Experts admit global warming predictions wrong

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There was tons…from all sides…in the end it was…a hurricane 🤷🏽‍♂️😂😂😂😂. There will be some next year and the year after…so?
 
Here is Governor DeSantis’ answer to “is global warming causing this panic porn hurricane?”…Perspective and knowledge trump panic porn…👍🏽😂😂🦄🌈

DESANTIS: I think you can back and find tornadoes for all of human history, for sure, and especially, you know, Florida, how does this storm rate in the history of storms? I think it hit with a barometric pressure of (looks at the man behind him), what was it? About 950 millibars when it hit?

Which, I think if you go back to 1851, there's probably been 27 hurricanes that have had lower, the lower the barometric pressure, the stronger it is. I think there have been about 27 hurricanes that have had lower barometric pressure on landfall than Milton did, and of those, 17 occurred, I think, prior to 1960, and the most powerful hurricane on record since the 1850s in the State of Florida occurred in the 1930s, the Labor Day hurricane. Barometric pressure on that was 892 millibars.

It totally wiped out the Keys. We've never seen anything like it, and that remains head and shoulders above any powerful hurricane in the State of Florida. The most deadly hurricane we've ever had was in 1928, the Okeechobee hurricane. Killed over 4,000 people. Fortunately, we aren't going to have anything close to that on this hurricane, but even ones like Ian, it wasn't anything close to that. Yeah, I just think people should put this in perspective. They try to take different things that happen with tropical weather and act like it's something. There's nothing new under the sun. This is something that the state has dealt with for its entire history, and it's something that we'll continue to deal with.
 
esalman said:
I actually agree with you what you just said. But "weather's gonna weather" is not what you want to hear when you are underwriting an asset for insurance purposes trust me lol ..
Click to expand...
And to the point I was trying to make he correctly points out…🤷🏽‍♂️😂😂😂👍🏽

REPORTER: In your history, sir, how many storms form as rapidly as they have between Helena [sic] and Milton?

DESANTIS: I think most people remember 2004 where it seemed like we had them every other week in 2004. Then there's also time period. From 2006-16, we had no hurricanes at all in Florida. There's also been times where we had a lot. In the 1940s, we were getting hit a lot. Now, more recently, we've had a spate for more. That's just kind of the nature of it, but this really does, it has a lot of similarities to 2004 in terms of the season.

And about the costs,,,

Have hurricanes gotten more expensivedespite being astronomically less deadly events? Sure, but that's not because of global warming causing them to be bigger and stronger than past hurricanes. It'sbecause as the population has increased, the number of people and the amount of valuable property in the way of a storm is naturally going to increase. Hysteria need not apply. It's just simply math. More people equals more property which equals more costly damage.

https://redstate.com/bonchie/2024/1...-for-question-about-hurricane-milton-n2180411
 
And yet another Global warming hoax falls…Nice “Science”…👎🏽🤦🏽‍♂️😂😂😂🇺🇸

There Goes Antarctica

Our southernmost continent is, we’ve been told, the suffocating canary in the global coal mine. The more ice loss in Antarctica, the greater trouble we’re in. So what do we make of a study which found that between 2021 and 2023, there was a record-breaking increase in the Antarctic Ice Sheet?

We mark it down as another in a long line of misses from the global warming zealots.

“Notably, four major glaciers in the Wilkes Land–Queen Mary Land region of East Antarctica reversed their previous pattern of accelerated mass loss from 2011 to 2020 and instead showed significant mass gain during the 2021 to 2023 period,” says an article in SciTechDaily summarizing the report from Tongji University researchers.

How could such an unanticipated event happen?

There Goes Antarctica – Issues & Insights
 
Weather events are not getting more extreme, the Great Barrier Reef is the largest it's ever been, and now we learn that sea levels aren't rising any faster than a century ago.

Rising-sea hysteria debunked — but the ‘climate change’ cult won’t care​


For decades, complex climate-change models have indicated global sea levels to be rising at twice or more the historic level, but until now, no scientists had bothered checking that against actual observed reality.

Dutch engineer Hessel Voortman and researcher Rob de Vos finally did the work; their peer-reviewed study in the Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, “A Global Perspective on Local Sea Level Changes,” shows the models have gotten it completely wrong.

