My Epiphany

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ConsiderAgain_IHB

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<p>I have had a personal epiphany, as opposed to the less common group kind of epiphany also known as collective experience. In the past I have emphatically blamed the individual borrowers for the Great Housing Bubble (kudos IR for the name). I was wrong.</p>

<p>At 42 years old, college educated, professionally employed for over a decade, owner of three homes (sequentially owned by the way), I have always viewed credit as a necessary evil.</p>

<p>I am greedy. Not greedy to the point of cheating someone or losing sleep over what the Jones’ have or scheduling which day to do grocery shopping to maximize store sales. But I am good at math and I understand interest, and here is where I am greedy. I detest paying for the use of someone else’s money. I have to do it or I would never have gotten into my first house, or bought all the cars I periodically owned over the years.</p>

<p>I went through a stage of just having to have a new M3, a S2000, another M3, several Accords. I always produced at least a 50% down payment and at no time considered leasing any of these new cars even though I knew I would likely trade again before long, because I have such an aversion to paying interest and “losing” that money.</p>

<p>The other side of credit of course is leverage. I do not purport to have the same level of financial knowledge as <em>Irvine Renter</em> demonstrates, but I have a working understanding which allows me to do a cost/benefit analysis on owning a home vs. renting. I know exactly how much owning costs me.</p>

<p>I play the stock market from time to time and understand the interest requirements of margin and short selling (Thank you CW & C!). In periods of euphoric glee at momentarily out-guessing the market, I have been tempted to tap a credit card or home equity to “invest” in this or that, but thank goodness prudence prevailed and I never did.</p>

<p>Not being a prying type of individual, I assumed other people in my general socioeconomic class where philosophically similar to me. Here is where I evidently was wrong. I incorrectly assumed everyone was interested in minimizing the interest they pay. I subscribed to the theory that people would do what was in their best interest, and were capable of making responsible judgments on major financial decisions. I understand there are a certain percentage of those that gamble, but I attributed that to fringe groups.</p>

<p>What has happened in California housing is truly incredible, as all are aware. This is not the result of a fringe group going nuts. Only a mainstream action could have driven home prices so high, so quickly. I have seen the tv commercials for the buy 20 homes with no money down and hey, “look at all these checks I got within two months”. I did not imagine normal people would partake of this Ponzi scheme.</p>

<p>The no-money down mortgage, and no doc loans were great in my opinion. I would never do a no-money down mortgage, but the freedom and ease of it is nice especially if you are juggling two houses buying a new one while selling the old. Our current home, 2006, was financed with no documentation at all. Nothing to show, no w-2s, no bank statements, zip; here’s a big bag of money, just sign here, here and here. You should have seen all the documentation we had to produce to buy our first house in 1998, gezzz, they wanted to see everything.</p>

<p>I hate big government and policies that take personal freedom from me. But the Great Housing Bubble proves people are not responsible for their own actions. Because of this epiphany, my expectations now fall to the lending institutions to enact and enforce policies that force responsibility on the masses. And I find that very sad.</p>
 
<p>Well for me, credit is a necessary evil. I can produce the liquid assets to pretty much buy whatever house I wanted. But when I started to get into bigger investments, there just is not a reasonable way to produce the correct cap rate without borrowing. While some people can, it does expose you(and your capital) to a bit larger amount of risk.... I would rather pay extra to lower that risk than be free of a little extra debt. But that's just me and my receipe. </p>

<p>As for lending, I would not be so harsh on people's actions, the lenders were just as guilty. They produced a product that any financially sane company would frown upon. While the short term gain was tremendous, the long term effects/affects are far and beyond what is resonsible (of course this also goes for the borrower also, they had NO business borrowing FAR more than the could afford). </p>

<p>Anyway I'm glad your epiphany has sanity to it, there are many in the OC who don't even bother to think about any actions they do, and hey if its wrong, its ok, you don't have to feel bad about that either... ha ha!</p>

<p>Oh well, good luck </p>

<p>-bix</p>
 
I always place the blame on the institution.



I never assumed that everyone understand the concept of interest or mortgage. That is assuming EVERYONE took finance classes. I am a college educated person who has to deal with the concept of time value of money/interest all the time, i sat through our finance class in college and it was a joke. It was not as technical as it could have been and as in depth as i know it could get, very fundamental. The different ways of playing with interest was not explored in the intro to finance. After all, intro to finance also has to cover other finance subject such as stock market. That was a required class for all buisness student. I do not know of any arts & science students taking that class as a pre-requisite.



Further more, even if one understand, the institution is letting you buy a house with no down payment, big bag of money for nothing. If someone offer u money for nothing, who wouldn't take it? Yes, the payment will increase in the future, but i believe those who bought into the bubble are short sighted anyways. Short sighed because they didn't consider what happens when their rate is adjusted and their payments increased. Even with the consideration of their house will increase in value, they still have to produce the payment. Granted, some would argue they can sell the house. But selling a house is not as easy as tossing away a piece of garbage. They never considered about paying the increased payment, if they had, they would have realize the payment is not affordable in the long term. Follow up thought would be since the value of the house is increasing, they can always borrow more money and so forth.



Yes, it is greed on the individual's part, but this is happening to a massavie population. Someone was greedy and did this. S/he shared that experience with other, if they were lower class, they were cocntent and happy to have a home, if they were middle class, they try to live like they've got money just like the upper class. Others seeing what can be done, free money, why not? Proceed to follow. The rest is history.



The lender allow that first group of people to borrow for nothing, and when the subsequen masses followed, lender never stopped them. Hence, i think the institutions were 100% at fault.



On this note, can someone explain to me, WHY IN THE LENDER'S RIGHT MIND, WILL THEY LEND MONEY LIKE THIS?



I read on how they package/market/sell the bad mortage etc, but i still can't understand why banks will lend to people knowing they can't pay? And i do not believe because banks think the house value will increase, they are banks, they take a loss if the mortgage default, there are supposedly edcuated expert financial gurus behind approving these mortages, how did it happen?



as a side note, i just had my annual how the company is doing meeting with the CEO where us peons are herded into this big auditorium. Ever notice how projection for revenues/growth etc is always exponenetial? Sort of like they think housing prices will just increase exponentially? as if it will never hit a ceiling? How interesing that CEOs, CFOs etc are showing me a graph that looks like if us peons work really hard the revenue will grow with no limit, ironic, when my company is all about technical consulting of numbers.
 
All the lenders had to do was close the deal and move on. The incentive was on the loan commission that paid out immediately and anything else became someone else's problem. Corporate accounting (and management) is all screwed up anyways. These companies are not running for profit they are running for cash flow and it's not the same thing.
 
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