Talk Irvine

General => Economy & Finance => Topic started by: jmoney74 on February 01, 2017, 10:27:00 PM

Title: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on February 01, 2017, 10:27:00 PM
Starting a new thread for stock picks.

Name off some hot ones to help TI members achieve their dreams. Currently I like financial stocks like BAC but that's slow moving. Please contribute. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: qwerty on February 01, 2017, 11:06:55 PM
When you make your recommendation you should put the price so it's easy to track the good/bad picks.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on February 01, 2017, 11:31:30 PM
Got any studs qwerty?

BAC$22.89
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on February 01, 2017, 11:40:16 PM
Ya and don't edit the post once it's posted.

I'll pick: MLM @ $230.50, they'll probably be making the concrete for trumps Mexico wall, and that needs a special reinforced mix at $100 per bag, right!?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: qwerty on February 02, 2017, 04:19:00 AM
Got any studs qwerty?

BAC$22.89

Not right now. I rode up Vale, FCX, PBR and NBR when they were all down. Outside of our 401ks and my wife's ESPP shares for her company we are out of the market. Just seems a little frothy right now. If anything I feel like shorting oil. Any production cuts by OPEC will be offset with US production output.

So I guess I would go with SCO at 32.25 on 2/1/16. It's levered at 2x.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paperboyNC on February 02, 2017, 05:33:49 AM
My investment accounts are 80% cash right now. I also sold 80% in 2007 and got back in 2011. Not sure if I'll be right again. So far I'm wrong.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on February 02, 2017, 07:36:01 AM
My investment accounts are 80% cash right now. I also sold 80% in 2007 and got back in 2011. Not sure if I'll be right again. So far I'm wrong.

You'll be right eventually, the tough part is being right on the way back up.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: irvinehomeowner on February 02, 2017, 09:28:46 AM
NFLX, AMZN, AAPL, DIS, GOOG, TGT, MSFT

Hold until retirement. :)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on February 02, 2017, 09:37:54 AM
NFLX, AMZN, AAPL, DIS, GOOG, TGT, MSFT

Hold until retirement. :)

You really going out on the limb for us.. lol. 

I wish I was more ballsy at times.. although there is the negative side to that as well.  My friend told me to get into AMD last year around $1+.. company is doing okay but it's at 12 bucks now! 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: irvinehomeowner on February 02, 2017, 09:54:17 AM
I am risk averse, so I only invest in sure things... staple stocks and Irvine real estate. :)

BTW: Remember how members here were panning NFLX? Bet they all wish they bought in back then.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: AW on February 02, 2017, 09:58:28 AM
NFLX, AMZN, AAPL, DIS, GOOG, TGT, MSFT

Hold until retirement. :)

You really going out on the limb for us.. lol. 

I wish I was more ballsy at times.. although there is the negative side to that as well.  My friend told me to get into AMD last year around $1+.. company is doing okay but it's at 12 bucks now!

Haha, I just sold my AMD, not because I'm smart like your friend, I bought it waaaay back then when it was around 9-10, and saw it tank

From reading the book Buffet recommends/edit, could always go the conservative route and just put some away on the market/index like sp500 or whatever, and consistently add to it every month or every quarter. This is obviously for the long term, ride the hills and valleys, but overall trend for the next 30 years (or when you retire), it's the belief that slope is upwards and outgains inflation by a lot.
#winning
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: SoclosetoIrvine on February 02, 2017, 10:18:06 AM
Haha I just left the market as well

I had AMZN, DIS, GM, TSLA, FB
sold all of them when the dow broke 20,000

my personal thoughts on those I bought (amzn might hit $1000, who knows, dis is solid with marvel, but I think espn holding it down, GM gives good dividends, tsla with the trump situation might be tricky now, FB hasn't done quite as well as I hoped, maybe due to fake news/VR)

so around 21% gain in a year...decided not to try my luck anymore.  Short term it was a good idea as those are all lower now...but I'll probably not be able to buy into those stocks anymore especially amazon.  I bought the day it fell to $550 or so...I think with the announcement of some competitor (Netflix I think with new shows)

I wish I was more ballsy to keep them forever, but I figure now is a risky time to be investing.

Biggest regret in the past year, I bought 1000 shares of GSV when it was around .95 or so (yolo style)...sold it when it hit around 1.03 since it was so up and down.  Today it's 2.81.... ugh that could've been 300% increase  :'(

I'll probably hold it as cash for a little longer until I see another amazon like situation
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on February 02, 2017, 10:26:54 AM
I am risk averse, so I only invest in sure things... staple stocks and Irvine real estate. :)

BTW: Remember how members here were panning NFLX? Bet they all wish they bought in back then.

Not me... loved in back then... not so sure at theses prices though.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on February 02, 2017, 10:42:50 AM
If you're going long term - what about biotech ETFs like BIB, IBB, XBI?  Short-term might be a little rough though.

I think Citi (C) has quite a bit of room to move up this year to catch up with the other big banks.  BAC is solid though for a while. 

US companies with lots of $$ overseas to repatriate back will be a good play as well.  CSCO and AAPL come to mind.

My non-sexy/value pick is American Eagle Outfitters (AEO).  3+% dividend, 11.5 P/E Ratio and low Price/Cash Flow and PEG Ratios to boot.

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on February 02, 2017, 11:22:20 AM
Sold out of the money puts on AAPL, GOOD, and FB before earnings.  Earlier told sold $136 weekly calls on FB for some extra pocket change (have a stop loss on it though).  Also sold the $15 weekly VIX calls earlier today for .15 (have $20 weekly VIX calls that I sold last week).  Not sure that I want to play AMZN's earnings since they've burned me a lot before.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on February 02, 2017, 12:14:59 PM
If you're going long term - what about biotech ETFs like BIB, IBB, XBI?  Short-term might be a little rough though.

I think Citi (C) has quite a bit of room to move up this year to catch up with the other big banks.  BAC is solid though for a while. 

US companies with lots of $$ overseas to repatriate back will be a good play as well.  CSCO and AAPL come to mind.

My non-sexy/value pick is American Eagle Outfitters (AEO).  3+% dividend, 11.5 P/E Ratio and low Price/Cash Flow and PEG Ratios to boot.

XLF is a good one at $23.  With the inevitable going to happen to Dodd Frank.. financials are a good play and this ETF is safe.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on February 02, 2017, 12:16:51 PM
Haha I just left the market as well

I had AMZN, DIS, GM, TSLA, FB
sold all of them when the dow broke 20,000

my personal thoughts on those I bought (amzn might hit $1000, who knows, dis is solid with marvel, but I think espn holding it down, GM gives good dividends, tsla with the trump situation might be tricky now, FB hasn't done quite as well as I hoped, maybe due to fake news/VR)

so around 21% gain in a year...decided not to try my luck anymore.  Short term it was a good idea as those are all lower now...but I'll probably not be able to buy into those stocks anymore especially amazon.  I bought the day it fell to $550 or so...I think with the announcement of some competitor (Netflix I think with new shows)

I wish I was more ballsy to keep them forever, but I figure now is a risky time to be investing.

Biggest regret in the past year, I bought 1000 shares of GSV when it was around .95 or so (yolo style)...sold it when it hit around 1.03 since it was so up and down.  Today it's 2.81.... ugh that could've been 300% increase  :'(

I'll probably hold it as cash for a little longer until I see another amazon like situation

Hindsight 20/20.  There are plenty of times I missed the boat.  I got into Netflix early during my start of career at $15.. sold at $30.  Thought I did well with 100% right?  lol. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: irvinehomeowner on February 02, 2017, 12:23:12 PM
Hindsight 20/20.  There are plenty of times I missed the boat.  I got into Netflix early during my start of career at $15.. sold at $30.  Thought I did well with 100% right?  lol. 

Just like Irvine real estate. Long ago could have bought some condos for $100k and SFRs for $200k, now how much are they going for? :)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on February 02, 2017, 12:52:15 PM
Hindsight 20/20.  There are plenty of times I missed the boat.  I got into Netflix early during my start of career at $15.. sold at $30.  Thought I did well with 100% right?  lol. 

Just like Irvine real estate. Long ago could have bought some condos for $100k and SFRs for $200k, now how much are they going for? :)

So I'm putting my foot down and gathering fellow TIers to not let a good thing go!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: AW on February 03, 2017, 12:02:36 PM
Good call on the bank stocks!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Irvinity on February 03, 2017, 04:29:37 PM
Any thoughts on SnapChat?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on February 03, 2017, 04:39:09 PM
Any thoughts on SnapChat?

Buy and sell
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Irvinity on February 03, 2017, 04:56:56 PM
Any thoughts on SnapChat?

Buy and sell

IPO price may be high to see short term appreciation? FB took a while to see growth..
As someone pointed in the other post, I agree - no risk, no rewards!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on February 07, 2017, 08:39:19 AM
In general, stocks are at an all time high today.  Do you TI'ers see this continuing for a while or a slow down?  If it's a slowdown, are any equity sectors safe?  I personally think bank stocks are relatively safe and utilities (with their higher dividends) might be a decent hedge. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on February 14, 2017, 10:35:02 PM
How about them financials eh guys?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: B2FiNiTY on February 14, 2017, 10:39:42 PM
long term, snapchat will die. short term is a toss up.

I prefer FB as the social media play. I have a feeling they will be getting into the china market "soon".
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on February 14, 2017, 11:13:27 PM
In general, stocks are at an all time high today.  Do you TI'ers see this continuing for a while or a slow down?  If it's a slowdown, are any equity sectors safe?  I personally think bank stocks are relatively safe and utilities (with their higher dividends) might be a decent hedge. 

I say this every week, then the next week I say the same thing.  Guess I'll keep.riding the wave, shorts are getting crushed.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on February 15, 2017, 09:45:50 AM
In general, stocks are at an all time high today.  Do you TI'ers see this continuing for a while or a slow down?  If it's a slowdown, are any equity sectors safe?  I personally think bank stocks are relatively safe and utilities (with their higher dividends) might be a decent hedge. 

I say this every week, then the next week I say the same thing.  Guess I'll keep.riding the wave, shorts are getting crushed.

I have WAY too much $$ in bank stocks...I'm just being hesitant to pull some out.  Maybe the market keeps going up until Trump gets impeached!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: lnc on February 15, 2017, 10:02:11 AM
I'm concerned but not because how high the market goes up but rather how fast it went up base on euphoria of Trump policy. 

I'm very cautious right now, will hold on the index funds but seriously considering unload some tech stocks. 

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Compressed-Village on February 15, 2017, 12:57:18 PM
Cash is KING right now and in the near future. This run up is full of hot air.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on February 15, 2017, 02:29:15 PM
Cash is KING right now and in the near future. This run up is full of hot air.

That's the problem I'm having with this, everybody is saying that
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on February 15, 2017, 02:35:42 PM
Oh I believe it too.. BUT..  you gotta strike while it's hot.  There will be a run up and then just cash out!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on February 15, 2017, 04:31:44 PM
Cash is KING right now and in the near future. This run up is full of hot air.

That's the problem I'm having with this, everybody is saying that

Yup, I keep hearing the same thing from everyone I know and selling VIX puts has been futile at best.  This is definitely a wall of worry stealth trump train rally.  haha
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on February 15, 2017, 04:32:23 PM
In general, stocks are at an all time high today.  Do you TI'ers see this continuing for a while or a slow down?  If it's a slowdown, are any equity sectors safe?  I personally think bank stocks are relatively safe and utilities (with their higher dividends) might be a decent hedge. 

I say this every week, then the next week I say the same thing.  Guess I'll keep.riding the wave, shorts are getting crushed.

I have WAY too much $$ in bank stocks...I'm just being hesitant to pull some out.  Maybe the market keeps going up until Trump gets impeached!

Sell covered calls maybe?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on February 21, 2017, 12:42:30 PM
In general, stocks are at an all time high today.  Do you TI'ers see this continuing for a while or a slow down?  If it's a slowdown, are any equity sectors safe?  I personally think bank stocks are relatively safe and utilities (with their higher dividends) might be a decent hedge. 

I say this every week, then the next week I say the same thing.  Guess I'll keep.riding the wave, shorts are getting crushed.

I have WAY too much $$ in bank stocks...I'm just being hesitant to pull some out.  Maybe the market keeps going up until Trump gets impeached!

Sell covered calls maybe?

I'm going to let it ride!  Morgan Stanley just put a $30 price target on BAC. 

They also put a $154 target on AAPL. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on March 01, 2017, 08:36:06 AM
Starting a new thread for stock picks.

Name off some hot ones to help TI members achieve their dreams. Currently I like financial stocks like BAC but that's slow moving. Please contribute.

It's been a month since this thread started and these bank stocks are still on fire.  BAC is up almost 11% since Feb 1. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on March 02, 2017, 06:05:39 AM
SNAP iPo is today and priced in last night at $17.

I like Apple because of buffet. Also like Facebook here.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on March 02, 2017, 07:18:09 AM
You guys think snap will pop short term?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on March 02, 2017, 07:56:27 AM
I predict a Twitter-like chart
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on March 02, 2017, 08:22:41 AM
You guys think snap will pop short term?

I would have SNAP on my radar to short....not buy. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on March 02, 2017, 08:27:53 AM
up around $8 on the open $24-$25
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on March 02, 2017, 08:55:59 AM
Time to short
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on March 02, 2017, 09:01:45 AM
I don't think you can get any stock to short...the offering hasn't settled yet so I don't know where you borrow it from.  Also, I don't think there are any options yet.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: AW on March 02, 2017, 09:22:04 AM
no option chain from what i can tell, it'd be horrible if you short it but can't buy it to close the position as there are no buyers and the stock keeps on going up
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on March 02, 2017, 09:24:50 AM
no option chain from what i can tell, it'd be horrible if you short it but can't buy it to close the position as there are no buyers and the stock keeps on going up

That's what you called getting snapped
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on March 02, 2017, 09:37:07 AM
On an IPO i think the only ones who can short in the first week are the syndicate members as no stock has settled till day 3. Without settled stock there is no stock to borrow in order to short.    Also options don't usually trade on a stock till it has been out there awhile (month or 2) so the makers can get the premiums figured out.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on March 02, 2017, 11:30:26 AM
On an IPO i think the only ones who can short in the first week are the syndicate members as no stock has settled till day 3. Without settled stock there is no stock to borrow in order to short.    Also options don't usually trade on a stock till it has been out there awhile (month or 2) so the makers can get the premiums figured out.

No way Snapchat is worth that much.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on March 02, 2017, 01:43:19 PM
Just wait to short right before the lock up periods for insiders are done because they'll be selling their shares.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on March 03, 2017, 07:34:26 AM
I predict a Twitter-like chart

Like I said....

Two market watchers who rang the alarm about Twitter see trouble for Snap

Wieser downgraded Twitter to a sell rating in November 2013 immediately after shares were open for trading. Ahead of Twitter's IPO, he had marked the stock a buy. In his sell note, Wieser said Twitter did appear to be fairly valued, but key risks included "a relatively unproven" advertiser proposition, the prospects of "wild swings" in investor sentiment and government regulations related to privacy.

"There are some lessons to be learned from the Twitter IPO," Wieser told CNBC in a phone interview Thursday. He said some investors may indeed be optimistic about the company's intrinsic value, but others may be following the "greater fool theory" in which the stock's price is determined by irrational expectations.

"A difference with Snap is that I don't know that investors necessarily believe that," he said. "Maybe some do."

http://www.cnbc.com/2017/03/03/two-market-watchers-who-rang-the-alarm-about-twitter-see-trouble-for-snap.html (http://www.cnbc.com/2017/03/03/two-market-watchers-who-rang-the-alarm-about-twitter-see-trouble-for-snap.html)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on March 13, 2017, 07:37:15 PM
Amateur hour

http://nypost.com/2017/03/13/snaps-stock-has-left-a-bunch-of-millennial-investors-under-water/ (http://nypost.com/2017/03/13/snaps-stock-has-left-a-bunch-of-millennial-investors-under-water/)

snaps stock has left a bunch of millennial investors under water

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on March 13, 2017, 11:18:46 PM
Amateur hour

http://nypost.com/2017/03/13/snaps-stock-has-left-a-bunch-of-millennial-investors-under-water/ (http://nypost.com/2017/03/13/snaps-stock-has-left-a-bunch-of-millennial-investors-under-water/)

snaps stock has left a bunch of millennial investors under water



It's kind of sad that even educated millennials can have a lack of common sense.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on March 13, 2017, 11:32:20 PM
Amateur hour

http://nypost.com/2017/03/13/snaps-stock-has-left-a-bunch-of-millennial-investors-under-water/ (http://nypost.com/2017/03/13/snaps-stock-has-left-a-bunch-of-millennial-investors-under-water/)

snaps stock has left a bunch of millennial investors under water

Everybody is looking for that homerun stock.
(I don't own snap)

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on March 15, 2017, 11:22:36 AM
Check out this interview with JCPenney CEO.

"Starting later this month, shoppers will see signs in the J.C. Penney home departments and on its digital storefront for services in bathroom remodeling, home heating and cooling systems, quick-ship and installed blinds, whole home water solutions, awnings and smart home technology."

http://www.cnbc.com/2017/03/09/jc-penney-wants-to-remodel-your-bathroom.html

In general the margins for bathroom remodels, custom blinds/drapes/shutters etc. are high.

I'll just keep this in my watch list. See if this stock gains traction. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on March 15, 2017, 11:52:52 AM
If you want to roll the dice take a look at RAD.  The merger between Walgreens and Rite Aid.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: B2FiNiTY on March 15, 2017, 08:35:41 PM
Canada Goose IPO
ticker GOOS

go go gadget retirement here I come!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on March 23, 2017, 11:49:06 AM
Amateur hour

http://nypost.com/2017/03/13/snaps-stock-has-left-a-bunch-of-millennial-investors-under-water/ (http://nypost.com/2017/03/13/snaps-stock-has-left-a-bunch-of-millennial-investors-under-water/)

snaps stock has left a bunch of millennial investors under water



Now it's looking like a short.$23.25.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on March 29, 2017, 10:29:49 AM
I like Target at $55.  11PE. 4.3% dividend. Whats not to like?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: GH on March 29, 2017, 10:42:50 AM
I like Target at $55.  11PE. 4.3% dividend. Whats not to like?

Wow -- didn't realize how much they have fallen -- Used to have them as my retail stock but swapped with Costco last year -- you think its a good bet to swap again ? 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on March 29, 2017, 11:24:39 AM
I'm not tellin anyone to do anything...I just like it at this price. ;)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on March 29, 2017, 11:26:01 AM
I like Target at $55.  11PE. 4.3% dividend. Whats not to like?

Wow -- didn't realize how much they have fallen -- Used to have them as my retail stock but swapped with Costco last year -- you think its a good bet to swap again ?

Target needs to get their online presence act together.  Their website is awful and that's where the growth opportunities are right now.  That's why Walmart is starting to look better.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: irvinehomeowner on March 29, 2017, 11:51:59 AM
I actually like shopping Target online because of the ability to return in store (esp for clothes).

Amazon Prime is our go to but their return policy is lame because you have to cover shipping.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on March 29, 2017, 12:29:31 PM
It's oversold.  Much of the negatives are now baked into the price.  Not saying it won't go lower but it is cheap now. Walmart at a 16 PE and Costco is fielding a 31. I went there Sunday and it took me 10 minutes to find a space and even longer to check out.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: SoclosetoIrvine on March 29, 2017, 01:08:46 PM
Amazon Prime is our go to but their return policy is lame because you have to cover shipping.

Not the best advice I'll admit but go through the choices for "reason for return" .. there are 2 of those that don't require return shipping.  Obviously don't do it for every purchase but 1 in 6 months for an avid amazon prime shopper should cleanse any bad karma
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: nosuchreality on March 30, 2017, 02:19:19 PM
So I have something I'm bad at with stocks.

I hold my winners too long.  Particularly my big winners, those 5 or 6 baggers, or more. 

What gets you to pull the trigger?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on March 30, 2017, 02:28:33 PM
So I have something I'm bad at with stocks.

I hold my winners too long.  Particularly my big winners, those 5 or 6 baggers, or more. 

What gets you to pull the trigger?

Well buffet likes to hold forever. I guess unless you want to use that money sell it.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: zubs on March 30, 2017, 04:42:33 PM
Buffet likes indexed ETF's more than hedge funds.
http://fortune.com/2017/02/25/warren-buffett-scorches-the-hedge-funds/
I think he used VTI for this bet. 

He doesn't hold forever either.  He got rid most of his walmart position.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on April 04, 2017, 03:32:26 PM
Oops

A 'valuation built on a house of cards' - A fired Snapchat employee wants a judge to unseal information he claims shows inflated user numbers


In Pompliano's opposition on Tuesday to Snap, his lawyers argue that "Snap's outsized valuation is built on a house of cards" that has been "systematically built through a coordinated effort from Snap's executives to personally reward themselves with billions of dollars by maliciously manipulating metrics, suppressing metrics that put the company in a negative light, and even, at times, blatantly misleading professional investors, employees, advertisers, and now, retail investors."

http://www.businessinsider.com/ (http://www.businessinsider.com/)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on April 19, 2017, 12:29:01 PM
SHOPIFY

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SHOP?p=SHOP

Go Long, my friends, GO LONGGGGG!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on April 20, 2017, 11:09:50 AM
SHOPIFY

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SHOP?p=SHOP

Go Long, my friends, GO LONGGGGG!

OWN IT GUYS!!!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on May 02, 2017, 04:37:39 PM
SHOPIFY

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SHOP?p=SHOP

Go Long, my friends, GO LONGGGGG!

OWN IT GUYS!!!

I only wanted to make you guys money!  geeeeeeez!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on May 02, 2017, 04:58:55 PM
SHOPIFY

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SHOP?p=SHOP

Go Long, my friends, GO LONGGGGG!

OWN IT GUYS!!!

I only wanted to make you guys money!  geeeeeeez!

In other words you own it, and you want us to buy?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on May 02, 2017, 05:35:20 PM
SHOPIFY

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SHOP?p=SHOP

Go Long, my friends, GO LONGGGGG!

OWN IT GUYS!!!

I only wanted to make you guys money!  geeeeeeez!

In other words you own it, and you want us to buy?

It has gone up from about 69-70 to 80 since I advised.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on May 02, 2017, 05:48:49 PM
SHOPIFY

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SHOP?p=SHOP

Go Long, my friends, GO LONGGGGG!

OWN IT GUYS!!!

I only wanted to make you guys money!  geeeeeeez!

In other words you own it, and you want us to buy?

It has gone up from about 69-70 to 80 since I advised.

I see

How about ibuy etf?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on May 02, 2017, 06:04:19 PM
I like it. Slow growth. Shop has faster upside.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on May 02, 2017, 09:44:36 PM
Sold $140 puts and $155 calls (weekly) on AAPL before close...I'll go long if it if the stock is below $140 on Friday EOD.  I'll be selling FB puts tomorrow...$143-145.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on May 03, 2017, 07:19:01 AM
Sold $140 puts and $155 calls (weekly) on AAPL before close...I'll go long if it if the stock is below $140 on Friday EOD.  I'll be selling FB puts tomorrow...$143-145.

Tim must go

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on May 03, 2017, 09:14:39 AM
Sold $140 puts and $155 calls (weekly) on AAPL before close...I'll go long if it if the stock is below $140 on Friday EOD.  I'll be selling FB puts tomorrow...$143-145.

Cook is focus on services!  Apple will still be a powerhouse but man.. they need to jump into something that will usher us into the future.  Have more faith in Elon's companies right now.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on May 03, 2017, 09:47:16 AM
Apple should use the $250 billion cash (approximately) for acquisitions.

https://thetechportal.com/2017/05/01/apple-staggering-cash-reserve/



 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on May 03, 2017, 01:29:29 PM
Sold $143 puts and $162.5 calls on Facebook.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on May 03, 2017, 01:30:20 PM
Sold $140 puts and $155 calls (weekly) on AAPL before close...I'll go long if it if the stock is below $140 on Friday EOD.  I'll be selling FB puts tomorrow...$143-145.

Cook is focus on services!  Apple will still be a powerhouse but man.. they need to jump into something that will usher us into the future.  Have more faith in Elon's companies right now.