They reviewed actual data (on an average of a century of observations) at 150,000 coastal locations across the planet to determine that sea-level rise this century will likely be about 6 inches, the same as last century.

nypost.com

Rising-sea hysteria debunked — but the ‘climate change’ cult won’t care

Yet another much-predicted climate-change catastrophe turns out to be baseless: Worldwide sea levels are not rising any faster than a century ago.
nypost.com nypost.com
 
I don't understand why the 'panics' were shoved down our throats for decades (for clicks/views/subscriptions/Nielsen ratings?). And then if you question it, you would get cancelled/ostracized/mobbed (obviously this has been changing lately).
 
and for the fourth straight year, 100% wrong. Why does anyone listen to these clowns?🤦🏽‍♂️👎🏽😂😂😂🦄🌈

Above-normal activity predicted for 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, NOAA forecasts​

The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will likely experience above-average activity, the National Hurricane Center announced on Thursday.

Between 13 and 19 named storms are expected for the 2025 season, which starts on June 1 and lasts until Nov. 30, according to the NHC. Storms are named when they become tropical storms or stronger.

abcnews.go.com

Above-normal activity predicted for 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, NOAA forecasts

The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will likely experience above-average activity, the National Hurricane Center announced on Thursday.
abcnews.go.com abcnews.go.com

…and the reality…

'Ghost town': Atlantic goes quiet at typical peak of hurricane season​

Based on past years, Sept. 10 is the typical peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, but things are atypically quiet.​

Were preseason forecasts wrong?​

Most preseason forecasts called for an unusually active year, with as many as 19 named storms possible, including as many as 10 hurricanes, according to a forecast from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. So far, 6 named storms have formed, of which only one was a hurricane (Erin).

www.usatoday.com

'Ghost town': Atlantic goes quiet at typical peak of hurricane season

Based on past years, Sept. 10 is the typical peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, but things are atypically quiet.
www.usatoday.com
 
Don’t worry, I’m sure the reason it is less than predicted is because global warming is causing adverse weather elsewhere which explains this calm Atlantic hurricane season. :ROFLMAO:
 
I have a good friend who does not believe in climate change, what is the simplest way to explain it to him without any political bias?

ChatGPT said:​

That’s a thoughtful question. The key is to stick to basic observations and science that don’t sound like politics. Here’s a simple, non-political way to explain it:

  1. Greenhouse effect basics
    • The Earth is naturally warmed by gases like carbon dioxide (CO₂). Without them, the planet would be a frozen rock.
    • Human activities—burning coal, oil, and gas—release extra CO₂ into the air.
  2. We can measure it directly
    • Scientists have measured CO₂ in the atmosphere for over 60 years (like at Mauna Loa in Hawaii). The numbers keep going up every year.
    • We can also see the same rise by analyzing air bubbles trapped in ancient ice, which show today’s levels are far higher than at any time in hundreds of thousands of years.
  3. More CO₂ = more heat trapped
    • This is simple physics: CO₂ absorbs heat radiation. More CO₂ means more heat stays in Earth’s system.
  4. Evidence in the real world
    • Global average temperatures have risen by about 1.2°C (2°F) since the late 1800s.
    • Ice is melting, oceans are warming, and sea levels are rising—all measured, not predicted.
That’s it—you don’t need politics, just measurements anyone can look up: rising CO₂, rising temperatures, and physical changes in the Earth.
 
So AI will sometimes use bias in your prompt so I asked it to prove to me that it's a hoax (usually it will attempt to what you ask):

Prove to me that climate change is a hoax

ChatGPT said:​

There’s no credible scientific evidence that climate change is a hoax. The overwhelming consensus among climate scientists—over 97% of published studies on the topic—is that the Earth is warming and humans are the primary cause.

