no_vaseline_IHB
New member
To B.O.
It won't work. But thanks for trying.
It won't work. But thanks for trying.
You are right that it is sentiment that drives a lot of people's decisions, including financial ones. But when people are worried that they might be next to lose their job they slow down spending which in terms slows down the economy more and the cycle keeps going. It's not so much the percentage that is unemployment, it's the high of that percentage that scares the hell out of people. The unemployment rate may be 7.6% but last I saw was that 14% of people were "underemployment" and rising quickly (underemployed = unemployed + those working part-time because they can't get full-time work).wendyinoc said:The only way to solve this problem is to let it fall. Politicians are going to try to give people hope. The news is all gloom and doom. A small credit on your taxes will not save your home. I just wish it would fall faster to solve the problem. What I don't understand even if unemployment is at 10% we still have 90% with jobs. Why is the glass not half full??
US Gov't trying to intervene with the real estate market = Japanese lost decade 2.0 in the USOscar said:Anonymous said:Actually, in my initial example awgee objected to, they saved money. Also, what makes you think if the govt does nothing, it will be cheaper? Both Roubini & Geithner argue otherwise. And it makes sense. Govt income = taxrevenue and a messed up economy makes for a lot less revenue. And if the whole economy gets really messed up - ie. do nothing and let all the banks fail and unemployment shoot up to 25% like in the Great Depression, then the govt still has to fork out for unemployment insurance, welfare, food stamps, more police to control all the increased crime, covering all the bank depositors of the failed banks, medicare for people who get hurt or sick from living in their car or a tent, etc etc).
The intervention isn't just the humane thing to do - it's the smart thing to do as well, and will be cheaper in the end.
Try to follow this: Politicians are being told that there will be no end to this recession/depression until house prices bottom out, so their kneejerk reaction is to try to artificially put a floor under housing. What they aren't being told is that the reason a housing bottom will end the crisis is because the lousy MBS (and derivitives based on them) will stop losing value and the banks holding them will finally be able to stop writing losses against them. This specific politicial solution takes money out of the pockets of *those* people over there and gives it to *these* people over here who can't pay back loans that they never should have taken in the first place in the idiotic hope that this will somehow magically turn the housing market around and allow the MBS to suddenly become worth enough to make the banks solvent, and thereby saving the economy. The problem is that setting an artificial bottom by subsidizing underwater homeowners only prolongs the conditions that created the crisis, with no way to resolve them. Sure, it keeps people in their house but it also prevents them from leaving it, and prevents housing from being affordable again. Additionally, as long as the banks are able to hide their losses, they have no incentive to get off the government payroll, sucking even more tax dollars away from other, more beneficial, uses.
As for the cost of doing nothing... I'll wager that we could cover the cost of unemployment benfits, food stamps, welfare for children, FDIC payouts, Medicare, and extra police until the dust settles and the economy recovers for far less than we will pay for this program, the stimulus bill, and both halves of the TARP combined. We'd avoid becoming an economically retarded nation as well.
Damn right, and proud of it!Oscar said:Heartless bastards, the lot of you.
Oscar said:Heartless bastards, the lot of you.
theBigD said:Obama to Stop Foreclosures
"This will help put a floor on home values," said one person familiar with the negotiations.
Anonymous said:Wow. Well then, I hope you live by your creed then and leave behind more created wealth (and by that, I mean actual physical or intellectual things than you consumed in your lifetime), rather than just shuffling money around, which creates nothing and benefits no one.
Remove restrictions on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac that prohibit the institutions, both taken over by the government last year, from refinancing mortgages they own or have guaranteed when more is owed on a home than it is worth. The White House says this could reduce monthly payments for up to 5 million homeowners.
.Create incentives for lenders to modify subprime loans at risk of default or foreclosure. For lenders that agree to reduce rates to levels borrowers can afford, the government will make up part of the difference between the old monthly payment and the new payment. Participating lenders also will be required to cut payments to no more than 31 percent of a borrower’s income. Up to 4 million homeowners could benefit
Keep mortgage rates low for millions of middle-class families seeking new mortgages. Using money already approved by Congress for this purpose, the Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve will continue to buy Fannie and Freddie mortgage-backed securities to maintain stability and liquidity in the marketplace. The department, through its existing authority, will provide up to $200 billion in capital for this purpose.
Pursue reforms to help families avoid foreclosure. The administration will continue to support changing bankruptcy rules so judges can reduce mortgages on primary homes to their fair market value, as long as the borrower sticks to a court-ordered repayment plan. As part of the $787 billion stimulus package that Obama signed into law on Tuesday, the administration will award $2 billion in competitive grants to communities experimenting with innovative ways to prevent foreclosures.
trrenter said:If judges can reduce mortgages who would want to make mortgage loans? Wouldn't this make those loans very risky. Raising interest rates and limiting the amount of companies willing to make these loans.
Apparently Barney Frank wants to increase the conforming jumbo limit:
US Representative Barney Frank, Democrat of Massachusetts, said Friday that he wants jumbo limits to be raised again - to the previous level, if not higher.
Frank, chairman of the House Committee on Financial Services, pledged to include a provision for this in the economic stimulus bill Congress is expected to take up with President-elect Barack Obama. He also wants to change the way the loan limits are calculated to reflect real market conditions.
"Even if you accept the principal we shouldn't be financing luxury housing; what's a luxury house in Nebraska is an average house in Quincy," Frank said. "I'm lobbying hard to get at least last year's level to be put back where it was."
No_Such_Reality said:Oscar said:Heartless bastards, the lot of you.
I'm okay with that.
An addict will sit at an intervention and scream how can you do this to me. It must be done.
The denial is strong and it's like watching the Octuplet Mom interview where she's obviously convinced herself that she isn't on welfare and doesn't get any Government assistance even though she's taking food stamps, has disability payments for three of her existing children and has the hospital that delivered her current 8 kids asking for a handout.
The gaming of the system just stop.
skek said:I haven't reviewed the plan, so forgive the open question, but in Obama's press conference he seemed to be referencing conforming loans. How much of this plan applies to the jumbo market? To the extent it doesn't, I doubt Southern California sees much benefit. For example, I think the refi option only applies to loans that Fannie and Freddie are already guaranteeing. That would exlude jumbos, no?
NCRC’s National Training Academy provides training and technical assistance on topics such as understanding how to use the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA), fair lending laws, Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA), Truth in Lending Act (TILA), Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act (RESPA), Homeownership and Equity Protection Act (HOEPA), fair housing and foreclosure prevention. Our Economic Justice Campaign sites pilot innovative community partnerships to enhance the delivery of financial, technical, and social services to individual consumers, homeowners, and small business.
Bonkers.SoCal78 said:Speaking of OctoMom... in case anyone cares... looks like Indymac is foreclosing on them too.No payments made for 9 months. Wonder how long they will squat there with the 14 children.