As long as I keep ringing the cash register selling options with Apple, I'm happy. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on May 03, 2017, 07:42:59 PM
Sold $140 puts and $155 calls (weekly) on AAPL before close...I'll go long if it if the stock is below $140 on Friday EOD.  I'll be selling FB puts tomorrow...$143-145.

Cook is focus on services!  Apple will still be a powerhouse but man.. they need to jump into something that will usher us into the future.  Have more faith in Elon's companies right now.

Are you going to pick up some Tesla? It dropped after earnings.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on May 04, 2017, 07:55:16 AM
Sold $140 puts and $155 calls (weekly) on AAPL before close...I'll go long if it if the stock is below $140 on Friday EOD.  I'll be selling FB puts tomorrow...$143-145.

Cook is focus on services!  Apple will still be a powerhouse but man.. they need to jump into something that will usher us into the future.  Have more faith in Elon's companies right now.

Are you going to pick up some Tesla? It dropped after earnings.

J$ - it might be a good opportunity to get a position
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on May 05, 2017, 09:20:05 AM
Sold $140 puts and $155 calls (weekly) on AAPL before close...I'll go long if it if the stock is below $140 on Friday EOD.  I'll be selling FB puts tomorrow...$143-145.

Cook is focus on services!  Apple will still be a powerhouse but man.. they need to jump into something that will usher us into the future.  Have more faith in Elon's companies right now.

Are you going to pick up some Tesla? It dropped after earnings.

J$ - it might be a good opportunity to get a position

I hope you bought yesterday. Currently it's up around $10 and change.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on May 09, 2017, 09:28:20 AM
Sold $140 puts and $155 calls (weekly) on AAPL before close...I'll go long if it if the stock is below $140 on Friday EOD.  I'll be selling FB puts tomorrow...$143-145.

Cook is focus on services!  Apple will still be a powerhouse but man.. they need to jump into something that will usher us into the future.  Have more faith in Elon's companies right now.

Are you going to pick up some Tesla? It dropped after earnings.

J$ - it might be a good opportunity to get a position

I hope you bought yesterday. Currently it's up around $10 and change.

Eyephone - I kick myself every day.. My sister once told me about this Elon guy and how he was the next steve jobs. That was when it was $30.. now look at it.  lol.  The psychology for me is too hard to overcome but I might dabble in soon.

BTW.. you guys need to seriously look at SHOP.  Was 69 when I posted.. now 90
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on May 09, 2017, 10:32:02 AM
Great call JM, that is a pretty chart.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: spootieho on May 09, 2017, 01:08:51 PM
Apple should use the $250 billion cash (approximately) for acquisitions.

https://thetechportal.com/2017/05/01/apple-staggering-cash-reserve/
A huge dividend bump would be nice.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: ps9 on May 10, 2017, 08:05:55 AM
FivePoint going public, who's getting some
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on May 10, 2017, 10:16:41 AM
FivePoint going public, who's getting some

you think it's a good buy?  When is the IPO and what is the symbol?  pump and dump?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on May 10, 2017, 01:11:55 PM
Amateur hour

http://nypost.com/2017/03/13/snaps-stock-has-left-a-bunch-of-millennial-investors-under-water/ (http://nypost.com/2017/03/13/snaps-stock-has-left-a-bunch-of-millennial-investors-under-water/)

snaps stock has left a bunch of millennial investors under water



Now it's looking like a short.$23.25.

Taa-daaa!!!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on May 10, 2017, 01:28:10 PM
Amateur hour

http://nypost.com/2017/03/13/snaps-stock-has-left-a-bunch-of-millennial-investors-under-water/ (http://nypost.com/2017/03/13/snaps-stock-has-left-a-bunch-of-millennial-investors-under-water/)

snaps stock has left a bunch of millennial investors under water



Now it's looking like a short.$23.25.

Taa-daaa!!!

Did the options open up for snap to short it?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on May 10, 2017, 01:57:33 PM
FivePoint going public, who's getting some

you think it's a good buy?  When is the IPO and what is the symbol?  pump and dump?

FPH, Google Finance doesn't register it yet, you  have to use Yahoo finance to see the quote. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on May 10, 2017, 02:04:34 PM
http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/fph

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on May 11, 2017, 08:34:40 AM
Amateur hour

http://nypost.com/2017/03/13/snaps-stock-has-left-a-bunch-of-millennial-investors-under-water/ (http://nypost.com/2017/03/13/snaps-stock-has-left-a-bunch-of-millennial-investors-under-water/)

snaps stock has left a bunch of millennial investors under water



Now it's looking like a short.$23.25.

Taa-daaa!!!

Did the options open up for snap to short it?

options been around for a bit.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on May 16, 2017, 07:28:47 PM
So bring on the snowflake lawsuits, that was predictable  when in doubt Sue everybody and never take blame yourself.

Snap Inc. Hit With Securities Class Action Alleging Inflated Growth

A law firm filed a securities class action suit on Tuesday against Snap Inc., alleging the company made false and misleading statements about its user growth.
Pomerantz LLP, which specializes in such cases, is seeking to represent shareholders in the company which went public just two months ago.
The suit notes that Snap’s stock price plunged $4.93, or 21.45%, after its first quarterly report last week showed disappointing user growth. The suit also cites the claims of Anthony Pompliano, a former growth lead for Snapchat, who has filed his own lawsuit alleging that the company was using inflated metrics during his brief tenure there in 2015.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/snap-inc-hit-securities-class-action-alleging-inflated-020307111.html? (https://www.yahoo.com/news/snap-inc-hit-securities-class-action-alleging-inflated-020307111.html?)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on May 16, 2017, 08:48:06 PM
So bring on the snowflake lawsuits, that was predictable  when in doubt Sue everybody and never take blame yourself.

Snap Inc. Hit With Securities Class Action Alleging Inflated Growth

A law firm filed a securities class action suit on Tuesday against Snap Inc., alleging the company made false and misleading statements about its user growth.
Pomerantz LLP, which specializes in such cases, is seeking to represent shareholders in the company which went public just two months ago.
The suit notes that Snap’s stock price plunged $4.93, or 21.45%, after its first quarterly report last week showed disappointing user growth. The suit also cites the claims of Anthony Pompliano, a former growth lead for Snapchat, who has filed his own lawsuit alleging that the company was using inflated metrics during his brief tenure there in 2015.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/snap-inc-hit-securities-class-action-alleging-inflated-020307111.html? (https://www.yahoo.com/news/snap-inc-hit-securities-class-action-alleging-inflated-020307111.html?)


True but
I think more of these lawsuits should happen just to curb the robbery of main Street money.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on June 08, 2017, 10:23:45 AM
I dunno, now maybe you go long...

Snap Is Year's Most-Shorted Tech IPO Before Lockup Ends

Snap Inc. is the most-shorted tech initial public offering of the year, with a growing number of traders betting the stock will fall.

Investors are skeptical that the company, which owns the Snapchat photo-sharing app, can grow quickly enough to justify its valuation -- now at about $22 billion -- given aggressive competition from Facebook Inc., which has been copying some of Snapchat’s features. That’s helped drive short interest in Snap up to 28 percent of the free float, or shares available to be traded publicly, according to data from Markit Group Ltd. The increase comes before the first lockup expiration on the shares -- on July 30 -- when certain stakeholders and executives will be free to unload their positions for the first time since the March 1 IPO.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-06-08/snap-is-most-shorted-tech-ipo-of-2017-as-lockup-expiration-nears (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-06-08/snap-is-most-shorted-tech-ipo-of-2017-as-lockup-expiration-nears)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jajji on June 09, 2017, 10:12:24 AM
I dunno, now maybe you go long...

Been holding unit cost at 17.60. Bought it extended hours after it's earnings report. It may retest it but figured it was a fair bet. Even though instagram has copied a lot of it's features to me it's still easier to use.

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on July 10, 2017, 05:59:27 PM
Or not...

Snap closes below $17 IPO price amid fears insiders will dump shares

Snap shares have tumbled from their March 3 high and on Monday fell below their IPO price for the first time.
At the end of the month, insiders can begin selling their shares.

http://www.cnbc.com/2017/07/10/snapchat-snap-falls-below-17-ipo-price-for-the-first-time.html (http://www.cnbc.com/2017/07/10/snapchat-snap-falls-below-17-ipo-price-for-the-first-time.html)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on July 10, 2017, 06:44:22 PM
Or not...

Snap closes below $17 IPO price amid fears insiders will dump shares

Snap shares have tumbled from their March 3 high and on Monday fell below their IPO price for the first time.
At the end of the month, insiders can begin selling their shares.

http://www.cnbc.com/2017/07/10/snapchat-snap-falls-below-17-ipo-price-for-the-first-time.html (http://www.cnbc.com/2017/07/10/snapchat-snap-falls-below-17-ipo-price-for-the-first-time.html)

You shorting?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on July 11, 2017, 07:44:54 AM
Not me, I covered that short awhile ago and haven't double dipped that one.  This does look a lot like Twitters chart though so more downside is possible.

Snapchat shares downgraded by Morgan Stanley, a rare rebuke by a firm that helped bring it public

Morgan Stanley downgrades Snap stock to equal weight from overweight and slashes its price target to $16 from $28.
For the first time, Snap shares closed below their $17 IPO price, which Morgan Stanley helped set.
The shares fell more than 5 percent Tuesday morning.

http://www.cnbc.com/2017/07/11/snap-underwriter-morgan-stanley-downgrades-the-stock.html (http://www.cnbc.com/2017/07/11/snap-underwriter-morgan-stanley-downgrades-the-stock.html)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on July 14, 2017, 01:38:21 PM
Don't want to side with corporate big wigs.. but Dimon needs to preach this further.

http://www.cnbc.com/2017/07/14/jpms-jamie-dimon-blows-up-at-washington-on-earnings-call.html
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on July 17, 2017, 01:27:41 PM
Amazon now encroaching on Blue Apron's space.  Bye bye APRN. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on July 17, 2017, 01:43:00 PM
Amazon now encroaching on Blue Apron's space.  Bye bye APRN.

man I was looking to short this last week.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on July 19, 2017, 09:13:41 AM
any other stock picks ?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on July 20, 2017, 12:51:55 PM
any other stock picks ?

Short Chipotle

Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG -1.7%) moves lower as its recent food safety incident in Virginia may be worse than first realized, with the number of reports of illness associated with the store continue to rise.

As of late Wednesday night, the founder of the iwaspoisoned.com food poisoning website said he had received reports of 133 people sickened at the CMG restaurant in Sterling, Va.

The director of the Loudoun County Health Department, which handles reports of illnesses in Sterling, says his office so far has received ~60 reports of people getting sick from the restaurant but that foodborne illnesses tend to be underreported.

Meanwhile, reports say rodents were spotted at one of CMG's Dallas-area restaurants, with some customers claiming their lunch was "ruined by rodents falling from the ceiling" on Tuesday.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on July 24, 2017, 06:48:14 AM
Blue Apron moving up?  I still wouldn't buy it...


Blue Apron rallies after analyst coverage starts

Jul. 24, 2017 7:08 AM ET|About: Blue Apron Holdings, Inc. (APRN)|By: Clark Schultz, SA News Editor
Analyst coverage launches on Blue Apron (NYSE:APRN) in full force today.

RBC Capital Markets assigns an Outperform rating on APRN and sets a price target of $10 on its view that growth will accelerate in FY18.

Oppenheimer launches coverage on the online food kit seller at Outperform and assigns a price target of $11.

Goldman Sachs, Canaccord Genuity and SunTrust all start off Blue Apron at Buy.

Barclays is the cautious voice of the bunch, initiating at Equal Weight and setting a price target of $7.

Sources: Briefing.com and Bloomberg

Shares of Blue Apron are up 8.40% premarket to $7.10 vs. a post-IPO range of $6.23 to $11.00.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on July 25, 2017, 04:47:44 PM
SHOPIFY

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SHOP?p=SHOP

Go Long, my friends, GO LONGGGGG!

OWN IT GUYS!!!

I only wanted to make you guys money!  geeeeeeez!

In other words you own it, and you want us to buy?

It has gone up from about 69-70 to 80 since I advised.

I see

How about ibuy etf?

When I recommended it was around $33.26. Now it's at $37.02. Online retail ETF
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on July 25, 2017, 05:23:39 PM
I like BABA here long term
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on July 26, 2017, 10:12:08 AM
Think I got the hang of some basic options trading. 

Can anyone explain in Kinder terms what covered call means?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: upon9k on July 26, 2017, 10:51:35 AM
Think I got the hang of some basic options trading. 

Can anyone explain in Kinder terms what covered call means?

You need to own corresponding shares of the contracts you are selling.  So if you are selling 1 contract of BABA, you'd own 100 shares already.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on July 26, 2017, 11:16:14 AM
It is of utmost importance that you like the underlying stock to begin with.  You may end up owning it for longer than you want so you better like it long term and use the option trading to enhance income.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on July 26, 2017, 03:22:12 PM
One good alternative to purchase stocks is to sell at or out-of-the-money puts.  If you don't get pushed into the position, you'll end up collecting the option premium and you can continue to do that until you get pushed into the position. 

I'm not good at stock picking so I just stick to sell VIX calls and puts (to a much lesser extent) because that's what I know and because 60% of all my gains, even if the trade is for a minute, are treated as long-term capital gains per IRS Section 1256 rules (see link below).

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/section-1256-contract.asp
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on July 26, 2017, 03:51:49 PM
One good alternative to purchase stocks is to sell at or out-of-the-money puts.  If you don't get pushed into the position, you'll end up collecting the option premium and you can continue to do that until you get pushed into the position. 

I'm not good at stock picking so I just stick to sell VIX calls and puts (to a much lesser extent) because that's what I know and because 60% of all my gains, even if the trade is for a minute, are treated as long-term capital gains per IRS Section 1256 rules (see link below).

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/section-1256-contract.asp

You gotta show me some time.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on July 26, 2017, 09:02:43 PM
My investment accounts are 80% cash right now. I also sold 80% in 2007 and got back in 2011. Not sure if I'll be right again. So far I'm wrong.

Now is probably a good time to start switching to cash.  Market has been HOT!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: spootieho on July 26, 2017, 09:07:20 PM
The news about stimulus slowing down will probably slowly cool things down.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on July 26, 2017, 09:21:33 PM
My investment accounts are 80% cash right now. I also sold 80% in 2007 and got back in 2011. Not sure if I'll be right again. So far I'm wrong.

Now is probably a good time to start switching to cash.  Market has been HOT!

The Fed minutes will be out this week.. so we'll see.  I agree it's been hot.  Waiting for something to buy into.. probably get some options if there is a dip.  FB was a good pick up today and I might go long on it.  I like FB and BABA for the long run.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on August 11, 2017, 07:28:16 AM
Not me, I covered that short awhile ago and haven't double dipped that one.  This does look a lot like Twitters chart though so more downside is possible.

Snapchat shares downgraded by Morgan Stanley, a rare rebuke by a firm that helped bring it public

Morgan Stanley downgrades Snap stock to equal weight from overweight and slashes its price target to $16 from $28.
For the first time, Snap shares closed below their $17 IPO price, which Morgan Stanley helped set.
The shares fell more than 5 percent Tuesday morning.

http://www.cnbc.com/2017/07/11/snap-underwriter-morgan-stanley-downgrades-the-stock.html (http://www.cnbc.com/2017/07/11/snap-underwriter-morgan-stanley-downgrades-the-stock.html)

Just like TWTR...never recovered.

Snap’s Loss Nearly Quadruples as Revenue and User Growth Slow

Snapchat’s parent hurt by intensifying competition from Facebook; shares drop

https://www.wsj.com/articles/snaps-loss-nearly-quadruples-as-revenue-and-user-growth-slow-1502396109 (https://www.wsj.com/articles/snaps-loss-nearly-quadruples-as-revenue-and-user-growth-slow-1502396109)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Liar Loan on August 11, 2017, 11:35:25 AM
Down 12% today and roughly 50% since the IPO.  Ouch!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on August 31, 2017, 09:34:15 AM
Good day to put money in the ^VIX?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Liar Loan on August 31, 2017, 12:34:54 PM
My investment accounts are 80% cash right now. I also sold 80% in 2007 and got back in 2011. Not sure if I'll be right again. So far I'm wrong.

Now is probably a good time to start switching to cash.  Market has been HOT!

Way too early.  The yield curve isn't even close to going negative, meaning no recession is on the horizon. 

https://www.crystalbull.com/stock-market-timing/Yield-Curve-chart/

Yesterday, 2Q GDP was revised up to 3% and 3Q GDP is predicted to be between 3-4%.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on August 31, 2017, 10:14:22 PM
Good day to put money in the ^VIX?

Yup, I added on Tuesday (selling VIX calls) with all my remaining margin in the morning and then sold a boatload of VIX call options that expire next week on Wednesday since it'll be a slow week an 3-day weekend. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on August 31, 2017, 10:15:37 PM
My investment accounts are 80% cash right now. I also sold 80% in 2007 and got back in 2011. Not sure if I'll be right again. So far I'm wrong.

Now is probably a good time to start switching to cash.  Market has been HOT!

Way too early.  The yield curve isn't even close to going negative, meaning no recession is on the horizon. 

https://www.crystalbull.com/stock-market-timing/Yield-Curve-chart/

Yesterday, 2Q GDP was revised up to 3% and 3Q GDP is predicted to be between 3-4%.


Yup, we will continue to grind higher....not straight up.  The job market is very strong and my clients tell me that they are doing well.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on September 01, 2017, 12:57:53 AM
J$ just so it's clear, USC's position is not long VIX, so hope you didn't buy any.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on September 01, 2017, 07:40:00 AM
J$ just so it's clear, USC's position is not long VIX, so hope you didn't buy any.

I didn't but with the tax bill and spending bill upcoming, I'm assuming some volatility.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on September 01, 2017, 10:56:39 AM
J$ just so it's clear, USC's position is not long VIX, so hope you didn't buy any.

Correct, I mostly sell VIX calls and some VIX puts as straddles and strangles.  If someone does buy VIX calls waiting for a VIX spike, close the position quickly as the spikes don't last for long.  People buying VIX calls and/or VXX for longer than a few days have lost money.  I pretty much bank on when times are calm and will give some profits back on spikes but then make multiples of my losses back on gains as the VIX falls back down again.  Again, the trading that I do is not for the faint of heart or wallet...big ups and big downs sometimes.  Wash, rinse, and repeat.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on September 05, 2017, 09:41:36 AM
Good day to put money in the ^VIX?

Yup, I added on Tuesday (selling VIX calls) with all my remaining margin in the morning and then sold a boatload of VIX call options that expire next week on Wednesday since it'll be a slow week an 3-day weekend. 

Ouch... :(

I bet you're really happy with North Korea this morning.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on September 05, 2017, 12:47:12 PM
Good day to put money in the ^VIX?

Yup, I added on Tuesday (selling VIX calls) with all my remaining margin in the morning and then sold a boatload of VIX call options that expire next week on Wednesday since it'll be a slow week an 3-day weekend. 

Ouch... :(

I bet you're really happy with North Korea this morning.

Sold $13 through $21 VIX calls last week that expire tomorrow...not really concerned.  Key is to always trade with room for error.  I won't allows book gains and the goal is to accumulate more profits to absorb any losses.  The higher that the VIX goes the more premium higher and higher calls.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on September 05, 2017, 01:02:11 PM
If BAC dips below $23.. going to take a short term bet on it.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on September 07, 2017, 12:30:34 PM
Wow Restoration  Hardware is  up big time today.  Should have bought some after I attended the Irvine Warehouse Sale and watched people claw there way over each other to buy thousands of dollars worth of stained and damaged furniture.   Some of which  I purchased myself.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on September 11, 2017, 11:30:36 AM
SHOP!!!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on September 13, 2017, 08:22:55 AM
If TGT can close over 59.50...possible breakout
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on September 13, 2017, 06:36:51 PM
Hey, it's a big boy game

Snap Investors Seek to Unseal Fired Employee’s PowerPoint Deck

http://variety.com/2017/digital/news/snap-class-action-pompliano-powerpoint-unseal-1202557488/ (http://variety.com/2017/digital/news/snap-class-action-pompliano-powerpoint-unseal-1202557488/)



Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on September 25, 2017, 12:28:49 PM
Tech stocks a good buy this week.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on September 25, 2017, 12:32:21 PM
Tech stocks a good buy this week.

How much will Apple drop?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on September 25, 2017, 12:40:35 PM
Maybe $145...200 day moving average.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on September 25, 2017, 12:51:48 PM
Maybe $145...200 day moving average.

Targeting BABA, AMZN, and Apple right now.  Might buy some options if there is another sell of day this week.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on September 25, 2017, 01:47:27 PM
Maybe $145...200 day moving average.

Targeting BABA, AMZN, and Apple right now.  Might buy some options if there is another sell of day this week.

Or sell some lower put strikes if you want to go long.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on October 06, 2017, 10:54:09 AM
Costco is taking a deep dive today.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on October 06, 2017, 12:11:16 PM
Costco is taking a deep dive today.

probably a good buy.. they are still crazy busy.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on October 06, 2017, 12:27:38 PM
Costco is taking a deep dive today.

probably a good buy.. they are still crazy busy.

Costco announced food delivery service today.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on October 06, 2017, 01:43:31 PM
Costco is taking a deep dive today.

probably a good buy.. they are still crazy busy.

Costco announced food delivery service today.

all of these retail stores are going to have to change the way they do business. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on October 18, 2017, 06:43:22 AM
Anyone ever hear of Qudian Inc from China?  They do super small loans to consumers.  Kind of like fast cash but much smaller I think.  They are going IPO today.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on October 20, 2017, 10:49:40 AM
If TGT can close over 59.50...possible breakout

Breakout, probably will fill the gap now to around $69-70
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on October 26, 2017, 09:05:45 PM
Anyone ever hear of Qudian Inc from China?  They do super small loans to consumers.  Kind of like fast cash but much smaller I think.  They are going IPO today.

Did you ever get QD? QD has been droppin.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: OCLuvr on October 29, 2017, 04:50:54 PM
Any take on Apple stock before earnings call?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on October 29, 2017, 06:23:17 PM
Anyone ever hear of Qudian Inc from China?  They do super small loans to consumers.  Kind of like fast cash but much smaller I think.  They are going IPO today.

Did you ever get QD? QD has been droppin.

I bought and sold same day since it didn't go up right away. Only lost a few bucks.

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on November 01, 2017, 02:46:06 PM
Any take on Apple stock before earnings call?

Going to sell some  out of the money puts on them...maybe some calls too, not sure yet.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on November 01, 2017, 04:11:38 PM
You see what happened to Tesla after they reported earnings?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on November 01, 2017, 04:21:36 PM
You see what happened to Tesla after they reported earnings?

was just a matter of  time.  Now.. when to go in... 200s.. 100s???
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on November 01, 2017, 06:07:03 PM
You see what happened to Tesla after they reported earnings?

was just a matter of  time.  Now.. when to go in... 200s.. 100s???

I wouldn't touch Tesla with a 10-foot pole. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on November 01, 2017, 09:14:37 PM
I'll buy some TSLA if they dip under $300 tomorrow
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on November 02, 2017, 07:39:54 AM
I'll buy some TSLA if they dip under $300 tomorrow

Here is your chance. $298
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on November 03, 2017, 08:56:41 AM
I'll buy some TSLA if they dip under $300 tomorrow

Here is your chance. $298

TBH.. I thought it would tumble bigger than this. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Liar Loan on November 03, 2017, 10:10:00 AM
TBH.. I thought it would tumble bigger than this.

It will once the debt market cuts them off.  That will be the time to buy just before a competitor scoops them up, which should result in a nice gap up.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on November 07, 2017, 03:00:09 PM
Oh SNAP!!

Snap 3Q loss more than triples, stock tumbles after-hours


https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/07/the-associated-press-snap-3q-loss-more-than-triples-stock-tumbles-after-hours.html (https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/07/the-associated-press-snap-3q-loss-more-than-triples-stock-tumbles-after-hours.html)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on November 07, 2017, 04:22:54 PM
Oh SNAP!!

