No_Such_Reality_IHB
New member
no_vaseline said:Attn Knife Catchers: JP Morgan says home prices to decline 44% peak to trough, 58% if we get a 'severe recession'.
Wary Gatts says, "It's in the bag!"
no_vaseline said:Attn Knife Catchers: JP Morgan says home prices to decline 44% peak to trough, 58% if we get a 'severe recession'.
WestparkRenter said:Can someone please explain to me why would this make WaMu safer? Wasn't JP Morgan in trouble and that's why it became a bankholding and not an investment bank.zovall said:
ocrebel said:http://messages.finance.yahoo.com/Business_&_Finance/Investments/ETFs_(A_to_Z)/ETFs_S/threadview?bn=45991&tid=58014&mid=58014
Following Lehman's filing, J.P. Morgan transferred $138 billion in two payments to Lehman Brothers -- $87 billion on Sept. 15th and $51 billion on Sept. 16th. Bloomberg reported that the transfer of funds was "to keep financial markets stable," and to settle Lehman's "securities transactions with customers...and clearance parties, according the [court] filing."
After these transfers, also according to Bloomberg, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York made two subsequent payments to J.P. Morgan: $87 billion on Sept. 15th and $51 billion on Sept. 16th, for a total of $138 billion.
Lehman's bankruptcy court filing said that J.P. Morgan's $138 billion transfer to Lehman was "At the request of... the Federal Reserve Bank of New York." I have not been able to find an explanation -- in media reports or from the Federal Reserve -- of why J.P. Morgan needed to be a party to the $138 billion that Lehman received, and that the Fed transferred.
I'm also unable to find an announcement from the Fed that it was making the transfer.
One could infer that J.P. Morgan was used as a third party in order to avoid the perception that, despite statements regarding not bailing out Lehman, the Fed was indeed assuming $138 billion in obligations that were in default upon Lehman's bankruptcy.
Once could also infer that such an action by the Fed amounted to a $138 billion bailout of Citibank, which was the dollar value of the Lehman-issued bonds Citibank held. Citibank issued a Sept. 15 press release saying that its "role in this issue is administrative in nature and does represent exposure for Citi to Lehman." The statement did not identify who or what owned the $138 billion in bonds.
I hope that more facts become available showing that the inferences are mistaken, and I invite journalists and others to bring any such relevant facts to light.
WestparkRenter said:Can someone please explain to me why would this make WaMu safer? Wasn't JP Morgan in trouble and that's why it became a bankholding and not an investment bank.zovall said:
no_vaseline said:WestparkRenter said:Can someone please explain to me why would this make WaMu safer? Wasn't JP Morgan in trouble and that's why it became a bankholding and not an investment bank.zovall said:
Trouble? Nah. Vunerable.
Tune in next week for "Busto to Robusto in 10 days" by JPM.
Instead, J.P. Morgan agreed to pay $1.9 billion to the government for WaMu's banking operations and will assume the loan portfolio of the thrift, which has $307 billion in assets. The full cost to J.P. Morgan will be much higher, because it plans to write down about $31 billion of the bad loans and raise $8 billion in new capital. All WaMu depositors will have access to their cash, but holders of more than $30 billion in debt and preferred stock will likely see little if any recovery.
blackacre-seeker said:I was reading the Wikipedia articles about the Great Depression and the Black Tuesday today, and was amazed to find that the history repeats itself, here is the relevant quote: "further."[6] William C. Durant [READ-WARREN BUFFET] joined with members of the Rockefeller family and other financial giants to buy large quantities of stocks in order to demonstrate to the public their confidence in the market, but their efforts failed to stop the slide." Eerie, huh?http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wall_Street_Crash_of_1929Highly recommend to read both articles, if you are interested in what is coming in the next few years...
columbussquare.com said:blackacre-seeker said:I was reading the Wikipedia articles about the Great Depression and the Black Tuesday today, and was amazed to find that the history repeats itself, here is the relevant quote: "further."[6] William C. Durant [READ-WARREN BUFFET] joined with members of the Rockefeller family and other financial giants to buy large quantities of stocks in order to demonstrate to the public their confidence in the market, but their efforts failed to stop the slide." Eerie, huh?http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wall_Street_Crash_of_1929Highly recommend to read both articles, if you are interested in what is coming in the next few years...
The FDIC and other protections were put in place to help prevent another Great Depression. Bank failures were much worse during this time and insured deposits didn't exist. We're in a serious financial crisis that requires action (i.e. bailout) but the worst case scenario in my assessment is a severe recession, more bank failures, and higher unemployment. None of these are good for housing. Did you know that Ben Bernanke did his Ph.D studies on the Great Depression? I'm glad he's helping lead us during this difficult time. While, $700 billion is a lot of money, a Great Depression II would have a much bigger impact and cost the government much more money. We're not even officially in a recession so why would you say that what happened post-1929 is coming again in the next few years?
A financial crisis does not require government action. Bailouts do not help. Bailouts only give money to those who have already feasted off the existent regulations at the expense of those who can least afford it, postpone a necessary contraction, and make the problem worse and the end result worse. Government intervention is not the solution. Government intervention is the problem.columbussquare.com said:The FDIC and other protections were put in place to help prevent another Great Depression. Bank failures were much worse during this time and insured deposits didn't exist. We're in a serious financial crisis that requires action (i.e. bailout)
columbussquare.com said:but the worst case scenario in my assessment is a severe recession, more bank failures, and higher unemployment. None of these are good for housing. Did you know that Ben Bernanke did his Ph.D studies on the Great Depression?
Yes, we all know B-52 Ben did his Ph.D studies on the Depression, and his conclusions are 100% WRONG. B-52 Ben has never worked in private enterprise and all his experience is as an academician.
What in the world makes you think that giving trillions of dollars to bankers will prevent a depression?columbussquare.com said:I'm glad he's helping lead us during this difficult time. While, $700 billion is a lot of money, a Great Depression II would have a much bigger impact and cost the government much more money.
Officially? Are you serious? The Fed used a PCE deflator of 1.2% to calculate the GDP last quarter. If you would like to know what an accurate assessment of the GDP and CPI are, refer to shadowstats.com .columbussquare.com said:We're not even officially in a recession so why would you say that what happened post-1929 is coming again in the next few years?