Election Predictions - Federal Government
- Thread starter winex
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I would love to be wrong and see the Republicans take the Senate, but looking at the latest election map from RealClearPolitics.com, it doesn't look very hopeful. We would pretty much need to run all of the toss up states
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/2012_elections_senate_map.html
That having been said, I have been reading a lot of details in various battleground state polls, and I have reason to be optimistic. From my take on things, if we take Ohio, then we get the presidency. And Ohio is looking very good if you look beyond the headline numbers in polls. (iow, you see polls with Obama up about 2 points (2.3 for the current RCP average), but if you look at the makeup of the people polled, they average a +9 point Democrat advantage. Considering that in 2008, Democrats had a +5 advantage, and in 2010 Republicans had a +1 advantage in Ohio, I think that polls by liberal organizations are more interested in propaganda and demoralizing the opposition than they are in making inferences about voter behavior)
Just a little down today aren't we? Seriously, check out the economic record of the past Democratic presidents. Economy is move upward slowly but surely. People are getting jobs, housing prices are going up, car industries saved, green jobs coming online, hopefully more infrastructure/education spending to revitalize this country.
Oh, BTW how is the draconian cut-only austerity measures imposed by the EU working out? It?s almost as if cutting spending by itself hurts economies and prevents recovery. Weird...clearly no one saw that coming. Not early 1930s and 1980s US or Japan of the last twenty years.
This is one of those things I hate... raising taxes under the guise of "education". Let the citizens and private companies handle the education shortfalls... local communities should take care of it.
Great...all those kids in the projects will just have to collect bullets and guns to fund their schools.
I guess the markets hated Obama for the last four years when it went up an average of 8.8% a year.
Orange?
I grew up near the projects but my parents worked hard so we didn't have to stay there... and both without a college education... so people just have to WANT to help themselves.
The Motor Court Company
Well-known member
anarchy is not an option 
?
?morekaos said:
I would love to be wrong and see the Republicans take the Senate, but looking at the latest election map from RealClearPolitics.com, it doesn't look very hopeful. We would pretty much need to run all of the toss up states
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/2012_elections_senate_map.html
That having been said, I have been reading a lot of details in various battleground state polls, and I have reason to be optimistic. From my take on things, if we take Ohio, then we get the presidency. And Ohio is looking very good if you look beyond the headline numbers in polls. (iow, you see polls with Obama up about 2 points (2.3 for the current RCP average), but if you look at the makeup of the people polled, they average a +9 point Democrat advantage. Considering that in 2008, Democrats had a +5 advantage, and in 2010 Republicans had a +1 advantage in Ohio, I think that polls by liberal organizations are more interested in propaganda and demoralizing the opposition than they are in making inferences about voter behavior)
A new low in campaign ads has been reached.
http://nation.foxnews.com/pro-obama...ging-about-america-where-sick-people-just-die
A group of children singing the following song:
Imagine an America
Where strip mines are fun and free
Where gays can be fixed
And sick people just die
And oil fills the sea
We don't have to pay for freeways!
Our schools are good enough
Give us endless wars
On foreign shores
And lots of Chinese stuff
We're the children of the future
American through and through
But something happened to our country
And we're kinda blaming you
We haven't killed all the polar bears
But it's not for lack of trying
Big Bird is sacked
The Earth is cracked
And the atmosphere is frying
Congress went home early
They did their best we know
You can't cut spending
With elections pending
Unless it's welfare dough
We're the children of the future
American through and through
But something happened to our country
And we're kinda blaming you
Find a park that is still open
And take a breath of poison air
They foreclosed your place
To build a weapon in space
But you can write off your au pair
It's a little awkward to tell you
But you left us holding the bag
When we look around
The place is all dumbed down
And the long term's kind of a drag
We're the children of the future
American through and through
But something happened to our country
And yeah, we're blaming you
You did your best
You failed the test
Mom and Dad
We're blaming you!
http://nation.foxnews.com/pro-obama...ging-about-america-where-sick-people-just-die
A group of children singing the following song:
Imagine an America
Where strip mines are fun and free
Where gays can be fixed
And sick people just die
And oil fills the sea
We don't have to pay for freeways!
