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sleepy5136 said:
You're saying you're not cherry picking in one sentence and the next sentence you cherry pick. You can't make this stuff up man LOL.

Let's play the same game as you, let's have March 2020 as a reference point. S&P was 2300. Now it's 6000. No savings interest will ever beat that kind of return in 4 years. So yes, staying long and holding equities is a victory. Don't forget that rates were basically 0 from 2008 up until 2023.
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I'm not playing a game; I'm pointing out that celebrating 25% gains in the past two months only works if you ignore your major losses leading up to that point.

Your conclusion that "time in the market > timing the market" is not supported by the evidence you presented.
 
Liar Loan said:
I'm not playing a game; I'm pointing out that celebrating 25% gains in the past two months only works if you ignore your major losses leading up to that point.

Your conclusion that "time in the market > timing the market" is not supported by the evidence you presented.
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You don’t “lose” money in equities unless you sell. You should know better.

You also can’t ignore dip buying which will make you more money than any interest in savings. I know your arguments and you’re trying to be slick.
 
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sleepy5136 said:
You don’t “lose” money in equities unless you sell. You should know better.

You also can’t ignore dip buying which will make you more money than any interest in savings. I know your arguments and you’re trying to be slick.
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LOL... Dip buying is not time in the market though; It's timing the market. You just made the perfect argument for why timing "will make you more money".
 
Liar Loan said:
LOL... Dip buying is not time in the market though; It's timing the market. You just made the perfect argument for why timing "will make you more money".
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Wouldn’t staying all cash for the last two months be timing the market as well? No financially literate individual would continue to hold cash unless they need the cash immediately or if it’s a rainy day fund.

My argument was initially about not losing any money by staying the course so yes, time in market is better than timing the market in terms of avoiding realized losses. You decided to focus your argument on MAX ROI based on hindsight data (typical you). So I brought up buying dip.

I know how you operate sir. You love to discuss MAX ROI based on hindsight data. Making an argument just to argue is weak. I’m sure you aren’t all cash these past two months anyways. Nice try trolling but yea I’m done :)
 
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sleepy5136 said:
Wouldn’t staying all cash for the last two months be timing the market as well? No financially literate individual would continue to hold cash unless they need the cash immediately or if it’s a rainy day fund.

My argument was initially about not losing any money by staying the course so yes, time in market is better than timing the market in terms of avoiding realized losses. You decided to focus your argument on MAX ROI based on hindsight data (typical you). So I brought up buying dip.

I know how you operate sir. You love to discuss MAX ROI based on hindsight data. Making an argument just to argue is weak. I’m sure you aren’t all cash these past two months anyways. Nice try trolling but yea I’m done :)
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You initiated the focus on hindsight data to make a point that wasn't supported. I simply pointed it out.
 
sleepy5136 said:
Weak. Holding your positions is a strategy and not based on anything hindsight. Nice try trolling 🙂
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This is literally how your first post began: "two months ago we were down to 4800-4900...."

You were using confirmation bias to pat yourself on the back. I simply pointed out that your backwards looking data was myopic.
 
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