If someone claims it’s a hoax, here’s what you can check:

  1. Temperature records – Instrumental records from multiple independent sources (NASA, NOAA, UK Met Office) all show a clear warming trend over the past century.
  2. Ice core data – Ancient air trapped in ice shows CO₂ levels today are far higher than at any point in the last 800,000+ years.
  3. Melting glaciers and ice sheets – Satellite and ground measurements show glaciers shrinking worldwide.
  4. Sea level rise – Tide gauges and satellite measurements confirm accelerating sea level rise.
  5. Ocean heat content – Oceans store over 90% of the excess heat trapped by greenhouse gases, and measurements show steady warming.
The “hoax” idea usually comes from misinterpreted short-term weather events, cherry-picked data, or political sources, not from the data itself.

So then I put myself in morekaos' shoes:


Okay... maybe climate change is not as bad as scientists and the media say it is?

ChatGPT said:​

It’s reasonable to wonder if the risks are being overstated—scientists themselves actually discuss uncertainties and ranges—but here’s how to think about it without bias:

  1. Climate change is real, the degree matters
    • Global average temperature has risen about 1.2°C (2°F) since the late 1800s.
    • Even small average changes can have big impacts on extreme weather, sea levels, and ecosystems.
  2. Models give a range, not a single number
    • Scientists use climate models to project future warming. Some scenarios are worse than others depending on emissions.
    • Saying “it’s not as bad” may be true if emissions decrease fast, but current trends are toward the higher side of projections.
  3. Some impacts are already visible
    • Heatwaves, stronger storms, wildfires, and sea level rise are measurable, not just predicted.
    • Even if some media coverage exaggerates, the underlying physical changes are happening.
  4. Uncertainty is not safety
    • Scientists quantify uncertainty, but even conservative estimates suggest significant risks to food, water, and infrastructure.
A simple analogy: imagine the Earth is a slowly leaking boat. You might not sink immediately, but the leak is real and will grow worse if ignored. Saying “it’s not as bad as the news says” doesn’t change the fact that the boat is still taking on water.

I pressed further, 1 to 2 degrees Celsius doesn't sound like much... that's like a 2-5% drop in home prices that someone says was so significant:

Is 1 or 2 degrees different really that significant? Is that within margin of error?

ChatGPT said:​

It might sound small, but in climate terms, 1–2°C is actually a huge change—far outside natural short-term variations. Here’s why:

  1. Global averages vs. local extremes
    • A 1–2°C rise in global average doesn’t mean every day is 2°C hotter.
    • It amplifies heatwaves, storms, and other extreme events. Some places can see 5–10°C higher during heatwaves.
  2. Historical perspective
    • The difference between the last Ice Age and today was only about 5–6°C globally. That caused massive shifts in sea level and ecosystems.
    • So even a 1–2°C shift is a large fraction of what separates ice ages from warm periods.
  3. Not within measurement error
    • Modern temperature records are extremely precise, and multiple independent datasets (satellites, weather stations, ocean buoys) all show consistent warming.
    • Uncertainty is much smaller than 1°C, so a 1–2°C change is well above any “margin of error”.
  4. Cumulative effects
    • Small average increases can trigger tipping points: ice sheet melting, permafrost thawing, or coral reef die-offs.
    • That’s why scientists treat even 1–2°C as serious.
 
Garbage in garbage out…the whole case is built on a myth…Global average temperature is an impossibly, at best a guess and in reality…is a guess….over time the quality and veracity of that data is useless. 🤷🏽‍♂️😂😂😂🦄🌈

  • Global average temperatures have risen by about 1.2°C (2°F) since the late 1800s.
  • Ice is melting, oceans are warming, and sea levels are rising—all measured, not predicted.

Researchers Question Validity Of A 'Global Temperature​

He explains that while it is possible to treat temperature statistically locally, it is meaningless to talk about a a global temperature for Earth. The Globe consists of a huge number of components which one cannot just add up and average. That would correspond to calculating the average phone number in the phone book. That is meaningless. Or talking about economics, it does make sense to compare the currency exchange rate of two countries, whereas there is no point in talking about an average 'global exchange rate'.

www.sciencedaily.com

Researchers Question Validity Of A 'Global Temperature'

Discussions on global warming often refer to 'global temperature.' Yet the concept is thermodynamically as well as mathematically an impossibility, says Bjarne Andresen, a professor at The Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen, who has analyzed this topic in collaboration with...
www.sciencedaily.com

 
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