Snap 3Q loss more than triples, stock tumbles after-hours


https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/07/the-associated-press-snap-3q-loss-more-than-triples-stock-tumbles-after-hours.html (https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/07/the-associated-press-snap-3q-loss-more-than-triples-stock-tumbles-after-hours.html)

Single digits here we come.  What a POS company/stock.  haha
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: daedalus on November 07, 2017, 07:47:44 PM
TBH.. I thought it would tumble bigger than this.

It will once the debt market cuts them off.  That will be the time to buy just before a competitor scoops them up, which should result in a nice gap up.
If Elon got hit by a piece of falling space debris tomorrow, TSLA would struggle to find a real bottom.  A competitor "scooping them up" should have the same effect, as in either case, Elon wouldn't be running the show.  There's no potential buyer that anyone would bet on as much as Elon. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Liar Loan on November 08, 2017, 10:10:09 AM
If Elon got hit by a piece of falling space debris tomorrow, TSLA would struggle to find a real bottom.  A competitor "scooping them up" should have the same effect, as in either case, Elon wouldn't be running the show.  There's no potential buyer that anyone would bet on as much as Elon.

That's a good point and he would probably remain as the figurehead to protect share value.  I just don't see another plausible way for him to continue funding TSLA's balance sheet.  How many more junk bonds can he issue?  Probably a lot, but that decreases any chance of future profitability without a default or restructuring.  I could see a legacy auto maker that is behind in the electric car race coming in and overpaying just for the brand and the consumer sentiment that goes along with it.  That would give Elon access to the vast resources he needs, both in terms of financing and the assembly line expertise that he's currently lacking.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on November 08, 2017, 09:15:32 PM
Time to get into Trip?

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on November 08, 2017, 09:38:17 PM
Time to get into Trip?



Chart looks like it's ready for a bounce but I never read those right.  Also RDFN looks like a good buy.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on November 09, 2017, 03:04:40 PM
Thought I missed out on RDFN but earnings weren't very good and they are back down again after hours.  Might pick some up tomorrow but if they can't meet expectations in this RE market then they're in for some pain when things slow down.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Compressed-Village on November 16, 2017, 07:45:38 AM
Wow Restoration  Hardware is  up big time today.  Should have bought some after I attended the Irvine Warehouse Sale and watched people claw there way over each other to buy thousands of dollars worth of stained and damaged furniture.   Some of which  I purchased myself.

RH is up whopping 21 % today. Holly cow.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on December 12, 2017, 09:04:29 AM
Eix drop due to the fires.
I think good long term play.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Liar Loan on December 12, 2017, 10:53:40 AM
Eix drop due to the fires.
I think good long term play.

Utility stocks tend to behave like bonds, so the prospect of higher rates this week could also be putting pressure on EIX.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on December 12, 2017, 11:28:50 AM
Eix drop due to the fires.
I think good long term play.

Utility stocks tend to behave like bonds, so the prospect of higher rates this week could also be putting pressure on EIX.

Look what happened to Sempra energy. Bounced right back after that inquiry in LA area.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on December 12, 2017, 11:42:55 AM
Has to hold this $68 spot.  If it holds support it is a good place to accumulate.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on January 02, 2018, 09:12:58 AM
If TGT can close over 59.50...possible breakout

Breakout, probably will fill the gap now to around $69-70

Now this.  Not sure if anything will come of it but it will move this stock higher...now $72 to fill the gap.

Amazon will buy Target in 2018, influential tech analyst Gene Munster predicts

Loup Ventures' Gene Munster predicts Amazon will buy Target this year.
"Target is the ideal offline partner for Amazon for two reasons, shared demographic and manageable but comprehensive store count," Munster says.
Target shares rose 3.6 percent Tuesday.

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/01/02/amazon-will-buy-target-in-2018-influential-tech-analyst-gene-munster-predicts.html (https://www.cnbc.com/2018/01/02/amazon-will-buy-target-in-2018-influential-tech-analyst-gene-munster-predicts.html)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on January 02, 2018, 09:52:44 AM
If TGT can close over 59.50...possible breakout

Breakout, probably will fill the gap now to around $69-70

Now this.  Not sure if anything will come of it but it will move this stock higher...now $72 to fill the gap.

Amazon will buy Target in 2018, influential tech analyst Gene Munster predicts

Loup Ventures' Gene Munster predicts Amazon will buy Target this year.
"Target is the ideal offline partner for Amazon for two reasons, shared demographic and manageable but comprehensive store count," Munster says.
Target shares rose 3.6 percent Tuesday.

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/01/02/amazon-will-buy-target-in-2018-influential-tech-analyst-gene-munster-predicts.html (https://www.cnbc.com/2018/01/02/amazon-will-buy-target-in-2018-influential-tech-analyst-gene-munster-predicts.html)

wow this would be wild!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on January 11, 2018, 08:09:49 AM
If TGT can close over 59.50...possible breakout

Breakout, probably will fill the gap now to around $69-70

Now this.  Not sure if anything will come of it but it will move this stock higher...now $72 to fill the gap.

Amazon will buy Target in 2018, influential tech analyst Gene Munster predicts

Loup Ventures' Gene Munster predicts Amazon will buy Target this year.
"Target is the ideal offline partner for Amazon for two reasons, shared demographic and manageable but comprehensive store count," Munster says.
Target shares rose 3.6 percent Tuesday.

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/01/02/amazon-will-buy-target-in-2018-influential-tech-analyst-gene-munster-predicts.html (https://www.cnbc.com/2018/01/02/amazon-will-buy-target-in-2018-influential-tech-analyst-gene-munster-predicts.html)

OK, hit $72 so that was my target.  Your on your own now but 35%-40% including dividend in 10 months?  Not too shabby.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on January 11, 2018, 08:47:32 AM
Any good plays?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Irvinecommuter on January 11, 2018, 09:48:30 AM
Not sure...I have too much in financials but not sure if I should pull out of the sector.  I would put into Vanguard but that's just more stocks.  Maybe I should invest in Vanguard's oversea's fund instead.

Stocks like Amazon, Google, Costco, Appl are too expensive.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on January 11, 2018, 10:07:01 AM
Now that Edison could not support at
$68 I like it now at $62.  Probably not a trade but I think the 3.9% dividend is safe and a little boring but cheap.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on January 11, 2018, 05:16:15 PM
I'll just stick to my VIX trading thank you very much since that is what I know. :D
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on February 02, 2018, 11:48:26 AM
Just started on Robinhood.. thanks for the heads up guys!   ::)

Finally.. free trades.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on February 02, 2018, 12:00:11 PM
Just started on Robinhood.. thanks for the heads up guys!   ::)

Finally.. free trades.

Stick to the limit orders.  My market orders on Robinhood seem to be significantly in their favor.  Makes me wonder if they execute the order for a better price and stick it to me a few cents per share to make some profit. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on February 02, 2018, 12:50:27 PM
Just started on Robinhood.. thanks for the heads up guys!   ::)

Finally.. free trades.

I would take a step back from the market.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on February 02, 2018, 12:51:41 PM
Just started on Robinhood.. thanks for the heads up guys!   ::)

Finally.. free trades.

Stick to the limit orders.  My market orders on Robinhood seem to be significantly in their favor.  Makes me wonder if they execute the order for a better price and stick it to me a few cents per share to make some profit.

I never do market orders.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: jmoney74 on February 02, 2018, 12:52:48 PM
Just started on Robinhood.. thanks for the heads up guys!   ::)

Finally.. free trades.

I would take a step back from the market.

I did a small order today on a stock today.. holding for some of them.  Good buying opportunity IMO.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: OCLuvr on February 02, 2018, 01:07:44 PM
It is going to be a roller coaster ride from here on
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on August 08, 2018, 10:11:05 AM
I like Target at $55.  11PE. 4.3% dividend. Whats not to like?

I am officially out of my whole position on TGT at $82...56% including dividend...I'll take that!  Next.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on August 08, 2018, 08:19:46 PM
Next is DIS. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on August 09, 2018, 12:40:45 AM
Have you seen the new Target redesign at Spectrum.  Bleh.  Going for a more minimal look, appears to be a lot less product and everything is spaced oddly.  Bring back the old Target layout! :(
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Kings on August 09, 2018, 06:14:00 AM
Have you seen the new Target redesign at Spectrum.  Bleh.  Going for a more minimal look, appears to be a lot less product and everything is spaced oddly.  Bring back the old Target layout! :(

i got a couple 5 off 15 coupons in the mail telling me to come see the new redesign.  the coupons don't look store-specific and there are a couple other targets closer to where i live so i'll probably just use the coupons there lol
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: irvinehomeowner on August 09, 2018, 07:42:25 AM
Have you seen the new Target redesign at Spectrum.  Bleh.  Going for a more minimal look, appears to be a lot less product and everything is spaced oddly.  Bring back the old Target layout! :(

It depends on the department.... toys has way more than they used to... almost like a mini ToysRUs. Clothing is also expanded.

I don't like that they removed the grid layout in the center, they force you to go around and through their clothing section.

Jump on DIS... they are going to start their own streaming service to rival Netfllx next year.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on August 16, 2018, 08:39:42 AM
Thought I missed out on RDFN but earnings weren't very good and they are back down again after hours.  Might pick some up tomorrow but if they can't meet expectations in this RE market then they're in for some pain when things slow down.

I never really liked this one...not good.

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on August 17, 2018, 01:02:30 PM
AAPL on a tear lately.  Time to sell?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Kings on August 17, 2018, 02:22:43 PM
AAPL on a tear lately.  Time to sell?

sell covered calls
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on August 29, 2018, 02:57:43 PM
So who’s waiting/looking for the Aston Martin IPO?


https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/aston-martin-ipo-james-bond-favorite-sports-car-eyes-maker/

This might take off like Ferrari. Ferrari IPO at $52 a share in 2015, and the price today is $134.20.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on September 12, 2018, 06:33:01 AM
Amateur hour

http://nypost.com/2017/03/13/snaps-stock-has-left-a-bunch-of-millennial-investors-under-water/ (http://nypost.com/2017/03/13/snaps-stock-has-left-a-bunch-of-millennial-investors-under-water/)

snaps stock has left a bunch of millennial investors under water



What a total disaster, but few will learn any lessons

Snap shares tumble after BTIG's Greenfield cuts target to $5: 'We are tired of Snapchat's excuses'

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/09/12/analyst-slashes-snap-rating-to-sell-sees-another-50percent-drop-for-shares.html (https://www.cnbc.com/2018/09/12/analyst-slashes-snap-rating-to-sell-sees-another-50percent-drop-for-shares.html)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on October 04, 2018, 12:02:36 PM
I talk to my friend and he mentioned Gold.
I looked up that gold has been down this year.

But it might be a safe play?

Any thoughts on Abx
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on October 04, 2018, 12:10:16 PM
Do you mean GOLD the stock or gold the precious metal?  ABX chart looks perilous though. I have traded it in the past but I would like to see earnings for a company when I buy it. ABX lost .22 and is down 20% year to date with a bad chart so that's 3 strikes against.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on October 04, 2018, 12:36:54 PM
Abx just got upgraded by JPM (whatever that means)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on May 10, 2019, 07:14:18 AM
Any thoughts on Uber IPO?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Irvinecommuter on May 10, 2019, 09:31:54 AM
Any thoughts on Uber IPO?

I don't buy Uber in the longterm.  Investors are banking on self-driving/AI vehicles in like 5 years to take over...but if that's the case Uber has no advantage. 

Quote
Uber began trading on the New York Stock Exchange Friday at $42 per share, below its IPO price of $45. The stock was down more than 2% toward the start of trading.

Uber priced its shares Thursday night toward the low end of its target range of $44 to $50 per share. That gave Uber a valuation of $75.46 billion at its IPO on a non-diluted basis, still well below the $120 billion it was reportedly seeking when news first broke it was preparing to go public. Toward the beginning of its trading, Uber's market cap was around $73 billion.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/10/uber-ipo-stock-starts-trading-on-the-new-york-stock-exchange.html
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on August 21, 2019, 08:41:08 AM
I like Target at $55.  11PE. 4.3% dividend. Whats not to like?

I am officially out of my whole position on TGT at $82...56% including dividend...I'll take that!  Next.

Well I bailed out of most of my position but if you still hold this....huba huba huba!!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on August 21, 2019, 09:06:01 AM
I like Target at $55.  11PE. 4.3% dividend. Whats not to like?

I am officially out of my whole position on TGT at $82...56% including dividend...I'll take that!  Next.

Well I bailed out of most of my position but if you still hold this....huba huba huba!!

I bailed out on 2/3 of my TGT at $88.  Contemplating what to do with the rest.  I have the same dilemma with ROKU right now.  Bought at $52, now at $139.  Grew too fast too quickly.  Also made a dumb move and bought MU last year at $45, which hasn't done anything. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on August 21, 2019, 09:13:45 AM
With that one I was more a tinder date then an ourtime....I'd ditch the bitch, but I can be shallow and fickle.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on August 21, 2019, 10:09:12 AM
I like Target at $55.  11PE. 4.3% dividend. Whats not to like?

Wow -- didn't realize how much they have fallen -- Used to have them as my retail stock but swapped with Costco last year -- you think its a good bet to swap again ?

Target needs to get their online presence act together.  Their website is awful and that's where the growth opportunities are right now.  That's why Walmart is starting to look better.

Looks like they took your advice.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on August 21, 2019, 10:48:14 AM
I like Target at $55.  11PE. 4.3% dividend. Whats not to like?

Wow -- didn't realize how much they have fallen -- Used to have them as my retail stock but swapped with Costco last year -- you think its a good bet to swap again ?

Target needs to get their online presence act together.  Their website is awful and that's where the growth opportunities are right now.  That's why Walmart is starting to look better.

Looks like they took your advice.

At the end of the day. I believe Amazon would outperform Target.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on August 21, 2019, 12:40:30 PM
I like Target at $55.  11PE. 4.3% dividend. Whats not to like?

Wow -- didn't realize how much they have fallen -- Used to have them as my retail stock but swapped with Costco last year -- you think its a good bet to swap again ?

Target needs to get their online presence act together.  Their website is awful and that's where the growth opportunities are right now.  That's why Walmart is starting to look better.

Looks like they took your advice.

At the end of the day. I believe Amazon would outperform Target.

AMZN growth will be primarily due to their AWS, not their retail IMHO. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on August 21, 2019, 12:43:06 PM
I like Target at $55.  11PE. 4.3% dividend. Whats not to like?

Wow -- didn't realize how much they have fallen -- Used to have them as my retail stock but swapped with Costco last year -- you think its a good bet to swap again ?

Target needs to get their online presence act together.  Their website is awful and that's where the growth opportunities are right now.  That's why Walmart is starting to look better.

Looks like they took your advice.

The next stock to watch is NVTA.  it's around $26.50 right now.  Will go to $100 in the next couple years.  I got in around $22, but I almost pulled the trigger around $15 a few months earlier. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on August 21, 2019, 12:59:28 PM
I like Target at $55.  11PE. 4.3% dividend. Whats not to like?

Wow -- didn't realize how much they have fallen -- Used to have them as my retail stock but swapped with Costco last year -- you think its a good bet to swap again ?

Target needs to get their online presence act together.  Their website is awful and that's where the growth opportunities are right now.  That's why Walmart is starting to look better.

Looks like they took your advice.

At the end of the day. I believe Amazon would outperform Target.

AMZN growth will be primarily due to their AWS, not their retail IMHO.

Warren Buffet invested in Amazon.
Retailers are closing and Amazon is growing
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Kings on August 21, 2019, 01:01:33 PM
went in on tgt after wmt popped last week.  nice run up from $82 and out at $100 this morning
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Kings on August 21, 2019, 01:03:23 PM
ps. still waiting patiently for that recession  :)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on August 21, 2019, 01:04:52 PM
ps. still waiting patiently for that recession  :)

Don’t worry it’s coming. What I hear IB have slowed down hiring recently. I can smell it.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on August 21, 2019, 01:07:38 PM
If economy not an issue why is the rumor payroll tax potentially on the table. I mean come on.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Kings on August 21, 2019, 01:11:00 PM
ps. still waiting patiently for that recession  :)

Don’t worry it’s coming. What I hear IB have slowed down hiring recently. I can smell it.

the smell of fear means it's a great time to make money  ;)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on August 21, 2019, 01:14:29 PM
If it’s not a big deal. Why was Trump on a call with the top bank CEOs after the big drop? (Public info)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on August 21, 2019, 01:42:47 PM
It looks like the yield curve briefly inverts with the 2 year treasuries which topped the 10 year rate.

#notLookingGood
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: irvinehomeowner on August 21, 2019, 01:53:10 PM
NFLX, AMZN, AAPL, DIS, GOOG, TGT, MSFT

Hold until retirement. :)

Let's see how I did with those "duh" stocks:

2/2/17 to now
NFLX 139.20 > 297.81
AMZN 839.95 > 1823.54
AAPL 128.53 > 212.75
DIS  110.61 > 135.76
GOOG  798.53 > 1191.25
TGT 63.68 > 103.20
MSFT 63.17 > 138.94

So simpleton stock picks seem to do well.

For reference:

DOW: 20,851.33 > 26,202.73
S&P: 2,371.54 > 2,924.43
NASDAQ: 5,867.89 > 8,020.2
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Kings on August 21, 2019, 01:55:06 PM
It looks like the yield curve briefly inverts with the 2 year treasuries which topped the 10 year rate.

#notLookingGood

you seem to be following what's going on around the world, so you should know that the european economy is in the tank and asia is seeing a lot of unrest.  which means the united states is still by far the safest place to put your money, thus with everyone taking their money to buy 10 year treasuries the price will go down.  calls for recession in the us are just the latest outrage that the media can play to get more clicks and eyeballs.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on August 21, 2019, 01:58:36 PM
NFLX, AMZN, AAPL, DIS, GOOG, TGT, MSFT

Hold until retirement. :)

Let's see how I did with those "duh" stocks:

2/2/17 to now
NFLX 139.20 > 297.81
AMZN 839.95 > 1823.54
AAPL 128.53 > 212.75
DIS  110.61 > 135.76
GOOG  798.53 > 1191.25
TGT 63.68 > 103.20
MSFT 63.17 > 138.94

So simpleton stock picks seem to do well.

For reference:

DOW: 20,851.33 > 26,202.73
S&P: 2,371.54 > 2,924.43
NASDAQ: 5,867.89 > 8,020.2

Sounds good but how many shares do you own?
I hope more than 100 each.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on August 21, 2019, 02:30:16 PM
The yield curve needs to stay inverted for an average of 7 months...not 7 minutes. Once that happens a recession may occur anywhere from 9-24 months later...this currently is another big fat nothing burger...bon appetite’!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on August 21, 2019, 02:59:43 PM
NFLX, AMZN, AAPL, DIS, GOOG, TGT, MSFT

Hold until retirement. :)

Let's see how I did with those "duh" stocks:

2/2/17 to now
NFLX 139.20 > 297.81
AMZN 839.95 > 1823.54
AAPL 128.53 > 212.75
DIS  110.61 > 135.76
GOOG  798.53 > 1191.25
TGT 63.68 > 103.20
MSFT 63.17 > 138.94

So simpleton stock picks seem to do well.

For reference:

DOW: 20,851.33 > 26,202.73
S&P: 2,371.54 > 2,924.43
NASDAQ: 5,867.89 > 8,020.2

Sounds good but how many shares do you own?
I hope more than 100 each.

To clarify. Did you buy or are those on your stocks to watch?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: irvinehomeowner on August 21, 2019, 03:00:01 PM
I did some historical lookups on the ones that were posted on Page 1 of this thread... many didn't move that much... but I think those were supposed to be short term picks.

My picks are like Irvine houses... hold them for a long time and they will yield good returns.

The worst performer was DIS... which is surprising but I expect it to go up in the next few years.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on August 21, 2019, 03:08:46 PM
Got it.

Bingo. So it all comes out in this thread. You could of said this long time ago. That you view your house as an investment.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: irvinehomeowner on August 21, 2019, 05:30:11 PM
Got it.

Bingo. So it all comes out in this thread. You could of said this long time ago. That you view your house as an investment.

Not sure where you are going with this.

I view my home as a place to live, first and foremost. Over the long haul it can give you good returns but when I am buying I am not looking at a short term turnaround.

That’s why I say that you can buy even if you will only save a nominal amount instead of waiting. It’s just like long hold stocks, you just need to get in and stop worrying about timing the bottom. And better than stocks, you get a tax write off, you don’t have to worry about the woes of renting and you get all the benefits of owning a home.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on August 21, 2019, 08:32:45 PM
Got it.

Bingo. So it all comes out in this thread. You could of said this long time ago. That you view your house as an investment.

Not sure where you are going with this.

I view my home as a place to live, first and foremost. Over the long haul it can give you good returns but when I am buying I am not looking at a short term turnaround.

That’s why I say that you can buy even if you will only save a nominal amount instead of waiting. It’s just like long hold stocks, you just need to get in and stop worrying about timing the bottom. And better than stocks, you get a tax write off, you don’t have to worry about the woes of renting and you get all the benefits of owning a home.

Previously you said hold stocks for the long term. Then you said housing is better than stocks. A lot of people worry about buying the peak like the previous article I posted. (Almost everybody likes a bargain. Why do you think TjMax and Roos are doing so well?) When people remodel their home most people don’t over spend for the location of the house. People are savvy and care about the bottom line.

You mean small tax write off owning a home. (Cap on salt deductions)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: irvinehomeowner on August 22, 2019, 07:05:02 AM
Previously you said hold stocks for the long term. Then you said housing is better than stocks.
Where did I say housing is better than stocks? You might be mixing me up with someone else.

Quote
A lot of people worry about buying the peak like the previous article I posted. (Almost everybody likes a bargain. Why do you think TjMax and Roos are doing so well?) When people remodel their home most people don’t over spend for the location of the house. People are savvy and care about the bottom line.

Sure. But buying a home is not like shopping at TJMaxx or Ross. You can buy at the peak and still be okay as long as you can afford your home and stay long term. Many people just want to stop renting and own a home (there are several TI members who have said that... so no articles, real people).

Quote
You mean small tax write off owning a home. (Cap on salt deductions)

If you consider $10k small, if you own a home less than $1m, that's a good sized write-off. You also forget about the $250k/$500k capital gains exclusion, can't do that with other "investments".
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on August 22, 2019, 08:42:35 AM
Previously you said hold stocks for the long term. Then you said housing is better than stocks.
Where did I say housing is better than stocks? You might be mixing me up with someone else.

Quote
A lot of people worry about buying the peak like the previous article I posted. (Almost everybody likes a bargain. Why do you think TjMax and Roos are doing so well?) When people remodel their home most people don’t over spend for the location of the house. People are savvy and care about the bottom line.

Sure. But buying a home is not like shopping at TJMaxx or Ross. You can buy at the peak and still be okay as long as you can afford your home and stay long term. Many people just want to stop renting and own a home (there are several TI members who have said that... so no articles, real people).

Quote
You mean small tax write off owning a home. (Cap on salt deductions)

If you consider $10k small, if you own a home less than $1m, that's a good sized write-off. You also forget about the $250k/$500k capital gains exclusion, can't do that with other "investments".

-read your previous posts, it sounds like you view your house as an investment, which explains your rational in other thread and your determination to put your own spin on things
-again the average person is business savvy and they do not want to buy at the peak or over pay for something.
-$10k is small
-btw there was a rumor removal of capital gain exclusion was on the table during the backdoor tax reform conversation. So you never know they might take that away in the future.

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: irvinehomeowner on August 22, 2019, 10:15:18 AM
Previously you said hold stocks for the long term. Then you said housing is better than stocks.
Where did I say housing is better than stocks? You might be mixing me up with someone else.

Quote
A lot of people worry about buying the peak like the previous article I posted. (Almost everybody likes a bargain. Why do you think TjMax and Roos are doing so well?) When people remodel their home most people don’t over spend for the location of the house. People are savvy and care about the bottom line.

Sure. But buying a home is not like shopping at TJMaxx or Ross. You can buy at the peak and still be okay as long as you can afford your home and stay long term. Many people just want to stop renting and own a home (there are several TI members who have said that... so no articles, real people).

Quote
You mean small tax write off owning a home. (Cap on salt deductions)

If you consider $10k small, if you own a home less than $1m, that's a good sized write-off. You also forget about the $250k/$500k capital gains exclusion, can't do that with other "investments".

