Midterm Elections

Liar Loan said:
fortune11 said:
So people who don?t agree with your viewpoint are the same as neo nazis ? Do you realize how ridiculous and childish it makes you ?

When you are done bawling we can continue this discussion further
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Haha... and now you are name calling.  Well done.
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Me puppet ? No no no you puppet !

Geez I wonder who else said that :)
 
Liar Loan said:
58f4e851c75d4a1a008b4b36-750-500.jpg
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Did they intentionally pick a Easter Bunny costume with the "did he just say that" expression or is it just me.  Maybe its a 'why's there a giant turd in my Cheerios' expression. 
 
What a negotiator!

That word sums up President Trump?s realization that maybe the Trans-Pacific Partnership wasn?t such a bad deal, after all. As a candidate, Trump declared the TPP a ?disaster,? and he withdrew the United States from the 12-nation pact during his first week in the White House. But now, Trump has directed his advisers to explore whether there?s a way back in.

The change of heart likely comes as Trump realizes he needs leverage in his trade spat with China?which is exactly what the TPP is supposed to accomplish. The trade deal was intended to develop an Asian trading bloc that could serve as a counterweight to China, as its economic might grows. The pact includes US allies such as Japan, Australia, Canada and Mexico?but not China. It went into effect without the United States this year.
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https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/week-trumponomics-trump-becomes-globalist-155003983.html
 
Man , he is losing it (recent tweets) . most of his tweets are ridiculous, but the tone has changed. And while We can laugh,  but think he?s turned some kind of emotional corner that shouldn?t be dismissed lightly.  Esp w his finger on the formidable war machine we have .
 
Funny, we don't seem to hear this brag any more...wonder why?

Q: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for (the Democratic candidate) or (the Republican candidate) in your congressional district? Would you lean toward the (Democratic candidate) or the (Republican candidate)?
Monday, April 16, 8:54 AM

Registered voters
Democratic candidate 47%

Republican candidate 43%

The Washington Post - ABC News poll

https://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2018/04/16/National-Politics/Polling/question_20317.xml?uuid=CucQrkFlEeiy3LCkA-RyCg

 
I've heard it recently predicted that California will lose Congressional seats (and electoral votes) after the 2020 census is complete.  That would be the first decline in the state's history and shows what the political consequences of out-migration are.  Red/Purple states will be the primary beneficiaries.
 
morekaos said:
Funny, we don't seem to hear this brag any more...wonder why?

Q: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for (the Democratic candidate) or (the Republican candidate) in your congressional district? Would you lean toward the (Democratic candidate) or the (Republican candidate)?
Monday, April 16, 8:54 AM

Registered voters
Democratic candidate 47%

Republican candidate 43%

The Washington Post - ABC News poll

https://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2018/04/16/National-Politics/Polling/question_20317.xml?uuid=CucQrkFlEeiy3LCkA-RyCg
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Because we understand polls and how they work.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/democrats-chances-of-winning-the-senate-are-looking-stronger/
 
Yes...WE do.

Electoral Maps Derived from FiveThirtyEight Forecasts


FiveThirtyEight is forecasting the presidential election with three models.  In each of these approaches, state-level winning probabilities are assigned to the candidates with each update of the forecast. For more information, see the FiveThirtyEight election forecast user guide.

What we've done here is created an electoral map for each model from the current* FiveThirtyEight state-level probabilities. Essentially, we are coloring a state for Clinton or Trump where one of them has a 60% or higher chance of winning. Blue and red are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, with the gradient deepening as the chance of winning increases:  Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90% +). As the election draws nearer, look for fewer differences between the three maps.

https://www.270towin.com/content/electoral-maps-derived-from-fivethirtyeight-forecasts
 
morekaos said:
Yes...WE do.

Electoral Maps Derived from FiveThirtyEight Forecasts


FiveThirtyEight is forecasting the presidential election with three models.  In each of these approaches, state-level winning probabilities are assigned to the candidates with each update of the forecast. For more information, see the FiveThirtyEight election forecast user guide.

What we've done here is created an electoral map for each model from the current* FiveThirtyEight state-level probabilities. Essentially, we are coloring a state for Clinton or Trump where one of them has a 60% or higher chance of winning. Blue and red are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, with the gradient deepening as the chance of winning increases:  Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90% +). As the election draws nearer, look for fewer differences between the three maps.

https://www.270towin.com/content/electoral-maps-derived-from-fivethirtyeight-forecasts
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Now he will tell you the polls predicted Trump's win in 3...2...1...
 
Liar Loan said:
morekaos said:
Yes...WE do.

Electoral Maps Derived from FiveThirtyEight Forecasts


FiveThirtyEight is forecasting the presidential election with three models.  In each of these approaches, state-level winning probabilities are assigned to the candidates with each update of the forecast. For more information, see the FiveThirtyEight election forecast user guide.

What we've done here is created an electoral map for each model from the current* FiveThirtyEight state-level probabilities. Essentially, we are coloring a state for Clinton or Trump where one of them has a 60% or higher chance of winning. Blue and red are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, with the gradient deepening as the chance of winning increases:  Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90% +). As the election draws nearer, look for fewer differences between the three maps.

https://www.270towin.com/content/electoral-maps-derived-from-fivethirtyeight-forecasts
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Now he will tell you the polls predicted Trump's win in 3...2...1...
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Then he does not understand how polls work.
 
...and there will be no snow on the Ice caps by 2018...

GDPNow says, ?It is not an official forecast of the Atlanta Fed. Rather, it is best viewed as an updated estimate of real GDP growth based on available data for the current measured quarter. There are no subjective adjustments made to GDPNow,
 
morekaos said:
...and there will be no snow on the Ice caps by 2018...

GDPNow says, ?It is not an official forecast of the Atlanta Fed. Rather, it is best viewed as an updated estimate of real GDP growth based on available data for the current measured quarter. There are no subjective adjustments made to GDPNow,
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Right...cause CBO is right at 3.3% but the Atlanta Fed is wrong.    But I believe you also touted the Atlanta fed when it projected a 5+% GDP growth.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/3975564-gdpnow
 
That was an official forecast, but either way it was off.  Significant growth is undeniable, we can argue the numbers but the trend is my friend..and Trumps.
 
morekaos said:
That was an official forecast, but either way it was off.  Significant growth is undeniable, we can argue the numbers but the trend is my friend..and Trumps.
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No it wasn't.  It was the same forecast.  Look at the chart.

https%3A%2F%2Fblogs-images.forbes.com%2Fchuckjones%2Ffiles%2F2018%2F04%2FTRUMP-GDPNOW-2.0-PERCENT-APRIL-17-BIT-BEFORE-1Q-1ST-ESTIMATE.jpg


Wait...now numbers don't matter?  So why did you post the article regarding CBO?  Numbers don't matter!

 
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