IrvineRenter said:
The electorate will not forget this any time soon. I will not forget this anytime soon.
In short, yes you will. Maybe not you, specifically, but the country will. Or more accurately, it won't take long for the Republicans to regain their standing in the country, if they get their house in order.
It's funny, you start
one thread to compare the hysteria of Democrats when Reagan was elected to the hysteria of Republicans now that Obama has been elected. In that thread you wisely concluded "The American populace is fickle when it comes to its political leaders. If peoples lives improve, they will vote incumbents back into office; if their lives do not improve, they will vote them out."
Yet in this thread you are suggesting the death of conservatism and predicting that the GOP will wander in the wilderness for a generation. I think you were right the first time.
When Bush had a solidly Republican majority in both houses, people were talking about the Republicans having a permanent majority, having conquered the electoral map. Now, less than a decade later, they are saying the opposite. Yet, these same two parties have played football between the 40 yard lines since the 1850s. Nothing has changed. The Democrats get their turn to govern. They will make mistakes. The public will become disillusioned. Meanwhile, the Republicans will regroup and refine their message. They will seize on new issues that will pry off swing voters. The cycle will repeat.
Nearly every mid-term election goes against the party that controls the White House. I suspect 2010 will be no different. What if by 2010 we are in the midst of a severe two year recession? What if some of the very economic conditions that you have predicted come to pass? Interest rates may be in double digits. Wages may be stagnant. Taxes are high. Companies and municipalities filing bankruptcy. Middle class homeowners facing foreclosure because their Option ARMs are resetting. Will those folks vote the incumbents back into office? There are no long memories in politics.
On an unrelated matter, I would also submit to you that conservatism as a philosophy is still dominant in America. The Democrats engineered their takeover in 2006 by running extremely conservative candidates with conservative values in purple districts -- Jim Webb, Bob Casey and Heath Shuler, for example. 2008 had
similar examples. Listen also to the political rhetoric. When Obama talks about government spending, he calls it investment. When he talks about protectionist trade policies, he calls it "fair trade." When he accidentally says he wants to redistribute the wealth, he spends a week disowning a comment that many liberals view as a positive policy goal. Conservative ballot propositions fared very well across the country in this election, despite McCain's defeat. And lastly, in an election that you claim signals the death knell of conservatism, in the
five battleground states that determined the election, Obama did no better than 51%. Do you think that hatred of George W. Bush and the economic crisis was worth 2% to Obama? Can you guarantee that those headwinds will be blowing again in 2012?
The fact is, as Nude implied, Republicans lost, conservatism didn't. Heads need to roll within the GOP in order for us to be competitive in 2010. But conservatism is alive and well, and I look forward to a new generation of Republican leadership who will reclaim the Party and reinvigorate a commitment to the core principles abandoned by the current leadership.