Shooby_IHB
New member
Who is it? Donald Bren?
Shooby said:Who is it? Donald Bren?
Shooby said:It's you isn't it.![]()
Joe33 said:no_vaseline said:Thx Joe.
You hear that Graph? BK was right. I owe both you fools a drink.
I wouldn't go and pay off any bets yet. It is in escrow, the buyer has some due diligence period. With the economic/financial uncertainty, about 60% to 70% of transactions that have gone into escrow in the last 6 months have not ended up closing.
As for price, I have no idea. The lender was insisting that they would only sell the note at par, but who knows what they really did. Right now is just the starting price too. In this market, the starting price and the closing price have been very different.
As for cash flow, the average unit at the property will probably generate at least $30,000 a year in revenue. Expenses will probably be about $10,000 per unit per year. So $20,000 per year in income. They will certainly have negative cash flow for a period of time while they lease up, but this is a deep pocketed buyer that can carry the negative cash flow for a period of time. I am sure they would just capitalize the negative carry and include it as part of their basis.
Joe33 said:no_vaseline said:Thx Joe.
You hear that Graph? BK was right. I owe both you fools a drink.
I wouldn't go and pay off any bets yet. It is in escrow, the buyer has some due diligence period. With the economic/financial uncertainty, about 60% to 70% of transactions that have gone into escrow in the last 6 months have not ended up closing.
As for price, I have no idea. The lender was insisting that they would only sell the note at par, but who knows what they really did. Right now is just the starting price too. In this market, the starting price and the closing price have been very different.
As for cash flow, the average unit at the property will probably generate at least $30,000 a year in revenue. Expenses will probably be about $10,000 per unit per year. So $20,000 per year in income. They will certainly have negative cash flow for a period of time while they lease up, but this is a deep pocketed buyer that can carry the negative cash flow for a period of time. I am sure they would just capitalize the negative carry and include it as part of their basis.
IrvineRenter said:Joe33 said:no_vaseline said:Thx Joe.
You hear that Graph? BK was right. I owe both you fools a drink.
I wouldn't go and pay off any bets yet. It is in escrow, the buyer has some due diligence period. With the economic/financial uncertainty, about 60% to 70% of transactions that have gone into escrow in the last 6 months have not ended up closing.
As for price, I have no idea. The lender was insisting that they would only sell the note at par, but who knows what they really did. Right now is just the starting price too. In this market, the starting price and the closing price have been very different.
As for cash flow, the average unit at the property will probably generate at least $30,000 a year in revenue. Expenses will probably be about $10,000 per unit per year. So $20,000 per year in income. They will certainly have negative cash flow for a period of time while they lease up, but this is a deep pocketed buyer that can carry the negative cash flow for a period of time. I am sure they would just capitalize the negative carry and include it as part of their basis.
It still amazes me that people would do this. Perhaps I am old school, but I was taught that you did a stabilized first year cashflow proforma, and you evaluated the asset based on whether or not it performed in year 1. Anything else was not an investment but a speculative bet on appreciation. These deep pocketed investors who speculate do provide market liquidity. Someone needs to absorb the loss. Maybe 10 years from now they will show a profit and get a 3% IRR. Hardly seems worth the risk.
Joe33 said:As for rents, I would look at what individual owners are renting units at the Bosa property at park place and the Opus property on Jamboree. The upper floor units with nice views can rent for a premium. Also, as it was meant to be condos, I would imaging the unit sizes are bigger than typical apartments.
OC Zed said:bkshopr said:Learn from the expert. There is no residential highrise on the Irvine Ranch. This building type does not make sense for the financial model in OC. If it made sense then wouldn't you think TIC would be all over it ? All builders follow the wave of TIC and the ripple effect influence neighboring states like Nevada, Arizona and Colorado. The risk takers strayed from the formula are getting themselves into big trouble.
Every 2 months Kevin Pheiffer who conducts model home tours takes homebuilders from across the country to tour Irvine Ranch model homes. Architects and builders from the western states maintain a satellite firm in OC just to keep up with latest trade secrets and prototypes. This is the reason why homes in the neighboring states look like a real bad knock off of OC homes.