-read your previous posts, it sounds like you view your house as an investment, which explains your rational in other thread and your determination to put your own spin on things

So I'm still not sure where this is going. As I said before, my house is where I live first. That's why the ups and downs don't bother me as much as they bother you.

What is my "rational" and "spin"? Doesn't everyone do this... especially you?

Quote
-again the average person is business savvy and they do not want to buy at the peak or over pay for something.

Again, it depends on what we are talking about. People overpay for Apple iPhones, clothes etc... what you are saying is not universally true.

Quote
-$10k is small

So why wait for a 7% drop in house prices when that can equate to a only a $10k savings in a 20% down payment?

Quote
-btw there was a rumor removal of capital gain exclusion was on the table during the backdoor tax reform conversation. So you never know they might take that away in the future.

And until that time, it's still a great benefit to own a house.

So back on topic:

What stocks would anyone pick today?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: zubs on August 22, 2019, 10:53:28 AM
KHC baby!...25 bucks.  Is Warren still holding this loser?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on April 15, 2020, 05:25:52 PM
Reviving old thread.

Setup descending/ladder limit orders on GE from $6.50 to $5.00 in $0.50 steps (6.50-6.00-5.50-5.00).  Not big money, just few hundred dollars per order.  $6.50 executed today.

I had 3 stocks under consideration, GE, Ford and MRO.  Out of the 3 I think GE has better prospects.

https://www.genewsroom.com/press-releases/ge-announces-further-actions-solidify-financial-position
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on April 16, 2020, 10:03:35 AM
for the foreseeable future, people will be entertaining themselves more at home.  That means investing in better/more streaming options.  Thus, expect ROKU and other related stocks (TTD) to have a long runway up. 

BTW, that trend was already occurring well before coronavirus.  Covid19 just accelerated that paradigm shift. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Kenkoko on April 16, 2020, 01:27:31 PM
Amzn is my only naked long position and will probably remain so until the recession is over.

This pandemic is a game changer for Amazon.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on April 16, 2020, 01:43:47 PM
Increased limit orders on SPY 250-200 in $5 ladder steps.

(Update:  Switched to VOO 225-190 in $5 ladder steps)


If DOW dips below 20K I might pick up SSO and TQQQ.

Why do I think that we'd dip again in an U or W instead of upswing on the "V" ?  Because this is 'Merica and we have to hit all the tree branches with our foreheads on the way down.  That's how we roll into 3Q 2020.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on April 16, 2020, 08:54:18 PM
Anyone who thinks we will have a "V" recovery is delusional, the recovery will definitely be more of a "U" and might be a "W" if we have the virus come back in the fall/winter.  Behaviors will change as a result of what has happened including unemployment being higher than when we went into this even after there is a vaccine.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Agent Joe on April 18, 2020, 03:43:08 PM
Reviving old thread.

Setup descending/ladder limit orders on GE from $6.50 to $5.00 in $0.50 steps (6.50-6.00-5.50-5.00).  Not big money, just few hundred dollars per order.  $6.50 executed today.

I had 3 stocks under consideration, GE, Ford and MRO.  Out of the 3 I think GE has better prospects.

https://www.genewsroom.com/press-releases/ge-announces-further-actions-solidify-financial-position

I hope you're right but keep in mind GE Aviation has been carrying rest of GE in the past several years and we all know what is going on in the aviation industry.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on April 19, 2020, 08:09:43 PM
Reviving old thread.

Setup descending/ladder limit orders on GE from $6.50 to $5.00 in $0.50 steps (6.50-6.00-5.50-5.00).  Not big money, just few hundred dollars per order.  $6.50 executed today.

I had 3 stocks under consideration, GE, Ford and MRO.  Out of the 3 I think GE has better prospects.

https://www.genewsroom.com/press-releases/ge-announces-further-actions-solidify-financial-position

I hope you're right but keep in mind GE Aviation has been carrying rest of GE in the past several years and we all know what is going on in the aviation industry.


I've been buying small amounts ($100-$300) of various higher risk stocks and REIT's that got hammered.  I would not recommend betting your life savings on them.


The much larger purchases go toward S&P 500 ETF's.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on April 21, 2020, 04:32:20 PM
Hmm.

Scotts miracle gro (they sell potting soil and fertilizer) stock (SMG) has been outstanding.

(https://images.homedepot-static.com/productImages/8d51618a-abef-4199-9eb8-c8030f7fd37c/svn/miracle-gro-garden-soil-75030430-64_1000.jpg)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Compressed-Village on April 21, 2020, 05:02:42 PM
Hmm.

Scotts miracle gro (they sell potting soil and fertilizer) stock (SMG) has been outstanding.

(https://images.homedepot-static.com/productImages/8d51618a-abef-4199-9eb8-c8030f7fd37c/svn/miracle-gro-garden-soil-75030430-64_1000.jpg)

Everyone seem to cook more at home, bread baking too.

And taken your advice all are now farmers and grow their own food and vegetables, that’s why. :)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on April 22, 2020, 07:57:57 PM
I picked up some FSENX and FSESX this week.  Figured whenever the quarantine ends people will wander back to the gas pumps.

I chose FSENX because it's more diversified than FENY and VDE ETF's. 

If energy stocks have another big drop I might pick up XLE.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Compressed-Village on April 22, 2020, 09:27:01 PM
This is a beaten down dogs. I think it has good potentials upward swings, now that tensions escalate further with Iran. If Iran provoke enough, live ammo will be ultilize on personnels and war could ensue. I setup market order for VDE as well.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on April 28, 2020, 02:54:33 PM

Getting ready for next dip.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on April 28, 2020, 03:01:51 PM

Getting ready for next dip.

ROKU
TTD
FSLY
BAC
TWLO
FB
PINS
NVTA

I have stakes in all of these.  I was eyeing but never pulled the trigger (but should have) on the following:

NVDA
SHOP

Now I'm eyeing the following:

LVGO
AYX
OKTA
WORK
SQ
MDB
MELI

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: OCLuvr on April 28, 2020, 03:49:24 PM
No GOOG?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on April 28, 2020, 03:52:27 PM
No GOOG?

I think I already have sufficient GOOG/AMZN/AAPL/MSFT exposure in the various funds I own.  But based on their earnings from earlier today...GOOG is a good one too.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on April 28, 2020, 04:20:14 PM
Reviving old thread.

Setup descending/ladder limit orders on GE from $6.50 to $5.00 in $0.50 steps (6.50-6.00-5.50-5.00).  Not big money, just few hundred dollars per order.  $6.50 executed today.

I had 3 stocks under consideration, GE, Ford and MRO.  Out of the 3 I think GE has better prospects.

https://www.genewsroom.com/press-releases/ge-announces-further-actions-solidify-financial-position

I hope you're right but keep in mind GE Aviation has been carrying rest of GE in the past several years and we all know what is going on in the aviation industry.


I've been buying small amounts ($100-$300) of various higher risk stocks and REIT's that got hammered.  I would not recommend betting your life savings on them.


The much larger purchases go toward S&P 500 ETF's.

I would avoid Reits.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on May 14, 2020, 07:39:45 AM
Looking to pick up SSO at $90 and below (fingers crossed).

I just don't get why so many investors rushed into W (Wayfair).  I mean this company lost $2.3 billion in recent years, and despite increase in sales and revenue in 1Q 2020 due to Coronavirus (and closure of competing retail stores), it still suffered a quarterly loss of $285 million.  Yet the stock was ballooned from $22 up to almost $200 before the dip.  Like what the heck?  Are people expecting Wayfair's CEO to suddenly come out of the closet and say that they actually had a hidden vaccine R&D wing in a cave behind the sofa section and has developed COVID-19 cure?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on May 14, 2020, 09:45:14 AM
If the articles are true future cruise ship bookings are up. Time to buy?
(does not mean you will find me on a cruise ship anytime soon)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: irvinehomeowner on May 14, 2020, 10:56:15 AM
Prediction: Carnival Floating Covid Quarantines
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on May 14, 2020, 04:20:10 PM
If you subscribe to buying stock when there's blood on the streets, cruise operator, airline, REIT's, and oil companies are all bleeding.

While there is always a risk that the company might bleed to death, some companies are less risky than others because the government is likely to step in and perform CPR.  The small fry (example, small oil companies) that Uncle Sam deem we can do without, will be left to live or die on their own.

I have slightly more faith in oil ETF's because, sooner or later most of us will return to the gas pump.  Airlines is higher risk as businesses may opt for teleconference over business travel, and many people will either choose not to fly, or cannot afford to for their vacation.  BUT I don't think the government will let Delta airlines die because air travel is still essential.

Cruise operators is purely leisure and not essential.  Carnival managed to raise something like 6.25 billion dollars to keep themselves afloat with stocks, high yield bonds, and convertible bonds.  They may return to operation in Aug but who is going to let them dock if there is an infection spread on board?  On the other hand, the last shrimp boat afloat after the hurricane gets all the shrimp.

REIT's took such severe beating I would consider them as slot machines.  Play responsibly.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Compressed-Village on May 14, 2020, 04:42:50 PM
If you subscribe to buying stock when there's blood on the streets, cruise operator, airline, REIT's, and oil companies are all bleeding.

While there is always a risk that the company might bleed to death, some companies are less risky than others because the government is likely to step in and perform CPR.  The small fry (example, small oil companies) that Uncle Sam deem we can do without, will be left to live or die on their own.

I have slightly more faith in oil ETF's because, sooner or later most of us will return to the gas pump.  Airlines is higher risk as businesses may opt for teleconference over business travel, and many people will either choose not to fly, or cannot afford to for their vacation.  BUT I don't think the government will let Delta airlines die because air travel is still essential.

Cruise operators is purely leisure and not essential.  Carnival managed to raise something like 6.25 billion dollars to keep themselves afloat with stocks, high yield bonds, and convertible bonds.  They may return to operation in Aug but who is going to let them dock if there is an infection spread on board?  On the other hand, the last shrimp boat afloat after the hurricane gets all the shrimp.

REIT's took such severe beating I would consider them as slot machines.  Play responsibly.

What do you think about oil tanker operators?

So it can also hedge as a storage facility. It playing out perfectly currently.

Some of these operate did great during this crisis.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on May 14, 2020, 04:55:37 PM
What do you think about oil tanker operators?
So it can also hedge as a storage facility. It playing out perfectly currently.
Some of these operate did great during this crisis.

I bought FSESX (MF) which invests in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services, but did not specifically seek out oil tanker stocks.  I know of ETF's that invest in shipping, but is there one specifically for oil tanker operators?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Compressed-Village on May 14, 2020, 05:02:41 PM

Euronav NV EURN: NYSE EURONEXT

Small play.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on May 15, 2020, 12:11:33 PM
I made a smallish bet on MITT at $2/share this week.  This REIT has been severely hammered and if you buy you are betting that it will not bleed to death.  They have suspended dividend payment to conserve cash.  You should not expect the share price to recover back to $16.

http://www.agmortgageinvestmenttrust.com/news-releases/news-release-details/ag-mortgage-investment-trust-inc-provides-company-update-1
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Dr. CA Real Estate on May 15, 2020, 02:02:37 PM
Who else got in earlier on Gilead?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on May 19, 2020, 06:59:48 AM
I made a smallish bet on MITT at $2/share this week.  This REIT has been severely hammered and if you buy you are betting that it will not bleed to death.  They have suspended dividend payment to conserve cash.  You should not expect the share price to recover back to $16.

http://www.agmortgageinvestmenttrust.com/news-releases/news-release-details/ag-mortgage-investment-trust-inc-provides-company-update-1

Bought MITT @ $2.20/s last week, sold @ $2.76/s today.

Bought more IVR @ $3/s yesterday.

IVR is paying $0.50 dividend per quarter.  So on a $3 stock it's paying $2 dividend/year.  I'm using my IRA account for this one.  Today (05/19) is the last day to buy for Q2 dividend distribution.


* Update:  (Thanks to USCTrojanCPA) Dividend is paid in combination of cash and shares:

https://seekingalpha.com/pr/17867193-invesco-mortgage-capital-inc-announces-common-and-preferred-stock-dividend-payment-dates-and
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on May 19, 2020, 07:59:15 AM
I made a smallish bet on MITT at $2/share this week.  This REIT has been severely hammered and if you buy you are betting that it will not bleed to death.  They have suspended dividend payment to conserve cash.  You should not expect the share price to recover back to $16.

http://www.agmortgageinvestmenttrust.com/news-releases/news-release-details/ag-mortgage-investment-trust-inc-provides-company-update-1

Bought MITT @ $2.20/s last week, sold @ $2.76/s today.

Bought more IVR @ $3/s yesterday.

IVR is paying $0.50 dividend per quarter.  So on a $3 stock it's paying $2 dividend/year.  I'm using my IRA account for this one.  Today (05/19) is the last day to buy for Q2 dividend distribution.


Seems like the dividend will be $0.05 per share and the other portion will be a stock dividend from what I could tell reading this...

On May 9, 2020, the Company's board of directors approved the payment of the Company's previously declared dividend for the first quarter of 2020 of $0.50 per share of common stock (the "first quarter dividend"). The first quarter dividend will be paid on June 30, 2020 in a combination of cash and shares of the Company's common stock to stockholders of record as of May 21, 2020. Given the uncertain and rapidly changing financial markets resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic, the Company's board of directors has determined that the cash component of the first quarter dividend (other than cash paid in lieu of fractional shares) will not exceed 10% in the aggregate, or $0.05 per share, with the balance payable in shares of the Company's common stock. This will allow the Company to preserve capital and enhance the Company's financial flexibility.

In accordance with the provisions of the applicable IRS Revenue Procedures, stockholders will be asked to make an election to receive the first quarter dividend all in cash or all in shares. To the extent that stockholders elect to receive more than 10% of the aggregate payment in cash, the cash portion of the payment will be prorated. Stockholders who elect to receive the dividend in cash will receive a cash payment of at least $0.05 per share. Stockholders who elect to receive the dividend in Company common stock will only receive shares of Company common stock. Additionally, stockholders who do not make an election will receive 90% of the dividend in Company common stock and 10% of the dividend payment in cash. The number of shares issued as a result of the dividend will be calculated based upon the volume weighted average trading prices of the Company's common stock on the New York Stock Exchange on June 17, June 18 and June 19, 2020. Cash will be paid in lieu of fractional shares so that stockholders receive a whole number of shares of common stock.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on May 27, 2020, 04:14:45 PM
I think there's a good chance that we may see profit taking soon.  *update* I'm selling stocks and switching over to oil ETF's and MF's.

Currently holding these and will add more:
FSENX MF
FSESX MF
FENY (or VDE if you prefer Vanguard) ETF
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on June 02, 2020, 06:08:53 PM
Picked up some ZM, CRWD and WORK earlier today ahead of earnings call.  Curious to see how ZM will perform tomorrow.  Will it run out of steam from Monday, or continue to climb?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on June 02, 2020, 09:14:50 PM
Picked up some ZM, CRWD and WORK earlier today ahead of earnings call.  Curious to see how ZM will perform tomorrow.  Will it run out of steam from Monday, or continue to climb?


I've been ringing the cash register by selling slightly out of the money puts on some of the airlines (AAL & SAVE).
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on June 03, 2020, 05:22:37 PM

Selling stocks and buying FENY.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on June 03, 2020, 06:55:34 PM
Sold $35 weekly puts on WORK today going into earnings tomorrow and sold $27 monthly puts on RDFN that expire in about 2 weeks.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on June 04, 2020, 09:28:04 AM
Buying FENY and OIH.

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paperboyNC on June 04, 2020, 07:50:53 PM
Sold $35 weekly puts on WORK today going into earnings tomorrow and sold $27 monthly puts on RDFN that expire in about 2 weeks.

WORK crashed today. I'm trying to learn options. How does that affect your $35 put?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on June 04, 2020, 10:52:18 PM
Sold $35 weekly puts on WORK today going into earnings tomorrow and sold $27 monthly puts on RDFN that expire in about 2 weeks.

WORK crashed today. I'm trying to learn options. How does that affect your $35 put?

I sold 10 $35 June 5th weekly puts for $1 so my cost basis in 1,000 shares will be $34.  I'll go long and sell covered calls against the position.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on June 04, 2020, 11:35:51 PM
These closed at .90c, your position still looks good.  Just curious when you sell puts do you ever get called early before expiration or you just hold them until expiration and profit the purchase price minus the closing price at expiry?

Also as the seller can you buy these back at Market price anytime or you’re at the mercy of the expiration date?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on June 04, 2020, 11:47:59 PM
These closed at .90c, your position still looks good.  Just curious when you sell puts do you ever get called early before expiration or you just hold them until expiration and profit the purchase price minus the closing price at expiry?

Also as the seller can you buy these back at Market price anytime or you’re at the mercy of the expiration date?

The option will be exercised into going long the stock after the close of Friday.  I can close out the puts before expiration at any time at market price but I'm fine going long the shares with a cost basis of $34 and using covered calls to bring the cost basis down. Same thing happened with 20 Zillow puts so I went long (2,000 shares) with covered calls and will be taken out of the position with a gain as the stock rallied this week.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on June 05, 2020, 05:03:30 PM
.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on June 08, 2020, 07:27:32 AM
/me eyes WPG bouncing into the clouds

I don't think WPG SPG etc are long term holds, as future of department store retail is  bleak.  But I guess all the people cooped up during the lockdown are making a beeline for the mall right now.

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on June 08, 2020, 05:46:15 PM
I'm too heavily invested in oil and oil services.  Diversifying with bank stocks.

Bought BAC C JPM WFC

Was tempted to buy HSBC but due to political risk, I decided to hold off.

If you like to gamble, try GUSH (2x XOP).

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on June 09, 2020, 06:53:27 AM
Buying KSS on retailer reopening.

I picked KSS over others because Macy's is only paying the bills with massive loans, JC Penny is barely breathing in buyout talks, and Nordstrom was a difficult decision but I didn't think luxury department store will do that well in post pandemic economy.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Compressed-Village on June 09, 2020, 09:21:37 AM
Sometimes sitting on the sideline is more fruitful, in the short term.  :)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on June 09, 2020, 09:56:07 AM
Bulls make money, Bears make money...pigs get slaughtered.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on June 09, 2020, 12:16:53 PM

Buying KSS @ $27 and setting up downward ladder limit orders $26-$20.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on June 09, 2020, 05:21:16 PM

Buying KSS @ $27 and setting up downward ladder limit orders $26-$20.


If you are willing to go long the stock what about selling at the money or in the money puts and get paid a premium?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on June 09, 2020, 06:32:22 PM

Buying KSS @ $27 and setting up downward ladder limit orders $26-$20.


If you are willing to go long the stock what about selling at the money or in the money puts and get paid a premium?

I'd need to go back and study how to trade options again and play with some paper trades to make sure I really understand, before I'd be comfortable with using real money.


What I do now is I look for stocks that I like, preferably priced at 25% or more below pre-crash price in Feb 2020 (not 52 week high).  I'd buy a few thousand dollars (less for higher risk).

Then I'd setup downward ladder limit order steps to 25% below the purchased price.  The total value of the limit orders typically add up to 100% of what I paid for in the first purchase.  If I really love the stock I might go higher.

So for KSS, say I bought $5,000 at $27.
25% below $27 is $20.
I setup limit orders at $26 25 24 23 22 21 20 (bigger gaps as needed for higher priced stocks)
Each limit order is 5000/7 = $700 ish, more if I really like the stock.

Another example, say if GE is trading at $6.60.
I put in first limit order of $1000 at $6.50.
Then I put in lower limit orders at $6.00, $5.50, and $5.00 at $350 each.


So if the stock continues to rise then none of the limit orders will execute and you only make gains from the initial purchase.

The money put into limit orders are not avail for trade and act like a reserve.  If the stock climbs high enough I will cancel the limit orders and reallocate the funds toward another stock purchase.

There is likely a smarter/better and more efficient way to do this.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: DBtoOC on June 09, 2020, 08:18:03 PM

Buying KSS @ $27 and setting up downward ladder limit orders $26-$20.


If you are willing to go long the stock what about selling at the money or in the money puts and get paid a premium?

I'd need to go back and study how to trade options again and play with some paper trades to make sure I really understand, before I'd be comfortable with using real money.


What I do now is I look for stocks that I like, preferably priced at 25% or more below pre-crash price in Feb 2020 (not 52 week high).  I'd buy a few thousand dollars (less for higher risk).

Then I'd setup downward ladder limit order steps to 25% below the purchased price.  The total value of the limit orders typically add up to 100% of what I paid for in the first purchase.  If I really love the stock I might go higher.

So for KSS, say I bought $5,000 at $27.
25% below $27 is $20.
I setup limit orders at $26 25 24 23 22 21 20 (bigger gaps as needed for higher priced stocks)
Each limit order is 5000/7 = $700 ish, more if I really like the stock.

Another example, say if GE is trading at $6.60.
I put in first limit order of $1000 at $6.50.
Then I put in lower limit orders at $6.00, $5.50, and $5.00 at $350 each.


So if the stock continues to rise then none of the limit orders will execute and you only make gains from the initial purchase.

The money put into limit orders are not avail for trade and act like a reserve.  If the stock climbs high enough I will cancel the limit orders and reallocate the funds toward another stock purchase.

There is likely a smarter/better and more efficient way to do this.

If you really believe in the company you're buying stock in, maybe you can increase your limit order size for each lower price.  So that way, you bought more at $20 than at $26.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on June 10, 2020, 06:13:34 AM
If you really believe in the company you're buying stock in, maybe you can increase your limit order size for each lower price.  So that way, you bought more at $20 than at $26.

Yes -- if I really like the stock, the limit orders would be larger.  However 25% drops after the March crash has been hard to come by.  If by some miracle the stock falls from $26 to $20, I may make another lump purchase at $20 and setup limit orders $19-$15.

Previously I had made smaller initial purchases and put in much larger limit orders.  Unfortunately with only small dips after the initial March slide, this means most of the limit orders didn't execute and I only invested small % of the money.  After review I decided to just bump up the initial purchase in our U-shaped recovery phase.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on June 15, 2020, 01:15:15 PM

Getting ready for next dip.

ROKU
TTD
FSLY
BAC
TWLO
FB
PINS
NVTA

I have stakes in all of these.  I was eyeing but never pulled the trigger (but should have) on the following:

NVDA
SHOP

Now I'm eyeing the following:

LVGO
AYX
OKTA
WORK
SQ
MDB
MELI

Well...since my last stock pick posting, my portfolio did alright, but I could've done so much better!  Since then, I've added LVGO & AYX to my portfolio.  I still HIGH on ROKU (long term) and PINS.  I'm kicking myself for never starting positions of SHOP and NVDA.  The S&P 500 has been up about 7% since my last post.


ROKU: -10%
TTD: +44%
FSLY:  +130%
BAC:  +7%
TWLO: +94%
FB:  +27%
PINS:  +7%
NVTA:  +1%

I have stakes in all of these.  I was eyeing but never pulled the trigger (but should have) on the following:

NVDA:  +26%
SHOP:  +28%

Now I'm eyeing the following:

LVGO:  +47%
AYX:  +32%
OKTA:  +29%
WORK:  +13%
SQ:  +43%
MDB: +28%
MELI:  +57%
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on June 15, 2020, 05:40:19 PM

I was hoping the dip would go down further.  :(
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on June 23, 2020, 11:11:30 AM

Getting ready for next dip.

ROKU
TTD
FSLY
BAC
TWLO
FB
PINS
NVTA

I have stakes in all of these.  I was eyeing but never pulled the trigger (but should have) on the following:

NVDA
SHOP

Now I'm eyeing the following:

LVGO
AYX
OKTA
WORK
SQ
MDB
MELI

Well...since my last stock pick posting, my portfolio did alright, but I could've done so much better!  Since then, I've added LVGO & AYX to my portfolio.  I still HIGH on ROKU (long term) and PINS.  I'm kicking myself for never starting positions of SHOP and NVDA.  The S&P 500 has been up about 7% since my last post.


