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  1. Joe33_IHB

    Tell me about Oceanside

    Crime is bad in Oceanside. I would say that it is like Santa Ana on the coast.
  2. Joe33_IHB

    your opinion on Watermarke Condos ?

    I think Avenue One might have also originally been built as apartments. KHov bought it from the original developer at some point during construction. I don't remember who the original developer was.
  3. Joe33_IHB

    Are TIC rental apartment prices inflated?

    Rents have been rising 4% to 6% for the last several years. Pretty high rent growth but hardly indicative of a bubble. I would think that if Irvine Co were to put up their apartment portfolio for sale to an institutional investor that it would sell for over $350 per foot. Maybe $350 per...
  4. Joe33_IHB

    Ladera Ranch Discussion Thread

    I live in Ladera. I really like it. Very family friendly....we have young kids and it is perfect for them. We were really attracted to the parks, pools, amenities, schools, and most of all the community environment. And it is a decent discount in price to Irvine. We really enjoy living...
  5. Joe33_IHB

    Ut roh: Could commercial RE be next?

    <p>So if 10.4 mil sf is a 10.8% vacancy rate, there is plus or minus a 2% to 3% increase in vacancy from the supply pipeline. I agree that is not good....I guess what I was trying to say was that is not enough to cause a noticeable increase in cmbs delinquency rates.</p>
  6. Joe33_IHB

    Ut roh: Could commercial RE be next?

    <p>IR,</p> <p>I know 2 million square feet is a lot, but even if that entire amount was delivered 100% vacant, I don't think it would have a huge impact on the county's vacancy rate.</p> <p>How many total square feet is the market?</p>
  7. Joe33_IHB

    Ut roh: Could commercial RE be next?

    The credit crunch is causing business investment to grind to a halt. I don't think we can stay out of recession. Decisions being made by businesses right now are all on the conservative side. With business activity slowing, we know the consumer is not going to bail out the economy. The...
  8. Joe33_IHB

    Ut roh: Could commercial RE be next?

    The drops in commercial lending are due to the same credit crunch. The secondary market is just not functioning so cmbs has completely dried up. The difference is that the commercial loans are still performing, versus residential loans that are not. Loan delinquency in commercial is still...
  9. Joe33_IHB

    Housewives of Orange County

    I think the ranch is in San Juan Capistrano. There are some big, equestrian areas out in the eastern part of SJC....out Ortega Highway. I would guess its out there.
  10. Joe33_IHB

    Irvine?s Central Park West on hold until market turns

    Lennar is insane. It is exactly this type of product - high density, less desirable location, huge hoa, that is going to suffer the most in this downturn. The carrying costs have to be huge. I can't think that there is any way this will end well for Lennar. The longer they wait, the...
  11. Joe33_IHB

    Does Irvine feel wealthy?

    I did just read that post....right after I posted mine of course. I still think that is a minority of people in Irvine. lendingmaestro is up to his ears in that stuff right now because that is who is calling.....those are the people that need to re-fi. If you don't have an exploding mortgage...
  12. Joe33_IHB

    Does Irvine feel wealthy?

    I know several people that live in Irvine Co apartments that make $250K to $500K per year. They can certainly afford a $50,000 car and not have it be a facade. As for the $80,000 median income versus what we see every day.....I would be interested to see what the median income is in some...
  13. Joe33_IHB

    Sold as is

    I may be wrong here, but aren't all sales pretty much 'as is?'
  14. Joe33_IHB

    Residential Downturns Effect on Commercial

    <p>Institutions are accepting the low yields specifically because of expectations for revenue growth. Fundamentals in most property sectors are pretty strong in SoCal. These types of yields are not the norm nationally....only in markets where investors expect to see above average revenue...
  15. Joe33_IHB

    Losses Outside of Irvine

    Using 1998 as your starting point for home price appreciation might be off as the housing market was just coming out of a severe downturn, so prices were deflated. I am not sure what a good year would be considered for a 'base' when the market was in equilibrium.
  16. Joe33_IHB

    Where is the good pizza in Irvine ?

    Agree with acpme on Gina's over by UCI.
  17. Joe33_IHB

    What may happen to those Irivine Urban Living Condos...

    <p>It was developed by Legacy. They pre-sold it about half way through construction to Camden. That is about when the construction slowdown happened. Camden is an apartment reit. </p> <p>Just this last week, Camden put the property on the market.....trying to make a quick buck on a flip.</p>
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