Tuscan and Santa Barbara architecture is now in Utah, Idaho, Colorado, Montana, Arizona, Las Vegas and the Tuscan plague is spreading in Dubai, Beijing, Shanghai, Indonesia, Seria, India and Algeria. Oversea commissions are keeping the OC architectural firms alive and OC architects are spreading their favorite Tuscan disease. Eamar who bought John Laing Homes is promoting OC style in the middle east.
This is a scourge that needs to end. I was hoping that homebuyers in different locales had better taste than the vapid populace of Orange County.
working poor said:Hey, I lived in Spain for 5 years. I enjoyed every minute of it and would welcome more of it here. Has anyone been to Lizzaran Tapas in Fullerton yet?
tkaratz said:OC Zed said:bkshopr said:Learn from the expert. There is no residential highrise on the Irvine Ranch. This building type does not make sense for the financial model in OC. If it made sense then wouldn't you think TIC would be all over it ? All builders follow the wave of TIC and the ripple effect influence neighboring states like Nevada, Arizona and Colorado. The risk takers strayed from the formula are getting themselves into big trouble.
Every 2 months Kevin Pheiffer who conducts model home tours takes homebuilders from across the country to tour Irvine Ranch model homes. Architects and builders from the western states maintain a satellite firm in OC just to keep up with latest trade secrets and prototypes. This is the reason why homes in the neighboring states look like a real bad knock off of OC homes.
Tuscan and Santa Barbara architecture is now in Utah, Idaho, Colorado, Montana, Arizona, Las Vegas and the Tuscan plague is spreading in Dubai, Beijing, Shanghai, Indonesia, Seria, India and Algeria. Oversea commissions are keeping the OC architectural firms alive and OC architects are spreading their favorite Tuscan disease. Eamar who bought John Laing Homes is promoting OC style in the middle east.
This is a scourge that needs to end. I was hoping that homebuyers in different locales had better taste than the vapid populace of Orange County.
Yes, we need to end the scourage of mediteranean architecture that plauges orange county, san diego, santa barbara, italy, and, most of all, spain.
Regardless of the opinions of people who's architectural training consists of a subsription to dwell, for better or for worse, this style of architecture has proven universally appealing. "Progressive" architecture becomes outdated architecture in a few years and their floor plans aren't accomodating to the tenants. You can't argue against this style from a marketing stand point.
OC Zed said:Wait a second, you are telling me that modern architecture which is (generally) designed towards an efficient, practical use of space and light becomes quickly outdated while thousands of orange stucco boxes which popped up on the Southern California landscape within the last ten years represent timeless architecture for Southern California???? Really? You don't smell a fad here? You don't see anything wrong in one location trying so hard to create an environment that belongs half a world away from centuries ago? You really think all of these wannabee Italian farmhouses feature floorplans that will be everlastingly "accomodating to the tenants"? I have seen gingerbread houses that do not look as silly as some of the monstrosities that have popped up in your typical IAC controlled development. When architecture attempts to be nostalgic, it only results in tackiness.
Only in the land of Hollywood and Disneyland, I suppose.
graphrix said:OC Zed said:Wait a second, you are telling me that modern architecture which is (generally) designed towards an efficient, practical use of space and light becomes quickly outdated while thousands of orange stucco boxes which popped up on the Southern California landscape within the last ten years represent timeless architecture for Southern California???? Really? You don't smell a fad here? You don't see anything wrong in one location trying so hard to create an environment that belongs half a world away from centuries ago? You really think all of these wannabee Italian farmhouses feature floorplans that will be everlastingly "accomodating to the tenants"? I have seen gingerbread houses that do not look as silly as some of the monstrosities that have popped up in your typical IAC controlled development. When architecture attempts to be nostalgic, it only results in tackiness.
Only in the land of Hollywood and Disneyland, I suppose.
Easy, this comes from someone who obviously didn't get my reference to Gaudi. And, I find that truly sad that the art of architecture is completely overlooked, if not known at all.
OC Zed said:I concede my reply may have been a bit harsh. "Tuscan Living" really gets me riled up though!
:lol: