RealtyTrac: April foreclosures rise 32 percent

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MIAMI (AP) -- The number of U.S. households faced with losing their homes to foreclosure jumped 32 percent in April compared with the same month last year, with Nevada, Florida and California showing the highest rates, according to data released Wednesday.



More than 342,000 households received at least one foreclosure-related notice in April, RealtyTrac Inc. said. That means one in every 374 U.S. housing units received a foreclosure filing last month, the highest monthly rate since the Irvine, Calif.-based foreclosure listing firm began its report in January 2005.



April was the second straight month with more than 300,000 households receiving a foreclosure filing, as the number of borrowers with mortgage troubles failed to abate.



The April number, however, was less than one percent above that posted in March, when more than 340,000 properties were affected. The March data was up 17 percent from February and 46 percent from a year earlier.



"We've never seen two consecutive months like this," said Rick Sharga, RealtyTrac's senior vice president for marketing. "It's the volume that's surprising."



While total foreclosure activity was up, the number of repossessions by banks was down on a monthly and annual basis to their lowest level since March of last year, RealtyTrac said.



But that's far from positive news. Because much of the foreclosure activity in April was in the default and auction stages -- the first parts of the foreclosure process -- it's likely that repossessions will increase in coming months, RealtyTrac said.



About 63,900 homes were repossessed in April, down 11 percent from about 71,700 in March, RealtyTrac said. But the mortgage industry has resumed cracking down on delinquent borrowers after foreclosures were temporarily halted by mortgage finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, together with many other lenders.



"All of these loans are now being processed pretty rapidly by the servers," Sharga said.



Help might be on the way. The Obama administration announced a plan in March to provide $75 billion in incentive payments for the mortgage industry to modify loans to help up to 9 million borrowers avoid foreclosure. But the extent of the relief remains unclear, with questions lingering about how much the lending industry will cooperate in modifying loans.



After banks take over foreclosed homes, they usually put them up for sale at deep discounts. Nationwide, sales of foreclosures and other distressed properties made up about half of the market in the first quarter, the National Association of Realtors reported.



First-quarter home sales fell in all but six states -- Nevada, California, Arizona, Florida, Virginia and Minnesota -- where buyers have been able to grab foreclosed homes at discounts, the realtors group said Tuesday.



On a state-by-state basis, Nevada had one in every 68 households receive a foreclosure filing, down 18 percent from March but still the nation's highest rate. In Florida, one in every 135 households received a filing in April. For California, the rate was one in every 138 households.



Rounding out the top 10 were Arizona, Idaho, Utah, Georgia, Illinois, Colorado and Ohio.



Among large cities, Las Vegas led the way with one in every 56 households receiving a filing. That was a slightly higher rate than the southwest Florida metro area of Cape Coral-Fort Myers, which saw one in 57 housing units receive a filing.



Cities in California took the next six spots: Merced, Modesto, Riverside-San Bernardino, Bakersfield, Vallejo-Fairfield and Stockton. The Florida cities of Miami and Orlando were ninth and 10th, respectively.
 
[quote author="MoneyNing" date=1242213184]Cities in California took the next six spots: Merced, Modesto, Riverside-San Bernardino, Bakersfield, Vallejo-Fairfield and Stockton. The Florida cities of Miami and Orlando were ninth and 10th, respectively.</blockquote>


If there's so many damn foreclosures in Riverside, where the hell are all the REOs? I swear inventory (on the low end, not counting fictional short sales) is about one third of what it was when I started looking just a couple months back. I'm glad I found a house, because I'm not sure I could find another one. Now, I know demand (on the low end) is up, as long time renters (such as myself) come out of the woodwork, but supply is certainly steeply down.
 
[quote author="Geotpf" date=1242215412][quote author="MoneyNing" date=1242213184]Cities in California took the next six spots: Merced, Modesto, Riverside-San Bernardino, Bakersfield, Vallejo-Fairfield and Stockton. The Florida cities of Miami and Orlando were ninth and 10th, respectively.</blockquote>


If there's so many damn foreclosures in Riverside, where the hell are all the REOs? I swear inventory (on the low end, not counting fictional short sales) is about one third of what it was when I started looking just a couple months back. I'm glad I found a house, because I'm not sure I could find another one. Now, I know demand (on the low end) is up, as long time renters (such as myself) come out of the woodwork, but supply is certainly steeply down.</blockquote>


That stat is for homes that have received a filing, not foreclosed on. NODs and NTSs are up big time = more foreclosures to come. Supply in the late fall early winter should ramp up considerably.
 
