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  1. awgee_IHB

    Mark Hanson doesn't think we're out of the woods yet

    The data as presented is pricing and sales data, not fundamental data. If I am trading, I want the fundamentals and the long term trend on my side. But pricing data, (technical analysis), is critical for entry and exit points. For long term investing, the fundamentals are everything. And...
  2. awgee_IHB

    Your Stimulus Dollars at work

    Seriously, how do we change this? Folks feel there is nothing they can do and it is beyond their scope of influence, yet they keep voting for the Republican and Democrat candidates. I saw a bumper sticker the other day: I will keep my money, guns, and freedom. You can keep your "Change".
  3. awgee_IHB

    Economic Commentary

    Speaking of tin foil hats, ... I am skeptical the either the treasury sales or the POMOs will end. Maybe for a short bit, but IMO, they are holding up the economy and there is no way B-52 Ben can stop printing money.
  4. awgee_IHB

    Economic Commentary

    A little tidbit: Motor vehicles sales were 1.66% of the 3.5% growth in Q3 GDP.
  5. awgee_IHB

    Mark Hanson doesn't think we're out of the woods yet

    Where did the latest uptick in prices come from? Will it last? And why or why not? From <a href="http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/real-homes-of-genius-culver-city-and-the-housing-stockholm-syndrome-approximately-5-percent-of-current-home-price-is-related-to-government-bailouts/">Dr...
  6. awgee_IHB

    Mark Hanson doesn't think we're out of the woods yet

    If you want to convince yourself that a 20 months supply is a healthy market, cool. A question for you folks: Why do you think it is that the smart money, (the over $2mil) market is not buying, and the not so smart money is buying?
  7. awgee_IHB

    Mark Hanson doesn't think we're out of the woods yet

    Steve Thomas' October 19 data: Slice Listings Deals Time in months 2 weeks ago 1 year ago 2 years ago $2m-$4m 698 36 19.39 20.41 22.42 25.09 $4m + 380 12 31.67 32.17...
  8. awgee_IHB

    Mark Hanson doesn't think we're out of the woods yet

    All agreed on your analysis of Irvine and the lower end market. The problem is that people confuse past results and behavior with a propensity for the future to look the same without analyzing why? Good question about the long bonds. I had much the same questions and after awhile of...
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