ROKU: -10%
TTD: +44%
FSLY:  +130%
BAC:  +7%
TWLO: +94%
FB:  +27%
PINS:  +7%
NVTA:  +1%

I have stakes in all of these.  I was eyeing but never pulled the trigger (but should have) on the following:

NVDA:  +26%
SHOP:  +28%

Now I'm eyeing the following:

LVGO:  +47%
AYX:  +32%
OKTA:  +29%
WORK:  +13%
SQ:  +43%
MDB: +28%
MELI:  +57%

Most of these picks continue to skyrocket.  This is sort of irrational.  I think I probably should be selling...but the problem is ,these companies have LONG runways and will probably be trending up for several years.  They're just getting started. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: irvinehomeowner on June 23, 2020, 11:33:01 AM
I don't speak stockinese. What are those stocks? I think I see Nvidia and Roku.

What are the others? Oklahoma Transit Authority? Las Vegas Go? MeliRoos?

:)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paperboyNC on June 23, 2020, 03:37:35 PM
I don't speak stockinese. What are those stocks? I think I see Nvidia and Roku.

What are the others? Oklahoma Transit Authority? Las Vegas Go? MeliRoos?

:)
It's easy to look them up. Type the sticker into the search box here https://finance.yahoo.com/
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on June 23, 2020, 03:43:19 PM
I don't speak stockinese. What are those stocks? I think I see Nvidia and Roku.

What are the others? Oklahoma Transit Authority? Las Vegas Go? MeliRoos?

:)

MeliRoos LOL, was hoping they were a company that took $1 from every Irvine Resident Mello Roos payment.  That would be a great investment.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on June 23, 2020, 04:03:33 PM
I don't speak stockinese. What are those stocks? I think I see Nvidia and Roku.

What are the others? Oklahoma Transit Authority? Las Vegas Go? MeliRoos?

:)

I won't invest in anything associated with Oklahoma.  Bad Investment.

Las Vegas Go?  That's hit or miss.  That's a straight gamble.

MeliRoos?  If it's invested in the Great Parks, then that's going up indefinitely.  Great Investment!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on June 23, 2020, 04:17:02 PM
I don't speak stockinese. What are those stocks? I think I see Nvidia and Roku.

What are the others? Oklahoma Transit Authority? Las Vegas Go? MeliRoos?

:)

I won't invest in anything associated with Oklahoma.  Bad Investment.

Las Vegas Go?  That's hit or miss.  That's a straight gamble.

MeliRoos?  If it's invested in the Great Parks, then that's going up indefinitely.  Great Investment!

Counter argument. The late Belly avoid GP at all cost.lol
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on June 24, 2020, 02:26:03 PM
Bought BRK-B from $180 down (180-179-178...)

Limit orders on SSO from $120 down ($121 today).  Hoping the dip continues.

Bought 500 shares of CTRM at $0.40  ($200).  This is a slot machine play betting on the price going up after June 26.  Don't buy unless if you can afford to put the money in a slot machine.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Compressed-Village on June 24, 2020, 03:40:46 PM
I will sit on the side line until Biden crash the market, later this year.  :)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on June 24, 2020, 04:09:42 PM
I will sit on the side line until Biden crash the market, later this year.  :)

Not at all. Trump is already crashing the market. His do nothing covid approach is not working.

Do not believe CNBC. The hosts are conservative except one. The young guy.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Compressed-Village on June 24, 2020, 08:31:32 PM
I will sit on the side line until Biden crash the market, later this year.  :)

Not at all. Trump is already crashing the market. His do nothing covid approach is not working.

Do not believe CNBC. The hosts are conservative except one. The young guy.

I agree with you. All that money pushed /pumped in and still in shiat holes. The FED and the rest are raining / spending money like a drunken sailor. When Biden comes in to put a stop to this corporate welfare’s, hedge funds guys then wake up and smell the real coffee.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on June 29, 2020, 09:05:50 AM

?_?  Why has WDC (Western Digital) and STX (Segate) stocks not recovered?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on June 29, 2020, 11:03:04 AM

?_?  Why has WDC (Western Digital) and STX (Segate) stocks not recovered?

Don't they both operate in a commodity market?  That would mean it's not a 'sexy' stock pick, even if they're making good $$. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on July 02, 2020, 08:30:39 AM
I'm eyeing WDC (owns Sandisk) STX and HPE.  People working from home still need hard drives and SSD's, and companies still need enterprise services.

HPQ and XRX are cheap but people working from home rarely needs to print office documents.  I think with what happened in recent months more people will migrate from print documents to electronic docs.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on July 02, 2020, 09:17:12 AM
I'm eyeing WDC (owns Sandisk) STX and HPE.  People working from home still need hard drives and SSD's, and companies still need enterprise services.

HPQ and XRX are cheap but people working from home rarely needs to print office documents.  I think with what happened in recent months more people will migrate from print documents to electronic docs.

This is why stocks like DOCU have performed so well lately.  That stock is on fire.  I'm kicking myself for not getting in when it was about 130/share. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on July 02, 2020, 12:57:42 PM
I'm eyeing WDC (owns Sandisk) STX and HPE.  People working from home still need hard drives and SSD's, and companies still need enterprise services.

HPQ and XRX are cheap but people working from home rarely needs to print office documents.  I think with what happened in recent months more people will migrate from print documents to electronic docs.

This is why stocks like DOCU have performed so well lately.  That stock is on fire.  I'm kicking myself for not getting in when it was about 130/share. 


I think DOCU is a great stock to buy (earlier) for the quarantine.  But I have some doubts regarding the long term outlook.  I've used DOCU for real estate docs a number of times and ran into bugs and issues, but those are easily fixed.  What concerns me is how the company makes money and the low barrier of entry in this segment.

Consider, it may be a large task to service e-sign documents for many segments, but a competitor only needs to service one (or more).  For example, someone else -- such as redfin, zillow, trulia, realtor.com, opendoor, or corelogic could come up a competing e-doc service specific to real estate and eat DOCU's market share.  Same applies for other market segments.  What if Ernst & Young and Experian wanted a piece of the action?  I don't believe DOCU has high level of customer loyalty.  Also unlike netflix, it's not like you can have exclusive license on common RE purchase or legal forms.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Mety on July 02, 2020, 01:03:06 PM
I don't do stocks, but my 401k looks to be almost caught up with the current. There was couple 5 figures lost just within a month or two when FED lowered the interest rates and with Covid-19 stuff started exploding, but those lost figures gained back now. I wonder how much Newsom's attempt to destroy the economy will work this time.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on July 02, 2020, 01:24:38 PM
I don't do stocks, but my 401k looks to be almost caught up with the current. There was couple 5 figures lost just within a month or two when FED lowered the interest rates and with Covid-19 stuff started exploding, but those lost figures gained back now. I wonder how much Newsom's attempt to destroy the economy will work this time.

Looking back, one of the financial mistakes or trade-off's I made was not making larger contributions to my 401(k) and ESPP.  Had I maxed out my contributions to both 5-6 years ago, that account would be about $200,000 richer today.  Instead the money was spent on vacations and cruises.  So instead of +$200,000 in the account I ate sushi at Tsukiji fish market and have um...  pictures of northern lights and all you can eat crab buffet from Alaska.  @_@
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on July 02, 2020, 02:05:42 PM
I don't do stocks, but my 401k looks to be almost caught up with the current. There was couple 5 figures lost just within a month or two when FED lowered the interest rates and with Covid-19 stuff started exploding, but those lost figures gained back now. I wonder how much Newsom's attempt to destroy the economy will work this time.

Looking back, one of the financial mistakes or trade-off's I made was not making larger contributions to my 401(k) and ESPP.  Had I maxed out my contributions to both 5-6 years ago, that account would be about $200,000 richer today.  Instead the money was spent on vacations and cruises.  Instead of +$200,000 in the account I ate sushi at Tsukiji fish market and have um...  pictures of northern lights and all you can eat crab buffet from Alaska.  @_@

That sounds more like a trade-off than a financial mistake.  Some of those experiences are priceless.  I missed out on my opportunity to go to that fish market when I was in Tokyo for a week.  And seeing the northern lights is on my short-list of things I need to see before I'm gone. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on July 02, 2020, 05:35:00 PM
I went a little later in the morning to avoid the crowd:

https://photos.app.goo.gl/VnwpHCCmNCTmhq1n9
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: daedalus on July 03, 2020, 09:16:58 PM
The photos bring back memories of my solo trip to Japan a few years ago.  Wish I had gone to Tsukiji, but I thought I had read somewhere that it already wasn't the same due to the imminent closure.  Plus I had no shortage of things to do and places to go, so I skipped it.  Because of life events I went in August, and it was miserably hot the whole time, but I still had a great trip.  The only negative thing I can say about Japan, other than the weather, is that it was exactly as I expected it would be. 

Sushi to sashimi wa oishiisou desu nee! 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on July 03, 2020, 11:19:12 PM
I'm eyeing WDC (owns Sandisk) STX and HPE.  People working from home still need hard drives and SSD's, and companies still need enterprise services.

HPQ and XRX are cheap but people working from home rarely needs to print office documents.  I think with what happened in recent months more people will migrate from print documents to electronic docs.

This is why stocks like DOCU have performed so well lately.  That stock is on fire.  I'm kicking myself for not getting in when it was about 130/share. 

DOCU and Zoom....I should have bought that back in March.  Oh well, I'm making a ton on playing selling weekly American Airlines options (both calls and puts) due to the high implied volatility. And for those times I get pushed into going long or short the stock, I just sell covered calls or puts against that position and exit with a profit the next week.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: OCtoSV on July 06, 2020, 07:40:55 AM
I went a little later in the morning to avoid the crowd:

https://photos.app.goo.gl/VnwpHCCmNCTmhq1n9
Did you stand in line for Daiwa? My first experience was in 2001, and I was hosted by a couple of Sumitomo Life Ins execs I had met at a bar the day before. 5:30am, dressed in suit and tie, pounding big Asahis with them before going to the office.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: irvinehomeowner on July 06, 2020, 09:25:51 AM
TSLA is going bonkers... where is morekaos and LL? :)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on July 06, 2020, 09:42:29 AM
TSLA is going bonkers... where is morekaos and LL? :)

Back in the office after 2 weeks in Avalon...I still hate it, I'm neither long or short it but have traded through it.  Lots of other places to make money out there.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: irvinehomeowner on July 06, 2020, 09:53:44 AM
TSLA is going bonkers... where is morekaos and LL? :)

Back in the office after 2 weeks in Avalon...I still hate it, I'm neither long or short it but have traded through it.  Lots of other places to make money out there.

But what do you think of them as a company now? With the Model 3/Y releases, I think they are proving long term viability.

Despite Elon's shenanigans, they are still way out in front of the EV race.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on July 06, 2020, 10:12:22 AM
Well remember AMZN collapsed to $6 after its first run before it went to $3000. Who the hell knows who survives.  All I know is TSLA looks mighty expensive using today's numbers.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on July 06, 2020, 11:42:31 AM
I went a little later in the morning to avoid the crowd:

https://photos.app.goo.gl/VnwpHCCmNCTmhq1n9
Did you stand in line for Daiwa? My first experience was in 2001, and I was hosted by a couple of Sumitomo Life Ins execs I had met at a bar the day before. 5:30am, dressed in suit and tie, pounding big Asahis with them before going to the office.


No, sadly we didn't have enough time.  We signed up with a budget tour package and had limited free days, but did find enough time to visit Shinjuku's piss alley (Omoide Yokocho) several times.  Interestingly, our local Japanese friend said it wasn't a place where single females went alone, and she had never visited the place until we took her.  Went to a back alley yakitori bar where local salaryman took OL's there to get drunk and carry her off after.

https://www.yelp.com/biz/piss-alley-%E6%96%B0%E5%AE%BF%E5%8C%BA
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on July 06, 2020, 05:04:36 PM
Well remember AMZN collapsed to $6 after its first run before it went to $3000. Who the hell knows who survives.  All I know is TSLA looks mighty expensive using today's numbers.

I owned about $12K in AAPL stock back in the early 2000's.  Had I kept it it would have made me a LOT of money.  Unfortunately I was short on cash and needed the money for down payment on another condo.

I think if the iPhone had been released then, I'd have made more effort to kept the stock.  Ah well.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on July 21, 2020, 03:46:22 PM

Currently eyeing MRNA, might start buying in $70's range.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on July 22, 2020, 12:24:45 PM
TSLA earnings today, any bets?  I’m guessing down 8-10% in after hours.  Not buying puts though.... super expensive!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on July 22, 2020, 12:27:23 PM
TSLA earnings today, any bets?  I’m guessing down 8-10% in after hours.  Not buying puts though.... super expensive!

I'm risk tolerant and not touching Tesla at all.  I've been selling out of the money puts on Redfin and Zillow with good success the past few months with the real estate pick up.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on July 22, 2020, 01:38:51 PM
Welp, looks like I was wrong but I bet Options sellers still win here as the move AH doesn't justify the premium.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on July 23, 2020, 03:25:55 PM
Picked up a little MRNA today.  Have limit orders at lower price if it drops some more ($68 this morning from the patent ruling).  Also keeping eye on IBIO, had bought few hundred shares earlier this month before it went crazy.  Might pick up more shares if price is right.

An acquaintance in the immunology field reviewed the research papers and in his opinion, IBIO's proprietary technology, plant based "natural" ingredients and single dose vaccine is very attractive.  He also believes the Moderna vaccine is superior to Oxford's and Pfizer's.

However since there are so many players gunning for the same target, the situation may change at any time.  It's possible that a dark horse runs in and sideswipes everyone with some miracle cure.  So don't bet your life savings on them.

I am also concerned that the political leadership may pressure Pfizer to release vaccine for general use a little too early after recent $2 billion deal.  But that's for another discussion.

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on July 29, 2020, 01:17:36 PM
Picked up a little BA @ $165.  Despite the bad news I don't think Uncle Sam will let them bleed to death.  Analyst forecast for BA is all over the map, though not as crazy as TSLA.  LoL.

https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=ba
vs
https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=TSLA


Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paperboyNC on July 29, 2020, 01:27:43 PM
Where was the stock tip to put my entire life savings into Kodak last week? That would have been helpful.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on July 29, 2020, 01:31:02 PM
Picked up a little BA @ $165.  Despite the bad news I don't think Uncle Sam will let them bleed to death.  Analyst forecast for BA is all over the map, though not as crazy as TSLA.  LoL.

https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=ba
vs
https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=TSLA

I have to step in and say something. Boeing is having trouble regarding the recertification of 757 Max aircraft.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: DBtoOC on July 29, 2020, 01:44:12 PM
Picked up a little BA @ $165.  Despite the bad news I don't think Uncle Sam will let them bleed to death.  Analyst forecast for BA is all over the map, though not as crazy as TSLA.  LoL.

https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=ba
vs
https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=TSLA

I have to step in and say something. Boeing is having trouble regarding the recertification of 757 Max aircraft.

I bought Boeing at $155 in early June and wondering if I should stick it out or not. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Bullsback on July 29, 2020, 01:44:52 PM
Picked up a little BA @ $165.  Despite the bad news I don't think Uncle Sam will let them bleed to death.  Analyst forecast for BA is all over the map, though not as crazy as TSLA.  LoL.

https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=ba
vs
https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=TSLA
If you are going way long - BA is probably a good bet. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Bullsback on July 29, 2020, 01:45:52 PM
Picked up a little BA @ $165.  Despite the bad news I don't think Uncle Sam will let them bleed to death.  Analyst forecast for BA is all over the map, though not as crazy as TSLA.  LoL.

https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=ba
vs
https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=TSLA

I have to step in and say something. Boeing is having trouble regarding the recertification of 757 Max aircraft.
5yrs from now - they will be fly and riding new highs - to your point, they have a very bumpy road until they get there and there will likely be a lot of volatility along the journey. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on July 29, 2020, 04:56:37 PM
Picked up a little BA @ $165.  Despite the bad news I don't think Uncle Sam will let them bleed to death.  Analyst forecast for BA is all over the map, though not as crazy as TSLA.  LoL.

https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=ba
vs
https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=TSLA

I have to step in and say something. Boeing is having trouble regarding the recertification of 757 Max aircraft.

I only bought 3 shares ($500).  Might pick up more if price drops.

But to your point, in addition to BA's aircraft woes, air travel is way down.  We don't really know if and when air travel will return to previous levels, as many business trips are now replaced by zoom meetings and people are gun-shy with taking vacations and cruises.

Baron Rothschild said to buy when there is blood in the streets.  I think BA and GE are bleeding but not mortally wounded.  I also think the government would not let them bleed to death.  Just my $0.02.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on July 29, 2020, 05:01:20 PM
I keep selling a few hundred out-of-the-money calls and puts on AAL each week. I'm up over $50k doing this on AAL since April. Looks of support around $10-11 and resistance around $13-14 but that can change week to week.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: DBtoOC on July 30, 2020, 07:38:55 AM
Just an FYI - It appears the Chief Medical Officer for Moderna (MRNA) just sold out of his entire position:

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001682852/000112760220022237/xslF345X03/form4.xml

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: qwerty on July 30, 2020, 09:05:21 AM
Just an FYI - It appears the Chief Medical Officer for Moderna (MRNA) just sold out of his entire position:

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001682852/000112760220022237/xslF345X03/form4.xml



This was under a 10b5-1 plan so he has his exercises scheduled out. So when setting it up he would elected to sell the entire shares related to the exercise. He still has about half a million options just for those two initial option grants.

This isn’t a situation where he knows something regarding the vaccine as it getting out before the stock tanks
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on July 30, 2020, 12:05:29 PM
Where was the stock tip to put my entire life savings into Kodak last week? That would have been helpful.

If we had a working crystal ball, you may have been better off putting your life savings in OSTK (overstock.com) back in March at $2.50/s.  It has performed better than Wayfair and Kodak.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on July 30, 2020, 01:50:12 PM
The stock market is over heated. Play the game until it pops.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on July 30, 2020, 02:40:40 PM
Apple announces 4-1 stock
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on August 06, 2020, 11:42:54 AM
Apple over $450 in midday trading.  At this rate it will be $500+ by the time of the split end Aug.

Not complaining though, I have a decent amount in my Roth.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on August 07, 2020, 09:19:43 AM
Wow Overstock.com killing it.   March low of $2.50 and currently $109.  Only about 40x increase in 5mo.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Compressed-Village on August 07, 2020, 11:31:57 AM
Wow Overstock.com killing it.   March low of $2.50 and currently $109.  Only about 40x increase in 5mo.


What’s the reason for this crazy run up?

They got 40X revenues and profit?  :)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on August 09, 2020, 12:42:59 PM
Be warned that last time OSTK went up in a frenzy in 4Q 2017, it crashed hard afterwards.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: qwerty on August 10, 2020, 10:55:46 PM
Alteryx (AYX) - a local company in Irvine with about annual revenues of about 400M and now a market cap of about $7B just tanked about 40% in the last two days. 30% on Friday and another 10% today.

I remember this was at about 90-95 not to long ago and thought about buying it but thought it was too pricey then it shot up to 180. Now it’s at about 109.

I may pull the trigger on this one. Seems like some good upside.

Anyone have this in their portfolio?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on August 11, 2020, 10:31:11 AM

The Russian COVID-19 vaccine news is killing biotech stocks now.  MRNA/SRNE/IBIO/etc. all getting hammered.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Kings on August 11, 2020, 12:17:54 PM

The Russian COVID-19 vaccine news is killing biotech stocks now.  MRNA/SRNE/IBIO/etc. all getting hammered.

overreaction and good buying opportunity.  russian covid vaccine has been tested on 76 people  ::)

Quote
76 People Tried Russia’s Vaccine. It’s a Drop in the Bucket.

News that Russia has effectively approved the world’s first Covid-19 vaccine has lifted stocks, but the coronavirus crisis is far from over. Not many people are known to have tried any of the vaccine candidates being developed.

Data from large trials of at least some of the vaccines should arrive in the fourth quarter of 2020.

Still, the fact that Russia has registered a vaccine is good news. Investors are happy: Europe’s FTSE 100 Index is up 1.7% in overseas trading. Asia’s Hang Seng Index rose 2.1%, and in the U.S., the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 were up 1.2% and 0.6%, respectively.

The Russian vaccine, however, was only tested on about 76 people. That’s the bad news embedded in Tuesday’s announcement.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/russia-registers-vaccine-76-people-have-tried-it-51597165886?siteid=yhoof2 (https://www.barrons.com/articles/russia-registers-vaccine-76-people-have-tried-it-51597165886?siteid=yhoof2)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on August 11, 2020, 12:59:11 PM
Alteryx (AYX) - a local company in Irvine with about annual revenues of about 400M and now a market cap of about $7B just tanked about 40% in the last two days. 30% on Friday and another 10% today.

I remember this was at about 90-95 not to long ago and thought about buying it but thought it was too pricey then it shot up to 180. Now it’s at about 109.

I may pull the trigger on this one. Seems like some good upside.

Anyone have this in their portfolio?

 

I have it in my portfolio.  I bought at 140, so I'm losing $$, but I'm holding for the long-term.  Lot of smart people I follow love this company and snatching up more shares.  I don't have any more cash, otherwise I'd do the same. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on August 11, 2020, 01:26:16 PM
Alteryx (AYX) - a local company in Irvine with about annual revenues of about 400M and now a market cap of about $7B just tanked about 40% in the last two days. 30% on Friday and another 10% today.

I remember this was at about 90-95 not to long ago and thought about buying it but thought it was too pricey then it shot up to 180. Now it%u2019s at about 109.

I may pull the trigger on this one. Seems like some good upside.

Anyone have this in their portfolio?

 

I have it in my portfolio.  I bought at 140, so I'm losing $$, but I'm holding for the long-term.  Lot of smart people I follow love this company and snatching up more shares.  I don't have any more cash, otherwise I'd do the same.

Better play is sales force. Sales force owns Tableau. (Some people say that Tableau #1 analytics platform)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on August 11, 2020, 01:45:11 PM
Camping world is nice (the new travel)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Bullsback on August 11, 2020, 01:51:03 PM
Alteryx (AYX) - a local company in Irvine with about annual revenues of about 400M and now a market cap of about $7B just tanked about 40% in the last two days. 30% on Friday and another 10% today.

I remember this was at about 90-95 not to long ago and thought about buying it but thought it was too pricey then it shot up to 180. Now it’s at about 109.

I may pull the trigger on this one. Seems like some good upside.

Anyone have this in their portfolio?
What is the driver - they have a great tool/platform so curious. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: qwerty on August 11, 2020, 03:10:24 PM
Alteryx (AYX) - a local company in Irvine with about annual revenues of about 400M and now a market cap of about $7B just tanked about 40% in the last two days. 30% on Friday and another 10% today.

I remember this was at about 90-95 not to long ago and thought about buying it but thought it was too pricey then it shot up to 180. Now it’s at about 109.

I may pull the trigger on this one. Seems like some good upside.

Anyone have this in their portfolio?
What is the driver - they have a great tool/platform so curious. 

The deceleration of growth over the last two quarters plus their guidance for the remainder of 2020. Q120 revenue grew about 45%, Q220 grew 17% and Q320 revenue is expected to grow 7-11% with full year 2020 having growth of about 10-11%. I haven’t done the math but that probably implies a revenue decline in Q420.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/seekingalpha.com/amp/article/4367228-alteryx-stock-crushes-buying-opportunity
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on August 11, 2020, 04:48:32 PM
Tesla announce 5 for 1 stock split.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: irvinehomeowner on August 11, 2020, 09:24:11 PM
Tesla announce 5 for 1 stock split.

Buy!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on August 11, 2020, 09:47:49 PM
Tesla announce 5 for 1 stock split.

Buy!

Back up the Ev truck and load up the stock
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on August 12, 2020, 07:21:11 AM
Woke up early and picked up 10 shares of TSLA on morning dip.

Will become 50 shares by month's end.  :D
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: best_potsticker_in_town on August 12, 2020, 09:14:51 AM
Good move. I'm eyeing it too...but I couldn't wake up early.  :(
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Cares on August 12, 2020, 10:36:56 AM
Elon really trying to achieve the $420 price.

I think he was cryptically saying a split was imminent when he said the stock price was too high.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: OCtoSV on August 12, 2020, 04:30:01 PM
What do people think of ISRG for a long term play at just under the current 52 week high? They have such a strong balance sheet and a competitive moat.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on August 12, 2020, 05:36:39 PM
For long term play I’d choose AAPL over ISRG.  They have a solid customer base (huge market), and good quality products that aren’t fragmented like Android devices. 

In 3 years when AAPL is back at $400 post 4for1 split, I’m sure I’ll be wishing I owned more.  AAPL will make you rich slowly but surely, just reinvest your dividends and keep DCA buying shares.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: OCtoSV on August 13, 2020, 07:43:31 AM
For long term play I’d choose AAPL over ISRG.  They have a solid customer base (huge market), and good quality products that aren’t fragmented like Android devices. 

In 3 years when AAPL is back at $400 post 4for1 split, I’m sure I’ll be wishing I owned more.  AAPL will make you rich slowly but surely, just reinvest your dividends and keep DCA buying shares.

no question - already have a big position and will add to it. Huge fan of their financial and business performance.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on August 19, 2020, 02:12:00 PM
I think AAPL is ripe (no pun intended) for a 20% price drop, then I'll back up the truck in the $380's and buy buy buy for the next run-up. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on August 19, 2020, 04:18:55 PM
Sold TSLA today.

My buy-in for AAPL after 4-1 split is $100 and below.

For TSLA after 5-1 split, I haven't decided on where to put my limit orders yet.  But most likely it will be below $300.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Irvinehomeseeker on August 19, 2020, 04:31:02 PM
I think AAPL is ripe (no pun intended) for a 20% price drop, then I'll back up the truck in the $380's and buy buy buy for the next run-up.
It's just been going up despite the pandemic. Why do you think it can plummet 20%?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on August 31, 2020, 08:05:05 AM
Woke up early and snagged 20 shares TSLA pre-market (decided not to wait for the dip).  As soon as the market opened the feeding frenzy was on.  Word on twitter is that there were so many more people who want to buy vs those who want to sell, if you put in an order to buy it'd just sit there for a while.

If the feeding frenzy continues the stock might go over $500 by closing.  I have no idea when people will wake up to Tesla's P/E ratio.  Many eyes on Tesla's battery day on 9/22 -- will they reveal million mile battery or under-deliver?

As for AAPL, historically speaking whenever AAPL had split, the price was down 2 weeks after split.  I can't say history will always repeat itself, of course.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: lnc on August 31, 2020, 01:02:32 PM
Woke up early and snagged 20 shares TSLA pre-market (decided not to wait for the dip).  As soon as the market opened the feeding frenzy was on.  Word on twitter is that there were so many more people who want to buy vs those who want to sell, if you put in an order to buy it'd just sit there for a while.

If the feeding frenzy continues the stock might go over $500 by closing.  I have no idea when people will wake up to Tesla's P/E ratio.  Many eyes on Tesla's battery day on 9/22 -- will they reveal million mile battery or under-delver?

As for AAPL, historically speaking whenever AAPL had split, the price was down 2 weeks after split.  I can't say history will always repeat itself, of course.

The trading volume for TSLA and AAPl are so high that it causes delay in various trading platforms.


https://www.marketwatch.com/story/robinhood-td-ameritrade-and-more-face-outages-after-tesla-apple-split-stocks-11598890877?mod=home-page
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: daedalus on August 31, 2020, 06:11:20 PM
I had a friend tell me on Friday that they're doing great with TSLA and if (when) it goes up to its pre-split price, she's going to retire.  It reminded me of when I told my boss something similar around March of 2000...that I may not have to work for much longer. 

That little comment from her is a blaring alarm siren to me on TSLA, and possibly the market as a whole.  Are we there now, or are things even crazier than they were in 2000?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: OCLuvr on August 31, 2020, 07:53:06 PM
I can’t say about a specific company/stock, but for overall market Fed is there to help.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paperboyNC on September 02, 2020, 12:12:02 PM
I had a friend tell me on Friday that they're doing great with TSLA and if (when) it goes up to its pre-split price, she's going to retire.  It reminded me of when I told my boss something similar around March of 2000...that I may not have to work for much longer. 

That little comment from her is a blaring alarm siren to me on TSLA, and possibly the market as a whole.  Are we there now, or are things even crazier than they were in 2000?

People don't understand splits. I had a friend also tell in 2000:
"My stock options are worth $2.5 million after 2 stock splits. 2 more stock splits and I'll be worth $10 million! I'm not selling a single share until we hit 10 mil".

A few months later the company was bankrupt.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: OCLuvr on September 02, 2020, 01:04:17 PM
Is TSLA short term run up over?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on September 02, 2020, 01:38:22 PM
Is TSLA short term run up over?

I unloaded TSLA and got my money back today.  Gonna make some popcorn and watch.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on September 02, 2020, 01:51:05 PM
Is the stock over value? No doubt.
But they have a big fans. I know this guy who owns Tesla stock. He is like in love with Tesla. But since he does not own the car. So he owns the stock.
It is his connection with Tesla.
Probably that is the same with many people.
Also, you got new investors just buying stock without looking at the fundamentals.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on September 02, 2020, 01:53:02 PM
Is the stock over value? No doubt.
But they have a big fans. I know this guy who owns Tesla stock. He is like in love with Tesla. But since he does not own the car. So he owns the stock.
It is his connection with Tesla.
Probably that is the same with many people.
Also, you got new investors just buying stock without looking at the fundamentals.

I know the feeling, kinda.  I have a TON of Apple stock, but refuse to upgrade my iPhone 7 until it dies.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Irvinecommuter on September 02, 2020, 01:54:58 PM
Is the stock over value? No doubt.
But they have a big fans. I know this guy who owns Tesla stock. He is like in love with Tesla. But since he does not own the car. So he owns the stock.
It is his connection with Tesla.
Probably that is the same with many people.
Also, you got new investors just buying stock without looking at the fundamentals.

The amateurs are running the shows now...all the professionals are just riding the wave and collecting the savings.  Just look at what happened to Kodak to see that this market is not sound.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on September 02, 2020, 02:03:56 PM
Is the stock over value? No doubt.
But they have a big fans. I know this guy who owns Tesla stock. He is like in love with Tesla. But since he does not own the car. So he owns the stock.
It is his connection with Tesla.
Probably that is the same with many people.
Also, you got new investors just buying stock without looking at the fundamentals.

The amateurs are running the shows now...all the professionals are just riding the wave and collecting the savings.  Just look at what happened to Kodak to see that this market is not sound.

But Kodak is not a good representation of the market.  Neither is the DJIA.  The S&P 500 is flawed due to the concentration of a select few of those 500 companies having the lion's share of the influence on the index value. 

The Russell 2000 is probably a better measuring stick and is actually down YTD and only up about 6% for the past 12 months. 

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on September 02, 2020, 02:51:21 PM
But I am still buying Tesla. Hehe
Ride the wave!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Irvinecommuter on September 02, 2020, 02:55:32 PM
Is the stock over value? No doubt.
But they have a big fans. I know this guy who owns Tesla stock. He is like in love with Tesla. But since he does not own the car. So he owns the stock.
It is his connection with Tesla.
Probably that is the same with many people.
Also, you got new investors just buying stock without looking at the fundamentals.

The amateurs are running the shows now...all the professionals are just riding the wave and collecting the savings.  Just look at what happened to Kodak to see that this market is not sound.

But Kodak is not a good representation of the market.  Neither is the DJIA.  The S&P 500 is flawed due to the concentration of a select few of those 500 companies having the lion's share of the influence on the index value. 

The Russell 2000 is probably a better measuring stick and is actually down YTD and only up about 6% for the past 12 months.

Not saying that Kodak is a representation of the market...just that the effects of amateur and day traders. 

Stock market is a good indicator of the big companies but the problem is not that them...it is the small and medium size businesses.   

Target and Walmart are thriving but all the mom and pop stores are dying.  Just like McDonalds and chain store restaurant are doing great but most independent restaurant will not survive.

The rot is from the bottom and we keep looking at the top as evidence that the everything is going well.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on September 04, 2020, 01:10:14 AM
I think AAPL is ripe (no pun intended) for a 20% price drop, then I'll back up the truck in the $380's and buy buy buy for the next run-up.
It's just been going up despite the pandemic. Why do you think it can plummet 20%?

Who knows.  I read 3 articles from “experts” on why the market snowballed today and they all had different explanations.  I have learned though to take a queue from historical fluctuations. 

If AAPL drops under $100 next week, will definitely be buying a decent amount.  The hard part though is to stay the course if it continues to drop to 90, mid 80s, etc.  I’ve also learned that buying after a 20-25% drop and holding on through the lows has made me a lot of money over the last 10 years, and I’m ready to do it again.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on September 04, 2020, 08:14:13 AM
But I am still buying Tesla. Hehe
Ride the wave!

Lucky thing I placed a limit order a couple days ago and it did not go through.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Compressed-Village on September 04, 2020, 08:57:28 AM
And I thought you were seasoned speculators.   :)

Tesla is NOT ridding high on selling cars, cuz, they not even profittable. They are ridding high on hot air and stock pumps. They are selling stocks and car is just a bonus.  :) :) :) They do have a cult followers and not even counting on earnings to be reasons.



Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on September 04, 2020, 09:00:54 AM
I thought Tesla reported $100M net profit last quarter.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Compressed-Village on September 04, 2020, 09:05:15 AM
I thought Tesla reported $100M net profit last quarter.

Chump change compare to their rediculous valuation. Yes, at 100M profit is less than Elon a day worth of work, on paper.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: irvinehomeowner on September 04, 2020, 10:23:35 AM
Who is doing all-electric cars better than Tesla right now?

Don't be a morekaos and underestimate Elon.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Compressed-Village on September 04, 2020, 11:01:04 AM
Elon is a brilliant entrepreneur, a technological gifted mind and goals.

I am down play the stock valuation and the current worth of the company pricing. If it get to 200, it might be ok to buy. There is a lot of electric coming.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Compressed-Village on September 08, 2020, 10:31:27 AM
Common Elon, send out some crazy tweets, and stop the bloodbath. 20% as I am writing 9/8/2020 10:35 AM
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on September 08, 2020, 10:55:26 AM
TSLA price today is fairly stable so far, but am not touching it for now.

Putting in SSO limit orders $70-$50 covering DOW 26,600-23,500.
AAPL $100-$80.

Now I can go eat lunch without having my eyeballs glued to the stock ticker.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Compressed-Village on September 08, 2020, 11:42:58 AM
Jim Rogers “sometimes do nothing and watch is the right thing to do”
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on September 08, 2020, 11:51:44 AM
Jim Rogers “sometimes do nothing and watch is the right thing to do”

Did he steal that from Bogle “Don’t do something, just stand there.”
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on September 08, 2020, 12:03:01 PM
TSLA price today is fairly stable so far, but am not touching it for now.

Putting in SSO limit orders $70-$50 covering DOW 26,600-23,500.
AAPL $100-$80.

Now I can go eat lunch without having my eyeballs glued to the stock ticker.

Tesla did not get into the S&P as many expected.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Compressed-Village on September 08, 2020, 12:17:55 PM
Jim Rogers “sometimes do nothing and watch is the right thing to do”

Did he steal that from Bogle “Don’t do something, just stand there.”

Do something by anticipate the up/down. Watch which sector crash harder, than the other. Precious metal seem to hold up well
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on September 08, 2020, 03:07:45 PM
It's worth noting that in 2018, a year before John C Bogle's passing, Vanguard decided to remove S&P 500 fund from their employee's retirement plan, instead recommending total stock market index fund.

Fast forward to present day, we can see how the S&P 500 is slowly being dominated by top tech stocks (FANG) which is driving the index's recent gains this year.  In many ways the S&P 500 is no longer well diversified and Vanguard saw it coming a mile away.


Regarding the buy and hold method, I think it's fine if you invested in broad market index or have someone like Warren Buffet & pals managing your money.  But it's potentially suicidal to chase the hottest stock and pray that it will go even higher in buy and hold.  People like to cite AAPL as a success but what about Yahoo?  It was once one of the most valuable companies and look where it went, along with many other has been's in the tech industry.  Sun Micro Systems for example lost 98% of its market value (!) by 2009 and managed to get itself sold to Oracle, guess buying MySQL in 2008 for $1 billion paid off.

I recall reading about the coffee can portfolio years ago and the assumption is that you'd buy numerous stocks based on certain criteria, including buying on dips (yes, timing the market to some extent) and hold for 10 years.  Some stocks will go bust while others will fly.  I think this is still relevant today even as company's lifespan on the S&P is shrinking.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Cares on September 16, 2020, 01:25:38 PM
Anyone get in on the SNOW IPO today?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: qwerty on September 16, 2020, 02:36:37 PM
Anyone get in on the SNOW IPO today?

That valuation is insane.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on September 16, 2020, 02:50:17 PM
Anyone get in on the SNOW IPO today?

More FOMO...just like Tesla, I wouldn't touch that with my enemy's money. Plenty of money to be made trading options on turd stocks like AAL, PLAY, SDC, SAVE, etc.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on September 16, 2020, 03:11:33 PM
I considered buying until I saw it open at +100%... sheesh.  Even on overvalued stocks there's money to be made riding the wave, but I'm not buying this one on a green day.  Maybe I'll wait until a 10%+ drop day and throw some $ at it.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: daedalus on September 17, 2020, 12:06:07 AM
Perhaps bought up by the same astute investors who bought up the stock offered by bankrupt Hertz.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on September 17, 2020, 09:15:18 AM
Perhaps bought up by the same astute investors who bought up the stock offered by bankrupt Hertz.

No shocker that the stock is down below the IPO price where the opening trade is over 100% higher than the IPO price. Like I said, I wouldn't touch it with my worst emeny's money.  So many other rational stocks to make money on.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Logik on September 18, 2020, 01:24:33 PM
This was an interesting article below.  I was wonder how are folks positioning themselves until end of the year.  If folks are to believe this article, what would be the best way to position oneself for a trade?  Put options on one of the ETFs? Play the volatility index? Short a particular sector and go long another?  Just curious how everyone is trying to game the next several months as I expect there to be significant volatility which can present some great opportunities.  Thanks.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-market-is-at-the-start-of-a-selloff-says-veteran-trader-larry-williams-2020-09-18
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Compressed-Village on September 18, 2020, 06:23:52 PM
This was an interesting article below.  I was wonder how are folks positioning themselves until end of the year.  If folks are to believe this article, what would be the best way to position oneself for a trade?  Put options on one of the ETFs? Play the volatility index? Short a particular sector and go long another?  Just curious how everyone is trying to game the next several months as I expect there to be significant volatility which can present some great opportunities.  Thanks.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-market-is-at-the-start-of-a-selloff-says-veteran-trader-larry-williams-2020-09-18

If you never done options and want to get your feet wets, start with simulations.

https://ragingbull.com/options/options-trading-simulator/
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on September 22, 2020, 04:55:21 PM
Battery Day.  Nice.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on October 13, 2020, 02:28:07 AM
I think AAPL is ripe (no pun intended) for a 20% price drop, then I'll back up the truck in the $380's and buy buy buy for the next run-up.
It's just been going up despite the pandemic. Why do you think it can plummet 20%?

Who knows.  I read 3 articles from “experts” on why the market snowballed today and they all had different explanations.  I have learned though to take a queue from historical fluctuations. 

If AAPL drops under $100 next week, will definitely be buying a decent amount.  The hard part though is to stay the course if it continues to drop to 90, mid 80s, etc.  I’ve also learned that buying after a 20-25% drop and holding on through the lows has made me a lot of money over the last 10 years, and I’m ready to do it again.

AAPL never quite got under $100 but I bought some end of September around $115.  I’m not confident in this event tomorrow though, it could be Apples “Battery Day” and stock could lose 10%.  If it drops under $110 this week, will be buying some more, I think it will slowly rise as they release iPhone pre-sale numbers and get closer to launch day.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: spootieho on October 13, 2020, 01:16:35 PM
I think Tesla will ping $500/share again in the next 2 weeks.  Was $440, so that's a 14% gain... 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on October 13, 2020, 07:28:33 PM
I think AAPL is ripe (no pun intended) for a 20% price drop, then I'll back up the truck in the $380's and buy buy buy for the next run-up.
It's just been going up despite the pandemic. Why do you think it can plummet 20%?

Who knows.  I read 3 articles from “experts” on why the market snowballed today and they all had different explanations.  I have learned though to take a queue from historical fluctuations. 

If AAPL drops under $100 next week, will definitely be buying a decent amount.  The hard part though is to stay the course if it continues to drop to 90, mid 80s, etc.  I’ve also learned that buying after a 20-25% drop and holding on through the lows has made me a lot of money over the last 10 years, and I’m ready to do it again.

AAPL never quite got under $100 but I bought some end of September around $115.  I’m not confident in this event tomorrow though, it could be Apples “Battery Day” and stock could lose 10%.  If it drops under $110 this week, will be buying some more, I think it will slowly rise as they release iPhone pre-sale numbers and get closer to launch day.

You could keep selling weekly out of the money puts at the price that you are willing to buy is a good strategy...I'm doing that with a handful of stocks now.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on December 01, 2020, 10:40:23 AM

If MRNA dips further I may buy the dip ($130 and under).
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on December 01, 2020, 01:11:52 PM
Watch out for commercial reits due to covid. (office buildings, malls/retail)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on December 01, 2020, 02:00:18 PM
Long term prospect for mall retail is not great, though I do own JWN.  I think KSS has better chance being mostly located away from shopping malls.  I was able to buy JWN and KSS down following the dip and is currently at +60% or so.  I will hold until vaccine rollout which will probably give retail another bump.

For MRNA I bought from $75-$55.  I think if it dips under $130 I will get some more, I expect the stock to bump after FDA approval and looking to exit from $180-$200.  Also looking to pick up more INO if it dips under $12.

If NIO and PLTR dips by half from recent peak I will buy some too.  Say $17 for PLTR and $30 for NIO.

For REIT I bought some KBWD and KBWY on dip couple months back.  Will hold them for now.

My largest purchases went to oil/gas/energy sector and I'm hoping they'd get a bump after vaccine rollout next year.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on December 17, 2020, 08:29:29 AM
Picked up some OSTK for Holidays.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: arsha99 on January 09, 2021, 05:16:46 PM
I think Tesla will ping $500/share again in the next 2 weeks.  Was $440, so that's a 14% gain...

Found the fortune teller.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on January 22, 2021, 10:36:07 AM
Biden is looking to restore the $7500 tax credit for Tesla, which may boost Tesla sales and stock prices further.

I bought some lithium-cobalt-nickel (used for EV) mining penny stocks this week.  $200 each, watch out for foreign transaction fees.  These are all penny stocks for a reason, they are still drilling samples.  If they hit a rich deposit the stock might jackpot.  If not then it's throw away.  Expect roller coaster rides.

Cruise Cobalt is also working on Cobalt sulfate refinery in Ontario, competing with First Cobalt Corp in Toronto.  Long term industry trend is to move toward cobalt free lithium ion batteries, but in short to intermediate term demand is likely to outpace supply.  (Cobalt is expensive)

SNNAF
SPMTF
BKTPF
FTSSF
WSCRF
ARRRF
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: DBtoOC on January 26, 2021, 11:41:14 AM
Can someone please explain the madness surrounding GME speculation?  I'm not sure what subReddit has done here, but they just manipulated the market big time over the past few days. 

Now, billionaire investors are getting skin in the game and benefiting from this ridiculousness!  SMH.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on January 26, 2021, 11:55:35 AM
Can someone please explain the madness surrounding GME speculation?  I'm not sure what subReddit has done here, but they just manipulated the market big time over the past few days. 

Now, billionaire investors are getting skin in the game and benefiting from this ridiculousness!  SMH.

So from what I was told and read. Some people or many that GME can go to $1k. Lol
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on January 26, 2021, 12:13:17 PM
I would not buy it.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on January 26, 2021, 12:23:16 PM
Can someone please explain the madness surrounding GME speculation?  I'm not sure what subReddit has done here, but they just manipulated the market big time over the past few days. 

Now, billionaire investors are getting skin in the game and benefiting from this ridiculousness!  SMH.

Short squeeze..this will not end well. ;D ;) >:D
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Cornflakes on January 26, 2021, 02:16:37 PM
I have a feeling that those billionaires will have a team of sophisticated traders and they will just take the cream off the top and retail traders will be holding the bag when the dust settles.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: zubs on January 26, 2021, 02:18:07 PM
I like this explanation from reddit.


Let's say 5 banana's currently cost 10 dollar

Right now GME is almost $200.
Buy a share and join in the fun!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on January 26, 2021, 02:20:41 PM
This is like 1999 all over again.  They lure in the masses then cut off their heads.  All these would be Bud Fox's/Robin Hoods are about to learn a valuable...and expensive lesson in the stock and crypto markets.  Some things never change.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on January 26, 2021, 03:29:48 PM
I got burned on GME yesterday.  Bought high and panic sold low thinking it was going to hit rock bottom.  Lesson learned, too stressful for me.  I think TSLA and AAPL earnings will be enough stress for me tomorrow.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: irvinelurker on January 26, 2021, 03:40:28 PM
This is like 1999 all over again.  They lure in the masses then cut off their heads.  All these would be Bud Fox's/Robin Hoods are about to learn a valuable...and expensive lesson in the stock and crypto markets.  Some things never change.

Blue horseshoe loves gamestop  ;D
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: zubs on January 27, 2021, 08:39:03 AM
GME @ $348 now.  Will it break $1,000?

LOL


Elon prob. has a few thousand shares for shitz n gigglez.


(https://images2.markets.businessinsider.com/601147b21d2df20018b710d8?format=jpeg)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on January 27, 2021, 08:57:48 AM
I read people are putting live savings into GME. If it falls, there dreams might be crushed.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: DBtoOC on January 27, 2021, 09:00:27 AM
Apparently several other stocks are on the short squeeze now. 

If hedge funds stop their short-selling practice, that might add to the current stock bubble across the market.  This is nuts.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on January 27, 2021, 09:05:54 AM
There is nothing wrong with short selling...like playing the Don't Come line.  Just need to always marry it with a call just in case.  These are big boys going against the mob.  Would not want to bump heads with Blackrock in this little standoff.  Robin Hood will lose big in the end.  Well as the old saying will prove true again...A fool and his money....
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on January 27, 2021, 09:51:05 AM
I heard somewhere that these funds are considering falsely releasing a short position while taking a much larger long position and hoping to profit from the wsb mob.  Interesting times.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on January 27, 2021, 09:57:19 AM
Wouldn't suprise me...Like Ackmans short in March...take advantage of all the fools out there and profit...

It’s douches like Ackman that screw up the average investor. This guy shot off his mouth on the 18th. Tanked the markets after he had established a massive short position. Then covered, pocketed 3 billion that he promptly put into the exact stocks he highlighted as in trouble. That is market manipulation and those the listened to him should be embarrassed.

Bill Ackman warned ‘hell is coming’ because of virus: He then pocketed $2B in bets against markets


Bill Ackman turned a net profit of more than $2 billion on Monday after he sold his bets against the market less than one week after warning CNBC that “hell is coming”
He then used those proceeds to wager that existing Pershing bets, including hotel operator Hilton Worldwide, would rebound.
The Ackman about-face came less than one week after he told CNBC that the United States was in jeopardy unless the White House closed the country.
That he added to his Hilton position using the money he earned from his bets against the market is notable after saying the stock could be headed to zero.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/25/bill-ackman-exits-market-hedges-uses-2-billion-he-made-to-buy-more-stocks-including-hilton.html? (https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/25/bill-ackman-exits-market-hedges-uses-2-billion-he-made-to-buy-more-stocks-including-hilton.html?)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on January 27, 2021, 10:16:09 AM
/me eyes neglected Nokia stocks suddenly get +100% luv  @_@;;

Is this...  another ABML?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: zubs on January 27, 2021, 10:34:32 AM
Retards are going to lose a lot of money on this, and it'll be sad and funny @ the same time.
Why not put some scratch in and join the retards on wallstreetbets?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on January 27, 2021, 11:48:54 AM
Winter is coming!...