Our schools are good enough
Give us endless wars
On foreign shores
And lots of Chinese stuff
We're the children of the future
American through and through
But something happened to our country
And we're kinda blaming you
We haven't killed all the polar bears
But it's not for lack of trying
Big Bird is sacked
The Earth is cracked
And the atmosphere is frying
Congress went home early
They did their best we know
You can't cut spending
With elections pending
Unless it's welfare dough
We're the children of the future
American through and through
But something happened to our country
And we're kinda blaming you
Find a park that is still open
And take a breath of poison air
They foreclosed your place
To build a weapon in space
But you can write off your au pair
It's a little awkward to tell you
But you left us holding the bag
When we look around
The place is all dumbed down
And the long term's kind of a drag
We're the children of the future
American through and through
But something happened to our country
And yeah, we're blaming you
You did your best
You failed the test
Mom and Dad
We're blaming you!
Mr Burns endorses Mitt Romney -http://thehill.com/video/campaign/265591-mr-burns-of-the-simpsons-endorses-romney
It looks like Vladimir got the message about Obama having more flexibility after the election -http://freebeacon.com/russian-subs-skirt-coast/
irvinehomeowner
Well-known member
The incumbent seems to always have an advantage.
So is winex going to go silent until 2014?
So is winex going to go silent until 2014?
The Motor Court Company
Well-known member
Welcome to Welfare America - self-sustaining death spiral to financial ruin
Irvinecommuter
New member
The Motor Court Company said:
Just a little down today aren't we? Seriously, check out the economic record of the past Democratic presidents. Economy is move upward slowly but surely. People are getting jobs, housing prices are going up, car industries saved, green jobs coming online, hopefully more infrastructure/education spending to revitalize this country.
Oh, BTW how is the draconian cut-only austerity measures imposed by the EU working out? It?s almost as if cutting spending by itself hurts economies and prevents recovery. Weird...clearly no one saw that coming. Not early 1930s and 1980s US or Japan of the last twenty years.
irvinehomeowner
Well-known member
Things go the way they go regardless... I worry more about the House and the Senate than the POTUS.
While TMCC may be exaggerating... I am concerned about the "welfare state" stuff going on... esp Obamacare. While saving domestic auto makers is great (and I believe repaid)... there are ton of things that worry me about the economy... and the financial hit Sandy is going to have... where is that money going to come from?
So... 4 more years indeed... but of what?
While TMCC may be exaggerating... I am concerned about the "welfare state" stuff going on... esp Obamacare. While saving domestic auto makers is great (and I believe repaid)... there are ton of things that worry me about the economy... and the financial hit Sandy is going to have... where is that money going to come from?
So... 4 more years indeed... but of what?
irvinehomeowner
Well-known member
Totally agree.bones said:
This is one of those things I hate... raising taxes under the guise of "education". Let the citizens and private companies handle the education shortfalls... local communities should take care of it.
Irvinecommuter
New member
irvinehomeowner said:
Great...all those kids in the projects will just have to collect bullets and guns to fund their schools.
Irvinecommuter
New member
bones said:
I guess the markets hated Obama for the last four years when it went up an average of 8.8% a year.
morekaos
Well-known member
In 2008, election day was November 4, 2008. The following day, November 5th, the Dow fell 486 points, followed by another 444 point drop on the 6th. The market eventually bottomed in March of 2009 around 6600...then doubled. Economies don't cycle BECAUSE of presidents, They cycle DESPITE Presidents.
Irvinecommuter
New member
bones said:
Orange?
irvinehomeowner
Well-known member
I understand the sentiment... but that goes back to becoming a "welfare state".Irvinecommuter said:
I grew up near the projects but my parents worked hard so we didn't have to stay there... and both without a college education... so people just have to WANT to help themselves.