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  1. Hormiguero_IHB

    Unreal: YES on 2 and NO on 4

    The juvenile behavior and ad hominems are bad, but the endlessly nested russian-doll 7-in-1 postings are far more offensive.
  2. Hormiguero_IHB

    Unreal: YES on 2 and NO on 4

    Prop 8 is a victory for no one, and I can only hope that the tax status of many of the religious groups involved gets a hard look in the next administration. But there's a reason that people will still pay 400 bucks a square foot to live on west la's westside, the nicer parts of san mateo...
  3. Hormiguero_IHB

    What's wrong with this house

    Wow. Someone paid over 2 mil for a tract home 2 short blocks from macarthur a good mile from the water. I wonder what kind of vacancy is creeping into the office buildings ringing fashion island over there.
  4. Hormiguero_IHB

    Case-Schiller for Costa Mesa

    the different price bands in the SoCal landscape seem to have much different dynamics lately, with the lowest-priced stuff falling hard on heavy volume as the "upper middle class" housing stock (550-750K) enjoys a slight rally on very low volume. as many have posted, this could correspond with...
  5. Hormiguero_IHB

    Stock Market Day-Trading Discussion Thread

    So you really don't think that weak demand for stocks both in terms of Boomer disninvestment and weak 1970s birth rates isn't a long-term liability for equities? I think they will soak up Bernankedollars in due time, but the debt load we're piling on now will also make it hard to pass that...
  6. Hormiguero_IHB

    Gold

    gold under $700 is a steal, IMO. as for the miners, no one is giving them credit for the fact that lower oil should mean much better margins.
  7. Hormiguero_IHB

    Stock Market Day-Trading Discussion Thread

    don't forget the bullish side of the trade (which had a fantastic week): leveraged bigoil - DIG (bad guys are DUG - isn't that cute?) leveraged real estate - URE emerging markets EEM (i think for whatever reason, the bad guy equivalent EEV is leveraged, and eem isn't?) and the one...
  8. Hormiguero_IHB

    Hard Currencies

  9. Hormiguero_IHB

    Stock Market Day-Trading Discussion Thread

    i've had decent knife-flipping this week with EEM, UYM and RSX. unfortunately, that late trade hammered what was a nice day for the (way too much) VNQ in my IRA. that stuff has been a real heartbreaker, and what makes it worse was my laziness on getting some puts on it in my taxable account...
  10. Hormiguero_IHB

    GDP Estimate Polling

    a better question is 'what will it be revised to in a few months' - these revisions have been huge lately. GDP is just another of many federal #s - unemployment, CPI, etc - which belongs in the 'fiction' section of the bookstore.
  11. Hormiguero_IHB

    Crack throughout house = problem with foundation?

    Generally, if I see a lot of crack in a house I more associate the problem with chemical dependency issues for the folks there. I suspect that Irvine may see some growth in this sector of the economy as things slow.
  12. Hormiguero_IHB

    Is the California (Irvine) Market Ahead of the US Market?

    It is the REITs that are ahead of the residential market. http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=VNQ&t=3m They have tanked to the tune of 30% or so in the past two weeks, 40% in the past month. Big, professionally managed trusts that deliver a nice 8% yield keep on falling to new all-time...
  13. Hormiguero_IHB

    Foreclosures add to tight rental market

    At least in my 'hood, 2008 was a year where many a flipper tried to punt by leasing their place out for their monthly carrying cost - which is often almost twice market rent. Those places sit... and sit... and sit.... I've always referred to those folks as 'airlords'. There's nothing...
  14. Hormiguero_IHB

    Automatic Adjusted Property Tax Observations

    Hopefully that program isn't anything like "zillow"! Their "Zestimates" have had an imaginary 15% rally in some parts of Orange County in the past month for no discernible reason.
  15. Hormiguero_IHB

    Tonight's "The Big Idea" - Lowered Expectations with Jim Cramer

    Jim is an entertainer and should not be confused with something else. He tries to offer a physical embodiment of the manic, momentum-driven personality of the equities market itself, and does a good job capturing that. I also think he is consistent about encouraging people to be proactive and...
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