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on January 27, 2021, 11:52:54 AM
Retards are going to lose a lot of money on this, and it'll be sad and funny @ the same time.
Why not put some scratch in and join the retards on wallstreetbets?
Yeah I agree.
Some of these people do not know what is going on. This one person thought Nokia was an EV. Lol  He was mistaking it for Nikola the Ev company.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: nosuchreality on January 27, 2021, 11:53:42 AM
Playing musical chairs where half the players are employed by the guy running the music.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on January 27, 2021, 11:55:26 AM
Playing musical chairs where half the players are employed by the guy running the music.

Yup. It’s funny to watch. There is a guy on twitch with 20k live viewers pumping the meme stocks. Lol
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on January 27, 2021, 01:52:29 PM
For those that don't remember the last "democratization" of the stock market watch these actual commercials designed to sucker in the sheep...1999.   It did not end wellfor the sheep...



Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Kenkoko on January 27, 2021, 08:09:45 PM
Retards are going to lose a lot of money on this, and it'll be sad and funny @ the same time.
Why not put some scratch in and join the retards on wallstreetbets?

I love how all the talking heads are calling Wall Street Bets "retards" and “amateurs”  when they are the ones who actually understood the gamma squeeze unlike the hedge fund suits that got rekted
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Kenkoko on January 27, 2021, 08:18:27 PM
Can someone please explain the madness surrounding GME speculation?  I'm not sure what subReddit has done here, but they just manipulated the market big time over the past few days. 

Now, billionaire investors are getting skin in the game and benefiting from this ridiculousness!  SMH.

1 hedge fund blows up 1,000,000 retail investors ? “Efficient market”

1,000,000 retail investors blow up 1 hedge fund ? “Market manipulation”
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Cornflakes on January 27, 2021, 11:56:31 PM
There is nothing wrong with short selling...like playing the Don't Come line.  Just need to always marry it with a call just in case.  These are big boys going against the mob.  Would not want to bump heads with Blackrock in this little standoff.  Robin Hood will lose big in the end.  Well as the old saying will prove true again...A fool and his money....

Not necessary. When industrialists sucked lifeblood out of workers, unions came along and weakened the power of the elite. Sure it was painful transition for some or most but in the end they were better off.

I see this WSB as a revolt of masses against wall street elites. Will some 'retards' as they call themselves lose a shirt? Yes. The billions that few short sellers are losing are bing redistributed across a much broader base. As a whole I am hoping that enough of whales take a lesson from this and overall manipulation of the market reduces by a notch.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: nosuchreality on January 28, 2021, 06:58:18 AM
A tout is a tout. A pyramid scheme is a pyramid scheme.

Jimho, the hedge funds are the ones playing legitimately.

Most covered their positions yesterday or the day before, they probably will make more money now in the chaos than before.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: aquabliss on January 28, 2021, 07:17:37 AM
Looks like RobinHood has blocked me from buying GME.  So much for a free market.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on January 28, 2021, 08:09:14 AM
Looks like RobinHood has blocked me from buying GME.  So much for a free market.

The onliners are starting to cover their arses.  Even though you make the calls they still have liability from the "suitability" flank if lots of clients lose money (which they will).  Schwab lost a case in the early 2000's (after the dot.com bust) when they thought they were only an order taker and had no responsibility if their clients committed financial suicide through their services...they were wrong, and that set the precedent.  The cycle continues today...Soon a Fed or  Treasury official will make an "Irrational Exuberance" comment.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: nosuchreality on January 28, 2021, 08:58:05 AM
Unmask WSB.

The initial tout on Jan 13th caused 140M surge in trading volume in a day.  That's $2.8B, or 100,000 retail investors taking $30,000 swings on a reddit tout.

300,000 taking $10,000 swings?

Oh wait, Robinhood average investor portfolio size is under $5000.

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Soylent Green Is People on January 28, 2021, 09:40:27 AM
Anyone else sense how appropriate it is that "Robinhood" has been at the forefront of this chaos?

Not supportive at all of the casino that WS has morphed into. Yes, it's always been a rigged game, but now there are so many other ways to appropriate wealth from outsiders to insiders.

If anything comes out of this, I'd hope it would be a per trade tax (buy and sell) that Harris was promoting when she was a candidate. I' m not turning this into a political thread here, but realistically some sort of Washington intervention is likely to occur once GameStop et al finally settle out. Let's hope the curbs will be meaningful.

My .02c
i
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on January 28, 2021, 09:43:41 AM
I hope the comments on R were not true. That some dumped their life savings into these stocks.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on January 28, 2021, 09:49:20 AM
Without the government...it never makes money...

Tesla announces first EVER annual profit with earnings of $721 million in 2020 - but Elon Musk's firm falls short of Wall Street expectations
Tesla saw its stock soar in 2020 to make it the world´s most valuable automaker
The company earned $721 million, capped by a $270 million profit in Q4
It was Tesla's sixth straight quarterly net profit after years of mostly losses
Tesla said that excluding special items, it made $2.24 per share for the year, falling short of Wall Street expectations of $2.45
Earlier this month Tesla's market cap passed $800 billion for the first time ever 

Once again the company needed regulatory credits purchased by other automakers in order to make a profit. Without $1.58 billion in credits for the year, Tesla would have lost money. Other automakers buy the credits when they can't meet emissions and fuel economy standards.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9194675/Tesla-fights-pandemic-rides-sales-jump-1st-annual-profit.html (https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9194675/Tesla-fights-pandemic-rides-sales-jump-1st-annual-profit.html)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on January 28, 2021, 09:53:22 AM
Here we go again.  So tell all there farmers that got subsidies for not selling crops to return the check.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on January 28, 2021, 09:53:57 AM
Tell all those people that received PPP loans to return it. If they eventually closed their business.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: nosuchreality on January 28, 2021, 10:16:51 AM
Without the government...it never makes money...

Tesla announces first EVER annual profit with earnings of $721 million in 2020 - but Elon Musk's firm falls short of Wall Street expectations
Tesla saw its stock soar in 2020 to make it the world´s most valuable automaker
The company earned $721 million, capped by a $270 million profit in Q4
It was Tesla's sixth straight quarterly net profit after years of mostly losses
Tesla said that excluding special items, it made $2.24 per share for the year, falling short of Wall Street expectations of $2.45
Earlier this month Tesla's market cap passed $800 billion for the first time ever 

Once again the company needed regulatory credits purchased by other automakers in order to make a profit. Without $1.58 billion in credits for the year, Tesla would have lost money. Other automakers buy the credits when they can't meet emissions and fuel economy standards.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9194675/Tesla-fights-pandemic-rides-sales-jump-1st-annual-profit.html (https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9194675/Tesla-fights-pandemic-rides-sales-jump-1st-annual-profit.html)

1980 Hurricane season was tied at the time for most named storms.  It did $1.57 billion in damage in the USA.

The 2020 Hurricane season is the new champ and weighs in at $54.51 billion in damage (and probably still counting).

Unregulated pollution is the biggest Government hand out.

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on January 28, 2021, 10:27:48 AM
I'm OK with the government subsidizing the food you eat...but just so you can drive a "neat" car, that makes you "think" you're saving the planet (when you are actually helping destroy it)?....not so much...

Tesla's Biggest Profit Driver Isn't Sustainable
Tesla's core business of selling electric vehicles to consumers still isn't profitable on its own.

Regulatory credits drive Tesla's profit
In the first quarter, Tesla booked $354 million of regulatory credit revenue: up 64% year over year. This accounted for 6.9% of the company's automotive revenue and 5.9% of its total revenue. Considering that Tesla's Q1 operating profit and net income totaled just $283 million and $16 million, respectively, this revenue stream represented the difference between a net profit and a significant loss.

A similar dynamic played out last quarter. Revenue from regulatory credits surged 21% sequentially and 286% year over year, reaching $428 million. That translated to 8.3% of automotive revenue and 7.1% of total revenue. Once again, regulatory revenue was the difference between turning a profit and losing money. Tesla posted an operating profit of $327 million and GAAP net income of $104 million last quarter.

These regulatory credits have been in demand recently, as major automakers haven't been building enough "green" vehicles to meet regulatory requirements in certain regions. Rather than paying the resulting fines or pumping out low-quality electric vehicles at a substantial loss, many automakers have found it more cost-effective to purchase extra regulatory credits from Tesla.

https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/07/26/teslas-biggest-profit-driver-isnt-sustainable.aspx (https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/07/26/teslas-biggest-profit-driver-isnt-sustainable.aspx)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on January 28, 2021, 10:33:47 AM
Without the government...it never makes money...

Tesla announces first EVER annual profit with earnings of $721 million in 2020 - but Elon Musk's firm falls short of Wall Street expectations
Tesla saw its stock soar in 2020 to make it the world´s most valuable automaker
The company earned $721 million, capped by a $270 million profit in Q4
It was Tesla's sixth straight quarterly net profit after years of mostly losses
Tesla said that excluding special items, it made $2.24 per share for the year, falling short of Wall Street expectations of $2.45
Earlier this month Tesla's market cap passed $800 billion for the first time ever 

Once again the company needed regulatory credits purchased by other automakers in order to make a profit. Without $1.58 billion in credits for the year, Tesla would have lost money. Other automakers buy the credits when they can't meet emissions and fuel economy standards.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9194675/Tesla-fights-pandemic-rides-sales-jump-1st-annual-profit.html (https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9194675/Tesla-fights-pandemic-rides-sales-jump-1st-annual-profit.html)

1980 Hurricane season was tied at the time for most named storms.  It did $1.57 billion in damage in the USA.

The 2020 Hurricane season is the new champ and weighs in at $54.51 billion in damage (and probably still counting).

Unregulated pollution is the biggest Government hand out.



The only reason the losses are so high now is the value of that coastal real estate and allowing people to develop flood basins and fire zones.  The value is driven by so many people allowed to develop those places.   If you live in a flood or fire zone (as I do) you accept and probably insure your risk...it is on you.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: zubs on January 28, 2021, 10:35:38 AM
Retards are going to lose a lot of money on this, and it'll be sad and funny @ the same time.
Why not put some scratch in and join the retards on wallstreetbets?

I love how all the talking heads are calling Wall Street Bets "retards" and “amateurs”  when they are the ones who actually understood the gamma squeeze unlike the hedge fund suits that got rekted

Being a retard is a badge of honor on wallstreetbets  Loss Porn rules supreme.  Calling wallstreet bets subscribers retards is exactly why it's so popular.  You can lose your life savings and everyone will call you a dumb fucking retard..and you become more popular.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on January 28, 2021, 10:39:21 AM
The first law suits are Wheels Up!!... ;D ;D >:D

Robinhood sued by customers for restricting GameStop trading
Reddit-driven investment had seen stock price spike 700 per cent in just days

Robinhood customers have sued the stock trading firm after it restricted the Reddit-driven trading frenzy surrounding GameStop.

Robinhood was named as defendant in a pair of federal lawsuits filed by disgruntled customers in New York and Chicago.

The legal action came after the company on Thursday that  in that some cases amateur investors would only be able to sell their positions and not open new ones.

The unusual move came as a reaction to the wild investment in GameStop that has piled up huge losses for hedge funds and Wall Street investors with short positions.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/gamestop-robinhood-stocks-trading-lawsuits-b1794312.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/gamestop-robinhood-stocks-trading-lawsuits-b1794312.html)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: nosuchreality on January 28, 2021, 10:45:00 AM
Without the government...it never makes money...

Tesla announces first EVER annual profit with earnings of $721 million in 2020 - but Elon Musk's firm falls short of Wall Street expectations
Tesla saw its stock soar in 2020 to make it the world´s most valuable automaker
The company earned $721 million, capped by a $270 million profit in Q4
It was Tesla's sixth straight quarterly net profit after years of mostly losses
Tesla said that excluding special items, it made $2.24 per share for the year, falling short of Wall Street expectations of $2.45
Earlier this month Tesla's market cap passed $800 billion for the first time ever 

Once again the company needed regulatory credits purchased by other automakers in order to make a profit. Without $1.58 billion in credits for the year, Tesla would have lost money. Other automakers buy the credits when they can't meet emissions and fuel economy standards.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9194675/Tesla-fights-pandemic-rides-sales-jump-1st-annual-profit.html (https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9194675/Tesla-fights-pandemic-rides-sales-jump-1st-annual-profit.html)

1980 Hurricane season was tied at the time for most named storms.  It did $1.57 billion in damage in the USA.

The 2020 Hurricane season is the new champ and weighs in at $54.51 billion in damage (and probably still counting).

Unregulated pollution is the biggest Government hand out.



The only reason the losses are so high now is the value of that coastal real estate and allowing people to develop flood basins and fire zones.  The value is driven by so many people allowed to develop those places.   If you live in a flood or fire zone (as I do) you accept and probably insure your risk...it is on you.

Okay, choose any of 1344 superfund sites.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Soylent Green Is People on January 28, 2021, 10:45:31 AM
RE: @Morekaos hurricane post - some scaling for perspective:

Florida population 1980 - 10.19m
Florida population 2020 - 21.9m

I'm sure the same population growth could be statistically researched for all Eastern Seaboard states, but showing 1 state to start.

Also,  $1.57b 1980 dollars priced in 2020 dollars is $5.25b

Using far lower population density (read: Housing) and not factoring dollar inflation gives a false impression of damage costs YOY. Just because the costs are higher does not directly indicate (key words) catastrophic climate change.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on January 28, 2021, 10:49:23 AM
Without the government...it never makes money...

Tesla announces first EVER annual profit with earnings of $721 million in 2020 - but Elon Musk's firm falls short of Wall Street expectations
Tesla saw its stock soar in 2020 to make it the world´s most valuable automaker
The company earned $721 million, capped by a $270 million profit in Q4
It was Tesla's sixth straight quarterly net profit after years of mostly losses
Tesla said that excluding special items, it made $2.24 per share for the year, falling short of Wall Street expectations of $2.45
Earlier this month Tesla's market cap passed $800 billion for the first time ever 

Once again the company needed regulatory credits purchased by other automakers in order to make a profit. Without $1.58 billion in credits for the year, Tesla would have lost money. Other automakers buy the credits when they can't meet emissions and fuel economy standards.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9194675/Tesla-fights-pandemic-rides-sales-jump-1st-annual-profit.html (https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9194675/Tesla-fights-pandemic-rides-sales-jump-1st-annual-profit.html)

1980 Hurricane season was tied at the time for most named storms.  It did $1.57 billion in damage in the USA.

The 2020 Hurricane season is the new champ and weighs in at $54.51 billion in damage (and probably still counting).

Unregulated pollution is the biggest Government hand out.



The only reason the losses are so high now is the value of that coastal real estate and allowing people to develop flood basins and fire zones.  The value is driven by so many people allowed to develop those places.   If you live in a flood or fire zone (as I do) you accept and probably insure your risk...it is on you.

Okay, choose any of 1344 superfund sites.


That Tesla's Super Duper Battery plants and Battery disposal divisions are sure to be contributing massivly to?....
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: nosuchreality on January 28, 2021, 10:56:52 AM
Without the government...it never makes money...

Tesla announces first EVER annual profit with earnings of $721 million in 2020 - but Elon Musk's firm falls short of Wall Street expectations
Tesla saw its stock soar in 2020 to make it the world´s most valuable automaker
The company earned $721 million, capped by a $270 million profit in Q4
It was Tesla's sixth straight quarterly net profit after years of mostly losses
Tesla said that excluding special items, it made $2.24 per share for the year, falling short of Wall Street expectations of $2.45
Earlier this month Tesla's market cap passed $800 billion for the first time ever 

Once again the company needed regulatory credits purchased by other automakers in order to make a profit. Without $1.58 billion in credits for the year, Tesla would have lost money. Other automakers buy the credits when they can't meet emissions and fuel economy standards.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9194675/Tesla-fights-pandemic-rides-sales-jump-1st-annual-profit.html (https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9194675/Tesla-fights-pandemic-rides-sales-jump-1st-annual-profit.html)

1980 Hurricane season was tied at the time for most named storms.  It did $1.57 billion in damage in the USA.

The 2020 Hurricane season is the new champ and weighs in at $54.51 billion in damage (and probably still counting).

Unregulated pollution is the biggest Government hand out.



The only reason the losses are so high now is the value of that coastal real estate and allowing people to develop flood basins and fire zones.  The value is driven by so many people allowed to develop those places.   If you live in a flood or fire zone (as I do) you accept and probably insure your risk...it is on you.

Okay, choose any of 1344 superfund sites.


That Tesla's Super Duper Battery plants and Battery disposal divisions are sure to be contributing massivly to?....

 >:D

And like Exide Vernon, going to skate away.

Let's be honest though, let to their on recognizance, business would have water in Long Beach port burning like the Cuyahoga River in no time.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Kenkoko on January 28, 2021, 10:59:53 AM
Unmask WSB.

The initial tout on Jan 13th caused 140M surge in trading volume in a day.  That's $2.8B, or 100,000 retail investors taking $30,000 swings on a reddit tout.

300,000 taking $10,000 swings?

Oh wait, Robinhood average investor portfolio size is under $5000.

If you dive a little deeper into this, it becomes a lot more than just retail investors vs. hedge funds.

Regulators fell asleep at the switch, allowing a stock to be shorted 140% of available shares should have been the bigger story to begin with.

WSB showed how easily finance reporters and regulators default to defending the hedge funds they're supposed to be holding accountable.

Unfortunately that's not sexy enough to grab headline attentions...

so we are stuck with this "oh no! the wrong people are manipulating the stock market" narrative.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Kenkoko on January 28, 2021, 11:05:18 AM
Retards are going to lose a lot of money on this, and it'll be sad and funny @ the same time.
Why not put some scratch in and join the retards on wallstreetbets?

I love how all the talking heads are calling Wall Street Bets "retards" and “amateurs”  when they are the ones who actually understood the gamma squeeze unlike the hedge fund suits that got rekted

Being a retard is a badge of honor on wallstreetbets  Loss Porn rules supreme.  Calling wallstreet bets subscribers retards is exactly why it's so popular.  You can lose your life savings and everyone will call you a dumb fucking retard..and you become more popular.

The notion that any of these TV personalities or professional traders ever cared about regular people losing their life savings and/or ruining their lives is laughable.

This has always been a zero sum game.

All the negative press on WSB is just clown talk. It's the exact behavior financial reporters praise as visionary when a hedge fund wunderkind pulls it off.

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on January 28, 2021, 11:15:32 AM
Unmask WSB.

The initial tout on Jan 13th caused 140M surge in trading volume in a day.  That's $2.8B, or 100,000 retail investors taking $30,000 swings on a reddit tout.

300,000 taking $10,000 swings?

Oh wait, Robinhood average investor portfolio size is under $5000.

If you dive a little deeper into this, it becomes a lot more than just retail investors vs. hedge funds.

Regulators fell asleep at the switch, allowing a stock to be shorted 140% of available shares should have been the bigger story to begin with.

WSB showed how easily finance reporters and regulators default to defending the hedge funds they're supposed to be holding accountable.

Unfortunately that's not sexy enough to grab headline attentions...

so we are stuck with this "oh no! the wrong people are manipulating the stock market" narrative.

Bring back the Uptick rule!
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: irvinehomeowner on January 28, 2021, 11:43:45 AM
TSLA is ridiculous... but they are also the EV market leader.

Just wait until "somebody" brings back their Fed credit.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: nosuchreality on January 28, 2021, 12:23:30 PM
Unmask WSB.

The initial tout on Jan 13th caused 140M surge in trading volume in a day.  That's $2.8B, or 100,000 retail investors taking $30,000 swings on a reddit tout.

300,000 taking $10,000 swings?

Oh wait, Robinhood average investor portfolio size is under $5000.

If you dive a little deeper into this, it becomes a lot more than just retail investors vs. hedge funds.

Regulators fell asleep at the switch, allowing a stock to be shorted 140% of available shares should have been the bigger story to begin with.

WSB showed how easily finance reporters and regulators default to defending the hedge funds they're supposed to be holding accountable.

Unfortunately that's not sexy enough to grab headline attentions...

so we are stuck with this "oh no! the wrong people are manipulating the stock market" narrative.

While I agree there was likely a regulatory shortfall, I don't really think it was in allowing the short interest to high. In my opinion, if you look at the chart and timing, the WSB noise on the 13th and through the 21st it was a minor squeeze event.

Then it totally blew up.  Blew up right when all the financial media started picking up the story.  CNBC, Motley Fool, down to the youtubers blaring easy $200 Grand a year.

JIMHO, the bulk of financial media is a boiler room pumping panic and hype on everything for eyeballs.  Newsmax for the jonesing to be rich.  That's the regulatory gap, IMHO.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: sleepy5136 on January 28, 2021, 06:13:57 PM
Robinhood CEO interview was a joke. The CEO mentioned they decided to halt buy orders for certain stocks because of a liquidity issue. The moderator then asked what liquidity issue is there and if there is it would lead to more questions. He then immediately said there were no liquidity issues right after. Like what the hell...?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on January 28, 2021, 06:25:08 PM
AOC on twitch taking about GME and Robinhood.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Kenkoko on January 28, 2021, 08:25:08 PM
Unmask WSB.

The initial tout on Jan 13th caused 140M surge in trading volume in a day.  That's $2.8B, or 100,000 retail investors taking $30,000 swings on a reddit tout.

300,000 taking $10,000 swings?

Oh wait, Robinhood average investor portfolio size is under $5000.

If you dive a little deeper into this, it becomes a lot more than just retail investors vs. hedge funds.

Regulators fell asleep at the switch, allowing a stock to be shorted 140% of available shares should have been the bigger story to begin with.

WSB showed how easily finance reporters and regulators default to defending the hedge funds they're supposed to be holding accountable.

Unfortunately that's not sexy enough to grab headline attentions...

so we are stuck with this "oh no! the wrong people are manipulating the stock market" narrative.

While I agree there was likely a regulatory shortfall, I don't really think it was in allowing the short interest to high. In my opinion, if you look at the chart and timing, the WSB noise on the 13th and through the 21st it was a minor squeeze event.

Then it totally blew up.  Blew up right when all the financial media started picking up the story.  CNBC, Motley Fool, down to the youtubers blaring easy $200 Grand a year.

JIMHO, the bulk of financial media is a boiler room pumping panic and hype on everything for eyeballs.  Newsmax for the jonesing to be rich.  That's the regulatory gap, IMHO.

Agree on media being a significant driving force behind this Gamestop squeeze. But this likely would not have happened if regulators stopped GME stocks from being shorted 140%.

There is zero fundamentals to backup the shorts. Shorting 140% of a company's total stock makes zero mathematical sense.

There's definitely an elemental of YouTube influencers, internet celebs, and other loosely organized capitals joining the pile-on, but this was fundamentally a trade that started by retail investors catching hedge fund managers with their pants down.

Also I think it's morally bankrupt to make the case against mass media / alternative media hyping the Gamestop squeeze when we legally allow hedge fund managers to go CNBC / CNN Business to pump/dump their stock picks while claiming to be "net neutral". There's no fundamental difference between the two.

For people who are not familiar with stock trading, hedge fund managers claiming to be "net neutral" while pumping their stock pick is the biggest scam BS that's regularly seen on CNBC.

Lastly. I agree with SGIP that we are in desperate need of a financial transaction tax. (and more transparency regulations)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Kenkoko on January 28, 2021, 08:34:55 PM
Robinhood CEO interview was a joke. The CEO mentioned they decided to halt buy orders for certain stocks because of a liquidity issue. The moderator then asked what liquidity issue is there and if there is it would lead to more questions. He then immediately said there were no liquidity issues right after. Like what the hell...?

There is a lot of conflict on interest going on. The hedge fund CITADEL has huge short positions on Gamestop stock. CITADEL also pays Robinhood for their order flows, about 40% of CITADEL revenue is from Robinhood.

If you had any doubts about America's priorities, just watch how this unfolds. I can almost guarantee the government will respond faster to a hedge fund losing money to reddit memes than it did to the capitol coup.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on January 28, 2021, 08:54:51 PM
If worthless companies go sky high. I am out of the stock market.
I see another crash based on valuation.
I was watching CNBC and they said the market cap of GME was bigger than Delta airlines.
If GME management was smart they would issue more shares.

(Auto type feature has been finding me problems on my end)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: nosuchreality on January 29, 2021, 02:06:09 PM
Robinhood took off the brakes on GME today.

We will see how long inflows can keep the ball in the air.

