't have AC?</blockquote>


Nope and let me just say... the last few days have sucked out loud.</blockquote>


Many of the older nice homes in Floral Park and Park Santiago don't have air. Ours didn't have air when we bought it over 5 years ago. I've pretty much determined that older people are much tougher and not as spoiled as me because they seem to tolerate the heat and they don't mind. I lived through one summer with a wall unit in the family room and a window unit in the bedroom before I'd had enough. My AC runs most of the time during the summer. Growing up in Costa Mesa has a bit to do with it also.</blockquote>


I am not sure if I am the old person or the wimp in this story. This is our 3rd summer without air and honestly most of the time I dont mind, except there are usually 2 oe 3 weeks where its just too hot to sleep well without air.We are lucky that the house has good cross ventilation. **shakes walker and passes out geritol**
 
I need to add this house to the list of

<a href="http://www.redfin.com/CA/Oak-Glen/40288-Pine-Bench-Rd-92399/home/4297014">"just because I can"</a> properties I would buy if I won the MegaMillions



<img src="http://media.cdn-redfin.com/photo/45/bigphoto/134/E08069134_17_5.jpg" alt="" />
 
[quote author="no_vaseline" date=1251633026][quote author="biscuitninja" date=1251610528][quote author="green_cactus" date=1251422172][quote author="irvine_home_owner" date=1251421425][quote author="green_cactus" date=1251421151]Random question ... do you guys pick your own "lucky" numbers or do the quick pick? I'm lazy and just go for the quick pick instead of agonizing over what the "best" numbers would be.</blockquote>
I let ghosts pick for me... or God.



Heh... I think based on previous winners, they say the random "quick pick" has won the most jackpots so I go with the odds. Occasionally, if I have time, I'll pick my lucky numbers. I haven't personally played Lotto in quite a while but this next draw I'm going to bust the "8" theory out and see how it does.



What is the best scientific method of picking Lotto numbers?</blockquote>


There is no best way of picking since it's a random event. However, if you pick common "lucky" numbers the odds of sharing the price increase dramatically. Then again, it's still better to win and share than not to win at all. I've heard a bunch of "theories" on what picking strategy is best. My favorite is the claim that since the lottery is a random event, letting the machine pick will guarantee a better randomness to your numbers. Other people swear by the fact that if you play the same number over and over your odds increase over time. I've picked 1 2 3 4 5 + 6 and called a fool cause that kind of pattern wasn't random enough. Whatever floats your boat is fine when it comes to lottery.</blockquote>


I have collected 10 years worth of MEGA LOTTO numbers. The stat. analysis does show a consisent pattern with a band error of 3 numbers. I'm afraid though that it just isn't quite bit enought to be a consistent winner.



Anyways good luck

-bix</blockquote>


Likely variance due to the smallish sample size. In poker, the standard is 50K hands to get a true baseline and take out the noise (!).</blockquote>


Yes, the standard approved population for this size is 15,000 samples, i only have about 1200, nowhere near enough.



That is with the 99% confidence level. With a 95% it drops significantly, but i'm still many times too small of a population. As for any one strategy, well, the odds are so long, pretty much almost anything is better than none.



The biggest leap though is to play.

Don't play = infinitely no change of winning.

Play 1 = WAY better than infinitely none... :lol:

(but still prety minute)



Take it easy

-bix
 
[quote author="ABC123" date=1251702471]I need to add this house to the list of

<a href="http://www.redfin.com/CA/Oak-Glen/40288-Pine-Bench-Rd-92399/home/4297014">"just because I can"</a> properties I would buy if I won the MegaMillions



<img src="http://media.cdn-redfin.com/photo/45/bigphoto/134/E08069134_17_5.jpg" alt="" /></blockquote>


This looks like one of the reality show mansions.
 
whats the maintenance on a house like that? i know people who spend ~50k a yr on the maintenance of a house about half that size and on a few acres of land. multiple by 2 or 3 times, and the maintenance costs over a lifetime would eat up a good chunk of the winnings!
 
[quote author="acpme" date=1251849401]whats the maintenance on a house like that? i know people who spend ~50k a yr on the maintenance of a house about half that size and on a few acres of land. multiple by 2 or 3 times, and the maintenance costs over a lifetime would eat up a good chunk of the winnings!</blockquote>


That's why, what you really want is to be hired to caretake that house ie. get the lifestyle 98% of the time when the owners aren't there and get paid for it :)
 
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