Where da bears?

What is your stance on Irvine Real Estate?

  • I'm still a bear.... don't buy.

    Votes: 9 26.5%
  • I'm a bull... buy now or be priced out forever.

    Votes: 3 8.8%
  • I'm neutral... I just want to find a home to live in.

    Votes: 17 50.0%
  • Other (please post why)

    Votes: 6 17.6%

  • Total voters
    34
The Motor Court Company said:
I am neutral - I think the current uptick in price is due to panic and not sustainable. There are more than thousands of new homes coming to market and as prices reaching pre-crash heights more owners will put the homes for sale.

I'd say that the primary cause is lack of supply (inventory).

Also, in the past couple of years there was this great opportunity of low prices + low interest rate.
 
momopi said:
The Motor Court Company said:
I am neutral - I think the current uptick in price is due to panic and not sustainable. There are more than thousands of new homes coming to market and as prices reaching pre-crash heights more owners will put the homes for sale.

I'd say that the primary cause is lack of supply (inventory).

Also, in the past couple of years there was this great opportunity of low prices + low interest rate.

Yes, the Fed's actions on interest rates has turned the table.  People bought because they were afraid of being priced out forever.  The Fed through interest rates, has now priced them in, forever.

They can't sell because they can't pay off the loan, they can't buy because there's effectively zero homes for sale.  Okay, okay, 2500 homes sold last month.  2012 run rate was nearly 3000 a month.  2012 was still pathetic compared to the pre-bubble era.  More importantly, there's only 2800 homes under a million for sale.

 
i like that - you got priced in!

even if you are an FCB or an SDP (significant down payment, not to be confused with a TDP (twenty % down payment)) you will take a nice loss if you try to sell in higher rate environment in the next 3-5 years. but whether that higher rate environment comes to fruition is the million dollar question.
 
qwerty said:
i like that - you got priced in!

even if you are an FCB or an SDP (significant down payment, not to be confused with a TDP (twenty % down payment)) you will take a nice loss if you try to sell in higher rate environment in the next 3-5 years. but whether that higher rate environment comes to fruition is the million dollar question.

I'm okay with it.  I plan to stay in my place for the next 20 years.
 
same here, I bought in 2011 and do not ever plan to put up a for sale sign...just stay here and enjoy the local markets and restaurants and when feeling adventurous, check out the attractions in the rest of the O.C.  My home value won't matter since I'm not ever going to use the equity (except truthfully a higher value will provide an intangible good feeling, I won't deny that).
 
homer_simpson said:
Irvinecommuter said:
homer_simpson said:
Not sure how you guys can stay put in one place for more than 5-10 years...

Why not?  Kid is young.  I am in a neighborhood I like.

Different lifestyles I guess...  :)

Nah, it's just your age. You were basically in diapers 10 years ago. Right now to you, 5-10 years is a bigger portion of your lifespan than to an older person with older kids. The truth: *The older you get, the faster times goes.* One day, 5-10 years won't seem like so long.
 
SoCal said:
homer_simpson said:
Irvinecommuter said:
homer_simpson said:
Not sure how you guys can stay put in one place for more than 5-10 years...

Why not?  Kid is young.  I am in a neighborhood I like.

Different lifestyles I guess...  :)

Nah, it's just your age. You were basically in diapers 10 years ago. Right now to you, 5-10 years is a bigger portion of your lifespan than to an older person with older kids. The truth: *The older you get, the faster times goes.* One day, 5-10 years won't seem like so long.

Oh ****, time flies now...
 
i really like our floor plan, giving up the size of the kitchen/great room and a 3CWG would be tough.  the only reason we would move is to be closer to family in SD once we have kids, other wise, i dont see the need to move, especially since i dont see us ever outgrowing this place either. once the kids went off to college then i could see us downsizing and moving to a smaller place by the beach.
 
Even though I could be his father... I'm with Homer... can't see myself in one place for more than 10 years... I think it's been 3, 6, 3, 4... and that 6 should have been a 4.

Starter Home: 3-5 years
Family Home: 3-5 years
Bigger Family Home: 5-10 years
Downsized Home: 5-10 years
Retirement Home: Until death.
 
irvinehomeowner said:
Even though I could be his father... I'm with Homer... can't see myself in one place for more than 10 years... I think it's been 3, 6, 3, 4... and that 6 should have been a 4.

Starter Home: 3-5 years
Family Home: 3-5 years
Bigger Family Home: 5-10 years
Downsized Home: 5-10 years
Retirement Home: Until death.

That's the traditional model but you can't really move up anymore.  You can't buy a place and expect to sell it in 5 years.  Just went with the bigger family home and stay there for 20 years.
 
irvinehomeowner said:
Even though I could be his father... I'm with Homer... can't see myself in one place for more than 10 years... I think it's been 3, 6, 3, 4... and that 6 should have been a 4.

Starter Home: 3-5 years
Family Home: 3-5 years
Bigger Family Home: 5-10 years
Downsized Home: 5-10 years
Retirement Home: Until death.

:)
 
irvinehomeowner said:
Even though I could be his father... I'm with Homer... can't see myself in one place for more than 10 years... I think it's been 3, 6, 3, 4... and that 6 should have been a 4.

Starter Home: 3-5 years - Santa Clara
Family Home: 3-5 years - San Mateo
Bigger Family Home: 5-10 years - Maricopa
Downsized Home: 5-10 years - San Mateo II
Retirement Home: Until death. - Santa Clara II
 
homer_simpson said:
Not sure how you guys can stay put in one place for more than 5-10 years...

We're empty nesters ... skipped the starter home, 15 years in typical family home, 5 years in bigger "entertainers" home, now downsized to a small home with everything we need in a great neighborhood with walking distance to shops and no desire or need to move again and will be our retirement home as well ...
 
Haven't been here for a while.

I've purchased a SFR in Irvine back in the end of 2011/early 2012 for a tad lower than 700K. Back then already tons of investors out there tried to outbid us. We were lucky the first time we checked out the house the owners were there. They showed us around. I could tell from our conversation that they indeed loved that house and they didn't want to sell it to investors. Too bad they had to move to east coast that's why they were selling it. I made an offer which my agent thought they wouldn't accept. But I arranged to meet the owner again and personally told them they did such a wonderful job on the house and I have seen over 50 houses in Irvine only this one made me feel I could raise my kids here. By that evening I received my agent's phone call telling me I've got it.

I guess I was pretty lucky again b/c I just saw one of our neighbors (same model) recently closed at over $900K...

I don't think this is sustainable.  I joked with my hubby about selling it, moving into a 2b apt, and waiting for the collapse. lol  Wells Fargo and JPMorgan already reported their mortgage businesses were slowing down this quarter. China and India's economy went down, too. That mean maybe less FCB on their way. But I would say Irvine probably would hold their value best comparing to other cities around.

 
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