Lucky seller or upward trend?

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Okay, it's a falling market--but take a look at 5 Bethany, a typical 4/3 backing to a busy street (Turtle Rock Drive). According to Zillow, it recently (8/28/08) sold for $973,500--at least $100K more than it should have. And what's with the listing (also backing to Turtle Rock Drive) a few doors down, for $1.6 million? Are these folks just lucky, or are things turning around?
 
marketwatcher said:
Okay, it's a falling market--but take a look at 5 Bethany, a typical 4/3 backing to a busy street (Turtle Rock Drive). According to Zillow, it recently (8/28/08) sold for $973,500--at least $100K more than it should have. And what's with the listing (also backing to Turtle Rock Drive) a few doors down, for $1.6 million? Are these folks just lucky, or are things turning around?

I disagee. Based on its last sales price and recent pricing trends in Irvine, it should have sold for a smidge over $1M. $973K is actually a little deeper rollback than most recent sales... The Case-Shiller equivalent at $973K is a 194, which is around 6% lower than the median Case-Shiller equivalents over the past few months.
 
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