roundcorners said:
My questions is obvious, in light of yet another financial bombshell today, how is this going to affect:
1) IHB’s prediction of the bottom? Is it going to come sooner?
2) Is this overall bad or good news for those that have been waiting for the last 9+ years to buy?
3) Is this good news or bad news for the housing bears here?
4) What is going to happen to the foreclosure market? If banks are going to get write off those inventories, how is the government going to sell those homes?
I guess time will tell, as more information comes out today.
Here's what I think...
1) Bottom.... 2010-12 regardless. It won't be until 2020 and beyond until homes begin to appreciate again because it takes the market about 20 years to forget any major crisis.
2) If you've been waiting 9 years...that's your problem. If you had the equity to purchase a home in 1999-2001..why didn't you?
3) Both...good because the easy money days are gone....bad, if the financial system were to collapse then home prices would probably drop another 50-75% easy.
4) Foreclosures will still happen...the second part...wait and see.