irvinehomeowner said:
So I seriously started looking at Redfin for the first time in years.
Huge sticker shock.
Has prices really gone up that much in Irvine? Homes similar to the one we sold about 10 years ago are in the $1.3m range. That is crazy.
I searched for a 2/2 condo and it starts at $750k!!
I remember back in 2012/13... prices started jumping and certain people were saying the same thing they always say "Prices have shot up, you shouldn't buy because they will come down"... good thing we didn't listen because prices kept going up. And in 2018 when certain people were predicting a "slowdown"... good thing people bought then (despite claims that prices "significantly" dropped up to 2020). And then during the pandemic, people also cautioned against buying and we know what happened then.
The only reason I wouldn't buy now is if I couldn't afford it (which at these prices, many people can't). But does this mean in 5 to 10 more years... 2/2s are going to start in $1m range and that started detached homes are going to be like $2m+?
In my head, that doesn't makes sense... because current prices are already too high for me to understand.
Look at this thread, every WTF price prior to 2020 are bargains now... that's insane.
Doesn't make sense in terms of wage growth for single early-to-mid career people. It's a real problem. Consider this starter home, a 531 sq ft 1bd condo in Tustin Ranch, built 32 years ago:
https://www.redfin.com/CA/Tustin/2800-Keller-Dr-92782/unit-177/home/5624267
First, find $100k of down payment. Then your monthly payment with a 30 year fixed @ 5.187% is approx $3,130. Even if you commit to spending a third of your income on PITI+HOA you've gotta make $112k/year.
When I was in my mid to late twenties, I had few peers (outside of tech) that were making that much.