Geotpf said:
So, what does everybody think the house is worth? Looks like it is worth less than half what's she's asking for it at best; possibly less than one third of asking (Cyberhomes and Zillow both think it's worth about 1.6 mil).
Agreed with Awgee... the issue is there have been so few $2mil+ sales recently. The "comps" you can look at are listings (meaning a transaction hasn't taken place).
I'll preface this with saying, I have nothing against Jeana. I don't know her, and don't feel that watching the show can make me claim to know anything about here. I'm basing this on my knowledge of the Coto area.
At $4.9mil she is the same price as Cappuchina Way. They've got 2-3x the yard, much large house, don't back up to Coto Drive, live in a more prestigious tract, etc. I have not seen either home in person, but am familiar with both. Her home is not comparable. I do not believe a buyer would go look at both homes and choose hers.
I had a run down on an earlier post comparing her home to others listed. I guess to throw up what I think might be the 3 best "comps":
18 Palomino. Like Jeana's home, this home backs up to the same major street and gets traffic noise. Its smaller than Jeana's and not on a culda sac. The main floor of 18 Palomino is immaculate and i would say on par with the picture's I've seen of Jeana's home. The upstairs and backyard are a bit dated. Palomino has a nicer front yard. Jeana's home is newer. I'm gonna say, if I'm a buyer, Jeana's got a nicer home. 18 Palomino has been listed for quite some time (almost a year) and is not moving at the current price ($2.7mil).
6 Fresian. Like Jeana's home, its 8k square feet, similar lot size, similar tract, etc. Unlike Jeana's, Fresian doesn't back up to a major street. Looking at the MLS pictures, its finish level appears to be on par with Jeana's... its a matter of personal taste and style. I'm guessing Jeana's home is slightly newer. If I'm a buyer, I say these are probably equivalent homes. I believe the owner of 6 Fresian recently passed away (and was in the subprime mortgage business)... I don't know the families situation, but its probably "equivalent" in being potentially distressed like Jeana's because of her separation. (AKA both potentially have a major family change which is causing the property to sell... not saying either are distressed) 6 Fresian has been on the market for a while at $3.9mil.
I think those 3 should paint a good picture for why her home is not worth $4.9mil, IMHO.
So now, an uneducated guess on values (assuming they want to sell in the next 6 months... my crystal ball only looks that far):
Cappuchina Way... I think it will probably sell at or around $4.9mil. Let's say they talk them down slightly, so $4.5mil.
18 Palomino... I'm gonna guess this home moves at $2.1mil.
6 Fresian... I'm gonna guess this home moves at $2.7mil.
So Jeana's home.... I'll be nice and price her above 6 Fresian... $2.9mil.
There are alot of comp listings I could show which would actually support her listing. (the weatherly's, 5 Shire, etc...) but those homes are not moving at that price. Now weird things do happen (see the Fairbanks model on Havenhurst going for $4.5mil a year ago) but I'm just giving you my honest assessment. My gut says many of the homes in the $2-4mil price range are going to start coming down, and we'll see a few new entries at lower prices.
Delroy