 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Soylent Green Is People on January 29, 2021, 02:33:32 PM
I read it was 2 shares maximum that RH will allow a buyer to purchase.

Me? I'm long Marie Antoinette Industries (NYSE: CHOP) as this is the eventual terminus point whenever the masses get in a twist like this.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: nosuchreality on January 29, 2021, 02:36:54 PM
I read it was 2 shares maximum that RH will allow a buyer to purchase.

Me? I'm long Marie Antoinette Industries (NYSE: CHOP) as this is the eventual terminus point whenever the masses get in a twist like this.

That is probably 50-100% of the typical RH account value.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Cares on January 29, 2021, 03:03:07 PM
I read it was 2 shares maximum that RH will allow a buyer to purchase.

Me? I'm long Marie Antoinette Industries (NYSE: CHOP) as this is the eventual terminus point whenever the masses get in a twist like this.

They changed to 1 share partially through the trading day today.

RH CEO interview with Cuomo was a joke. Did not address any of the concerns about why they decided to let retail investors sell positions but not buy. If they were actually "concerned" wouldn't they halt ALL trading?

After this stunt I'm no longer going to fund RH and use ETrade which did not restrict any trading. I would close RH via ACATS but I'm not giving them the satisfaction of earning my $75 closing account fee.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on January 29, 2021, 03:24:12 PM
I sold all my TSLA shares last year to buy retail (KSS, JWN) stocks.  For Jan here are my major trades:

Sold in Jan:
Retail: KSS/JWN/OSTK/W
COVID-19:  MRNA/SRNE/NOVN   
Holding some shares of MRNA/SRNE/INO/CPRX/CTLT, curious to see if MRNA hits $200

Reduced position by half in Jan:
Banking:  BAC/C/JPM
Oil ETF:  FENY/FILL/GUSH/OIH
Holding oil/gas mutual funds

Bought in Jan:
ARKF/ARKG/ARKK/ARKQ/ARKW  (yes I went down the list and bought all 5)
Semiconductor:  HIMX/SMH/SOXX/UMC
Others:  FIVG/GBTC/HOLX/PLTR/SLV (warning: silver price can be roller coaster)
Pure dumb luck:  Bought ABML for $1/s, +200% and holding.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on February 01, 2021, 05:54:54 PM

Currently eying REGN
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/regn?ltr=1
https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=REGN
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on February 01, 2021, 09:35:09 PM
Robinhood took off the brakes on GME today.

We will see how long inflows can keep the ball in the air.


Yeah, after they got a lifetime of another $2.4B on top of the $1B they got last week.  Let's see how much longer until they need more capital.  I'm glad I've stayed with TDAmeritrade over the years.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on February 01, 2021, 09:36:50 PM
I like the builder stocks...LEN, DHI, and TOL along with Zillow.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: nosuchreality on February 02, 2021, 09:05:47 AM
Robinhood took off the brakes on GME today.

We will see how long inflows can keep the ball in the air.


Yeah, after they got a lifetime of another $2.4B on top of the $1B they got last week.  Let's see how much longer until they need more capital.  I'm glad I've stayed with TDAmeritrade over the years.

I haven’t dug in that much on RH, my basic guess is since a large chunk of their 2 million small accounts hopped on the 1700% rollercoaster, their minimum net capital requirement jumped a few hundred percent.

Caught a glimpse of Cuban squawking on CNBC flipping channels saying not fair to small investors not knowing their broker can’t handle it.  My initial thought is that sounds good except RH, IMO, wouldn’t or couldn’t exist if they had more rigorous capital requirements.

GME is pounded today, back to back $100/losses which sounds bad, but it’s still up 500% from the initial move.  At a float of 50M shares and daily trade volume sub 10m it doesn’t take much to push the stock.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on February 02, 2021, 02:56:02 PM
I like the builder stocks...LEN, DHI, and TOL along with Zillow.

Of these, I like DHI the best and think it'd be profitable investment for 2021.  However buyers need to be aware that in previous housing bubble, the stock price of these companies crashed hard from 2005 to 2009.

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on February 02, 2021, 03:20:26 PM
If worthless companies go sky high. I am out of the stock market.
I see another crash based on valuation.
I was watching CNBC and they said the market cap of GME was bigger than Delta airlines.
If GME management was smart they would issue more shares.

(Auto type feature has been finding me problems on my end)

Man oh man. Some people got wrecked.
No matter who is at fault or to blame. It is your money. So invest it wisely. There is no do overs.
(Informational purposes, Not investment advice)
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on February 02, 2021, 11:50:33 PM
I like the builder stocks...LEN, DHI, and TOL along with Zillow.

Of these, I like DHI the best and think it'd be profitable investment for 2021.  However buyers need to be aware that in previous housing bubble, the stock price of these companies crashed hard from 2005 to 2009.



The reason why I like Lennar is that I interact with that builder the most here locally and see how their incentives have dried up, sales have picked up, and they've been steadily increasing prices as their sales have picked up in the past 3-4 months.  DRH is the largest homebuilder who is in the lower and middle market so they are well positioned as well.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on February 03, 2021, 04:11:44 PM
Bought FISV today

Analysts like this stock
https://money.cnn.com/quote/forecast/forecast.html?symb=FISV
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: nosuchreality on February 04, 2021, 10:30:47 AM
GME continues it slow burn, and by slow burn I mean basically orbital re-entry.  Currently at 62.

The stock prior to September ran sub 2 million shares a day, in September its quite clear the stock went into play price and volume moves that stuck for months.  The reddit pumpers took early January before the reddit push, holding 50,000 shares and somewhere picking up another 500 calls (50,000 shares). Just a small fry taking a million dollar plus swing.  Cheerleading the WSB to hold the line while saying he was going to update less often.

Where will GME settle out?  With a stock that trades 2 million shares it takes very few to keep it bubbly.  Is it a $5 stock, $10, $20 or $50 with diamond hands refusing to let go? It only has 50M shares out.

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on February 04, 2021, 10:32:51 AM
Bought AQB on dip today.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/aquabounty-technologies-inc-announces-pricing-133000147.html

This stock is also held by Cathie Wood's ARKG ETF.



Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on February 04, 2021, 11:03:57 AM
GME continues it slow burn, and by slow burn I mean basically orbital re-entry.  Currently at 62.

The stock prior to September ran sub 2 million shares a day, in September its quite clear the stock went into play price and volume moves that stuck for months.  The reddit pumpers took early January before the reddit push, holding 50,000 shares and somewhere picking up another 500 calls (50,000 shares). Just a small fry taking a million dollar plus swing.  Cheerleading the WSB to hold the line while saying he was going to update less often.

Where will GME settle out?  With astock that trades 2 million shares it takes very few keep it bubbly.  Is it a $5 stock, $10, $20 or $50 with diamond hands refusing to let go? It only has 50M shares out.

As I previously mentioned. I did not believe the hype. I could not get past the stock valuation.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: paydawg on February 04, 2021, 03:54:05 PM
Bought AQB on dip today.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/aquabounty-technologies-inc-announces-pricing-133000147.html

This stock is also held by Cathie Wood's ARKG ETF.

are you invested in the ARK funds overall?  I just added ARKG last month.  Cathie has been on fire lately.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on February 04, 2021, 03:58:12 PM
GME continues it slow burn, and by slow burn I mean basically orbital re-entry.  Currently at 62.

The stock prior to September ran sub 2 million shares a day, in September its quite clear the stock went into play price and volume moves that stuck for months.  The reddit pumpers took early January before the reddit push, holding 50,000 shares and somewhere picking up another 500 calls (50,000 shares). Just a small fry taking a million dollar plus swing.  Cheerleading the WSB to hold the line while saying he was going to update less often.

Where will GME settle out?  With astock that trades 2 million shares it takes very few keep it bubbly.  Is it a $5 stock, $10, $20 or $50 with diamond hands refusing to let go? It only has 50M shares out.

As I previously mentioned. I did not believe the hype. I could not get past the stock valuation.

I think I am the only one that didn’t believe the hype. Stay the course.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on February 04, 2021, 04:02:46 PM
Starbucks to the Moon?
I owned Sbux for ages. Also, Stocky “likes the stock.”
Probably coincidence and luck for me.

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on February 05, 2021, 10:16:52 AM
Bought AQB on dip today.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/aquabounty-technologies-inc-announces-pricing-133000147.html

This stock is also held by Cathie Wood's ARKG ETF.

are you invested in the ARK funds overall?  I just added ARKG last month.  Cathie has been on fire lately.

I bought all 5 of the ARK funds.

Kicking myself for not buying PRNT.  I was eyeing it early Jan and could have bought it for low $30's.  It's $45 now.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on February 05, 2021, 06:51:25 PM
Dang Lennar, DR, Zillow, and Redfin had a great week.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: zubs on February 05, 2021, 09:18:41 PM
A rich dude I know who lives in crystal cove told me about the ARK funds in DEC so i bought some ARKG in DEC which is doing well as of now.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: sleepy5136 on February 06, 2021, 09:39:20 PM
If worthless companies go sky high. I am out of the stock market.
I see another crash based on valuation.
I was watching CNBC and they said the market cap of GME was bigger than Delta airlines.
If GME management was smart they would issue more shares.

(Auto type feature has been finding me problems on my end)

I wouldn't let 10 meme stocks get you out of the market. Especially when interest rates are at 0%. Look at GME getting pounded and as a result, all other stucks are generally up and I strongly think that will continue as most high growth companies especially tech are posting record high earnings. One can argue the valuations are getting frothy but with interest rates at 0%, its expected.

But in the end, its your choice and your $. Just keep in mind, time in market > timing the market.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on February 08, 2021, 11:02:43 AM
Sold OSTK, still have some shares to sell later.

Sold JPM, out completely.  Still have BAC and C shares.

Bought some MRK BMRN LI AMD today.  Note that BMRN is higher risk.

Looking to exit NNDM $18-$20 then buyback at $14 and under.

Looking to exit remaining MRNA shares $190-$200.

Looking to exit OIH at $200 and up.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: morekaos on February 11, 2021, 07:46:33 AM
Dang Lennar, DR, Zillow, and Redfin had a great week.

Perhaps this is why?... ;D ;) >:D

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on February 11, 2021, 05:30:09 PM

With vaccine rollout, there is pent up demand in retail, amusement, tourism, travel, and home shopping.  Perhaps 2Q 2021 or after.

There are still many value stocks and sector stocks that are undervalued from last year, versus internet/tech/etc. stocks that have been greatly inflated.  At some point we may see the inflated stocks deflate, and money flowing back to sectors that recover toward profitability.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: sleepy5136 on February 12, 2021, 06:24:58 PM

With vaccine rollout, there is pent up demand in retail, amusement, tourism, travel, and home shopping.  Perhaps 2Q 2021 or after.

There are still many value stocks and sector stocks that are undervalued from last year, versus internet/tech/etc. stocks that have been greatly inflated.  At some point we may see the inflated stocks deflate, and money flowing back to sectors that recover toward profitability.

I might be wrong, but reopening trade will not hurt tech names long term. As long as tech continues to grow earnings, I don't see reopening trades impact tech names long term. I find tech more of a defensive trade tbh. They are great to hold onto when you need to lockdown the economy and they will do better once the economy re-opens again. Keep in mind, we are spending more time then ever on the web and all that infrastructure is powered by these tech companies.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on February 16, 2021, 04:38:58 PM
Bought:  SOS, AMAT, MSTR
additional limit orders on MSTR at $900 and  below

Might buy HYLN on morning dip
Might buy PLTR at under $25

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on February 16, 2021, 05:16:08 PM
Bought:  SOS, AMAT, MSTR
additional limit orders on MSTR at $900 and  below

Might buy HYLN on morning dip
Might buy PLTR at under $25



I've been pocketing out-of-the-money put premiums on MSTR.  Buy the home builders on the dip, they are going to crush earnings for this quarter (reporting in March).  I already gave you guys Zillow and Redfin. 
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on February 17, 2021, 09:35:12 AM
Bought MSTR, HYLN, DHI, LEN, Z.

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on February 17, 2021, 10:24:16 AM
You can buy a home builder etf for your exposure to housing
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on February 17, 2021, 03:27:17 PM
Sold some RIOT at $80 and setup exit limit orders to sell.

Bought some more MARA, betting that it's lagging RIOT and will catch up.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on February 19, 2021, 08:32:29 AM
Bought DOOR

You won't get rich from this, but every house needs one!

https://www.masonite.com/
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on February 22, 2021, 05:38:27 PM
Small buys of AMAT MARA PLTR NNDM CTXS SPLK VMW AQB on morning dip.

Nice dip in crypto this morning but alas, Coinbase doesn't support limit orders.  ;p  Have to do that over at Kraken.

DOW up NASDAQ down suggests money leaving hyped companies with weak earnings, and moving money into companies with stronger earnings.

Will start selling remaining oil/energy stocks and funds when OIH hits $200.  Was tempted to exit GUSH at >$70 today but held off.

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on February 23, 2021, 03:29:51 PM
Unloaded remaining shares of RIOT MARA MSTR.  Since I got RIOT and MARA low I still came out ahead.  But overall account is down $16K from peak this month.  Let's see how far this dip goes.

Sold FENY GUSH and some OIH to take profit.  Currently researching minerals/ores stock.  Does anyone have experience with iron/copper or commodities ETF?


Researching:

Rare Earth: MP, REMX
Iron:  X, CLF, SLX (Steel), ASX
Copper:  CPER, JJC, CFX, COPX
Nickle:  JJN
Tin:  JJM, JJT
Aluminum:  JJU, AA
Lead:  LD
Lithium:  REMX
Silver:  HL, PAAS
Metals:  DBB, JJM, MIXI (commodities ETF, heavy on iron)
Mining:  XME, PICK

& Commodities ETF like DBC PDBC etc.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: eyephone on February 23, 2021, 03:32:40 PM
Unloaded remaining shares of RIOT MARA MSTR.  Since I got RIOT and MARA low I still came out ahead.  But overall account is down -$16K from peak this month.  Let's see how far this dip goes.

Sold FENY GUSH and some OIH to take profit.  Currently researching minerals/ores stock.  Does anyone have experience with iron/copper or commodities ETF?


Researching:

Rare Earth: MP, REMX
Iron:  X, CLF, SLX (Steel), ASX
Copper:  CPER, JJC, CFX, COPX
Nickle:  JJN
Tin:  JJM, JJT
Aluminum:  JJU, AA
Lead:  LD
Lithium:  REMX
Silver:  HL, PAAS
Metals:  DBB, JJM, MIXI (commodities ETF, heavy on iron)
Mining:  XME, PICK

& Commodities ETF like DBC PDBC etc.

Overall Down 16. Is they because you invested in meme stocks?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Cornflakes on February 23, 2021, 10:06:13 PM
What do smarties here think of Palantir for the long term investment?

I have just started doing the research and I like it so far.
2020 revenue $1B
TAM is $120B
Their business model is Business to Business, and Business to Govt. services, worldwide, industry agnostic. My interpretation, kinda sorta recession-proof, and not much real competition to what they do.

In the next 5 years, even if they capture only 10-20% of TAM, that is significant growth and it will show in the stock price.

Another way I was looking at it. S&P500 companies generate 11.35T revenue. If just those 500 companies spend 1% for PLTR services to capture value out of their operations, that is 113B spend. The other hald can come from Govt contracts. And, this is just US. Intl, govt. and businesses are not even factored in.

I am probably getting ahead of myself here but is this next TSLA?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: qwerty on February 23, 2021, 10:13:28 PM
I picked up STMP and AYX today. Off of today’s prices they should provide 20-30% returns in the next couple of months if they stick with their recent trading patterns.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: qwerty on February 23, 2021, 10:18:10 PM
What do smarties here think of Palantir for the long term investment?

I have just started doing the research and I like it so far.
2020 revenue $1B
TAM is $120B
Their business model is Business to Business, and Business to Govt. services, worldwide, industry agnostic. My interpretation, kinda sorta recession-proof, and not much real competition to what they do.

In the next 5 years, even if they capture only 10-20% of TAM, that is significant growth and it will show in the stock price.

Another way I was looking at it. S&P500 companies generate 11.35T revenue. If just those 500 companies spend 1% for PLTR services to capture value out of their operations, that is 113B spend. The other hald can come from Govt contracts. And, this is just US. Intl, govt. and businesses are not even factored in.

I am probably getting ahead of myself here but is this next TSLA?
I’ve been eying this one as well. I do t know if it will be the next Tesla but having the government as a major customer provides some protection to the downside.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on February 24, 2021, 08:30:42 AM
Unloaded remaining shares of RIOT MARA MSTR.  Since I got RIOT and MARA low I still came out ahead.  But overall account is down -$16K from peak this month.  Let's see how far this dip goes.

Sold FENY GUSH and some OIH to take profit.  Currently researching minerals/ores stock.  Does anyone have experience with iron/copper or commodities ETF?


Researching:

Rare Earth: MP, REMX
Iron:  X, CLF, SLX (Steel), ASX
Copper:  CPER, JJC, CFX, COPX
Nickle:  JJN
Tin:  JJM, JJT
Aluminum:  JJU, AA
Lead:  LD
Lithium:  REMX
Silver:  HL, PAAS
Metals:  DBB, JJM, MIXI (commodities ETF, heavy on iron)
Mining:  XME, PICK

& Commodities ETF like DBC PDBC etc.

Overall Down 16. Is they because you invested in meme stocks?

The largest dips by % were RIOT MARA MSTR AQB ALTO INUV and SOS.  Liquidated RIOT MARA MSTR, added AQB ALTO and SOS on dip.

Dollar wise, the biggest drop from single stock was CLGX as it retreated from $90 to $83.  This is my largest single stock holding by $ so the dip was significant in dollars.  For comparison, the combined value of all 7 stocks mentioned in first paragraph is less than my CLGX holdings.

For 2021 to date, at peak I was up +$73,500 since Jan 1st.  Currently up +$59,500 as of this writing, so the account has dipped about $14,000 from peak.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on February 24, 2021, 09:34:27 AM
I picked up STMP and AYX today. Off of today’s prices they should provide 20-30% returns in the next couple of months if they stick with their recent trading patterns.

These are great recommendations.  I like STMP better than AYX -- STMP is profitable vs AYX is still in the red.



What do smarties here think of Palantir for the long term investment?
<snip>
I am probably getting ahead of myself here but is this next TSLA?

I don't believe PLTR is the next TSLA, but I did put some money in PLTR and NNDM on dips.

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on February 24, 2021, 01:59:38 PM
/me eyes GME and AMC

Man, how many times are they going to resuscitate that dead cat?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Cares on February 24, 2021, 02:55:09 PM
To the moon!

I'm still holding my GME shares for giggles. But honestly if it hits $300+ again I'm selling it.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on February 26, 2021, 03:45:14 PM

If you own SOS stock, check Hindenburg Research post on Twitter claiming the company is a fraud and stock value is $0.  While I cannot validate their claims, you should probably limit your risk exposure.

Note that Hindenburg Research is a short seller, so there is financial self-interest on their part.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hindenburg_Research
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on February 27, 2021, 10:02:12 AM
Few random thoughts today

* Taiwan’s drought is hitting semiconductor companies like TSM ASX (ASE) UMC etc. causing stock dips.  The annual plum rain season usually starts in may and can rain for a month.  Can’t say for sure if drought will continue this year or the rain season will refill reservoirs.  The stocks might be a good gamble on dip.

* GM has EV line from $4500 mini EV in China (outselling Tesla 2:1) to $130k EV hummer in US.  Compare to Tesla GM’s P/E seems far more sensible.

* Ex chief of Apple’s CPU design bailed to setup his own company couple years back. Qualcomm is buying them for $1.4 billion.  The guy took Apple’s Crown Jewels with him when he left (M1/SoC design) and wanted to sell to high end server market.  Qualcomm will likely have mass market ambitions.  Expect Apple lawsuits to fly, but if Qualcomm is successful they will go head to head vs AMD and Nvidia.


Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: sleepy5136 on March 01, 2021, 01:08:14 PM
Few random thoughts today

* Taiwan’s drought is hitting semiconductor companies like TSM ASX (ASE) UMC etc. causing stock dips.  The annual plum rain season usually starts in may and can rain for a month.  Can’t say for sure if drought will continue this year or the rain season will refill reservoirs.  The stocks might be a good gamble on dip.

* GM has EV line from $4500 mini EV in China (outselling Tesla 2:1) to $130k EV hummer in US.  Compare to Tesla GM’s P/E seems far more sensible.

* Ex chief of Apple’s CPU design bailed to setup his own company couple years back. Qualcomm is buying them for $1.4 billion.  The guy took Apple’s Crown Jewels with him when he left (M1/SoC design) and wanted to sell to high end server market.  Qualcomm will likely have mass market ambitions.  Expect Apple lawsuits to fly, but if Qualcomm is successful they will go head to head vs AMD and Nvidia.

how do you see AMD long term with its competitors?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on March 01, 2021, 03:33:36 PM
how do you see AMD long term with its competitors?

In short, AMD > Intel, but AMD's reliance on TSMC is both a plus and a liability.  I own AMD stock, I do not own Intel stock.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on March 04, 2021, 10:58:37 AM
Putting in lowball limit orders on TSM AMD OSTK NVDA SQ FB LI PLTR Z etc.

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on March 05, 2021, 07:55:45 AM
Putting in more lowball limit orders on HIMX UMC HOLX SPLK ALTO AQB QCOM HYLN etc.



Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on March 05, 2021, 03:18:01 PM
More lowball limit orders on OSTK AMD SHOP SQ PRNT PYPL

Keeping fingers crossed for further dip next week  $_$
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on March 08, 2021, 10:06:36 AM
hmm...

So AMD is buying XLNX with stock swap of 1.734 AMD shares per share of XLNX.

At today's prices AMD is $76 x 1.734 = $131.
XLNX is trading at $116.

Does this make buying XLNX at $15 discount to AMD shares?  Assuming the deal is still on?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: zubs on March 09, 2021, 10:12:10 AM
I think about middle of MAR a lot.
It was last year in MAR when the stock market was lowest.
It was MAR of 2009 when the stock market was lowest.

Is it time to buy the dip?
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: sleepy5136 on March 09, 2021, 11:36:15 AM
I think about middle of MAR a lot.
It was last year in MAR when the stock market was lowest.
It was MAR of 2009 when the stock market was lowest.

Is it time to buy the dip?
who knows. But if you bought in increments these past days, I have a feeling you will do well for the rest of the year...
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on March 09, 2021, 09:08:21 PM

There is still room for bond yields to go up.  I predict more dips ahead.



Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: Cares on March 10, 2021, 07:54:56 AM
I sold some GME positions to cover my initial investment. Now everything is just gravy on top.

Today's 10 year auction will be a strong indicator of how the markets will move.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: kpatnps on March 10, 2021, 08:13:51 AM
hmm...

So AMD is buying XLNX with stock swap of 1.734 AMD shares per share of XLNX.

At today's prices AMD is $76 x 1.734 = $131.
XLNX is trading at $116.

Does this make buying XLNX at $15 discount to AMD shares?  Assuming the deal is still on?

Or AMD is overvalued.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on March 12, 2021, 04:08:13 PM
Bought small position in GHVI

https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/02/11/this-spac-could-be-the-best-stock-of-the-decade/

https://matterport.com/

https://matterport.com/3d-camera-app-iphone

Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on April 05, 2021, 09:36:01 AM
Performance check on RE/Builder related stocks since purchase this year:

DHI +18.21%
LEN +20.27%
Z     -12.18%

DOOR +10.68%
HD +20.54%
GHVI -13.59%


Note the winners were mostly "hardware" vs losers were mostly "software".  I'm still bullish on GHVI merger with Matterport.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: USCTrojanCPA on April 05, 2021, 10:11:32 PM
Loved the builders this year....LEN, DHI, and TOL.  I think they may flatten out a bit as rates rise and once inventory levels begin to tick up it'll be time to bail out.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on April 07, 2021, 03:48:36 PM
Sold DOOR -- gonna try swing trade this stock.

Buy back at $114-$110.
Title: Re: Stock picks
Post by: momopi on April 19, 2021, 12:42:29 PM
@_@ should have kept DOOR.  LoL.

Bought COIN, MARA, and RIOT on dip.
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