So what I take away from the article is that NODs and NTSs are up; but will that really equate to a jump in foreclosures this fall? This was the report a couple of weeks back where people are deliberately missing their payments so they can negotiate a loan modification. The article even says that the Obama administration is providing 75 Billion to help mods. No doubt, foreclosures will rise, but what do you think are the percentages of people able to save and stay in their homes?
 
?Perhaps it will happen, or perhaps the lenders will try to meter out their REO slowly. If they pursue the firesale strategy, prices will drop quickly, but appreciation will return sooner. If they pursue the slow sale strategy, the inventory will take years to work off, and prices will linger at the bottom for many years.?



This is a quote from IR on yesterday?s post. We all heard of this ?shadow inventory?. Sure the bank has all this inventory; but the government is enabling them to simply hold it out.
 
[quote author="graphrix" date=1242216392][quote author="Geotpf" date=1242215412][quote author="MoneyNing" date=1242213184]Cities in California took the next six spots: Merced, Modesto, Riverside-San Bernardino, Bakersfield, Vallejo-Fairfield and Stockton. The Florida cities of Miami and Orlando were ninth and 10th, respectively.</blockquote>


If there's so many damn foreclosures in Riverside, where the hell are all the REOs? I swear inventory (on the low end, not counting fictional short sales) is about one third of what it was when I started looking just a couple months back. I'm glad I found a house, because I'm not sure I could find another one. Now, I know demand (on the low end) is up, as long time renters (such as myself) come out of the woodwork, but supply is certainly steeply down.</blockquote>


That stat is for homes that have received a filing, not foreclosed on. NODs and NTSs are up big time = more foreclosures to come. Supply in the late fall early winter should ramp up considerably.</blockquote>


Re-reading it again, and it looks like you are right, on both counts. Those should be REOs in six months. I wonder if the eight grand tax credit will be extended? If not, I would expect demand to fall like a rock after it expires, increasing supply as well.



[quote author="roundcorners" date=1242368431]So what I take away from the article is that NODs and NTSs are up; but will that really equate to a jump in foreclosures this fall? This was the report a couple of weeks back where people are deliberately missing their payments so they can negotiate a loan modification. The article even says that the Obama administration is providing 75 Billion to help mods. No doubt, foreclosures will rise, but what do you think are the percentages of people able to save and stay in their homes?</blockquote>


I personally know some people who are considering this strategy. Loan modification has significant moral hazard implications. In each individual case, it's better for the bank than foreclosure, but once it becomes known that the bank will do it, people who otherwise could make their payments start missing them and demanding modification.
 
[quote author="roundcorners" date=1242368431]So what I take away from the article is that NODs and NTSs are up; but will that really equate to a jump in foreclosures this fall? This was the report a couple of weeks back where people are deliberately missing their payments so they can negotiate a loan modification. The article even says that the Obama administration is providing 75 Billion to help mods. No doubt, foreclosures will rise, but what do you think are the percentages of people able to save and stay in their homes?</blockquote>


Well... lets take a deeper look into those numbers, shall we?



First, the administration proudly announced that they modified 55,000 borrowers so far. (Insert twirly finger icon here.) Problem is 60% of those loan mods will re-default in the next six months, so really they only helped 22,000 borrowers. Keep in mind, that there are nearly 17,000 borrowers in default or have been foreclosed on recently in OC. So if that number is nationally, how many did it help in OC? 100 maybe... 300 people? (Insert twirly finger icon here.)



$75 billion sounds like a lot of money right? Well, just today, and just in OC, a mind blowing $8,581,100 worth of homes were foreclosed on. Multiply that out by month, 22 business days = $188,784,200. Now if you add in just the rest of California, and $75 billion wouldn't even save half the state, let alone the other 49 states in trouble.



So I think it will help out 1%-2% of the people in foreclosure in OC. I say foreclosures will ramp up, and so will the inventory, because this is what I see happening at the auction.
 
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