Just saw this data on OCRegister today in regards to the distress properties.
All inventory distressed Distressed%
• O.C. $0-$500k 6,422 2,861 45%
• O.C. $500k-$750k 4,612 1,079 23%
• O.C. $750k-$1m 1,775 172 10%
• O.C. $1m-$1.5m 1,155 69 6%
• O.C. $1.5m-$2m 623 22 4%
• O.C. $2m-4m 703 7 1%
• O.C. $4m+ 238 0 0%
Cities with highest % of distressed:
• Santa Ana 1,523 748 49%
• Anaheim 1,235 589 48%
• Lake Forest 359 162 45%
Cities with lowest % of distressed:
• Seal Beach 172 2 1%
• Laguna Woods 380 5 1%
• Newport Coast 146 2 1%
Since I haven't lived through a CA downturn like this, I am curious about Graphix, IR, etc's reactions to this. In particular:
a. is the worst over for the the homes under $500K, and between 500K and 750k?
b. I think we can probably all agree that distressed properties numbers are likely to increase for the one million plus range from t his point on. My question is how bad it will get.
I am sure we all have "opinions" on this questions. What I am looking for are "data" based reaction to this - for example if history repeats itself, how bad will it get and take how long?