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<p>IrvineSoulBrother: <em>Any input?</em></p> <p>You might want to check to make sure 1031 rules allow investments in multi-family properties. There are several interesting, reasonably-priced properties in OC listed on <a href="http://www.loopnet.com">Loopnet.com</a> (free registration).</p>

<p>muzie: <em>"Most likely they will at least cut down their staff (of 7000), so that's at least a few jobs that'll be lost."</em></p> <p>Good thread - I have been contemplating the potential job losses tied to NEW. Is your number of 7,000 reliable? Also, if you can answer, what is your...

<p>muzie: <em>"I'm all ears if anybody has any ideas for <strong><u>defensive assets</u></strong> apart from CDs or cash."</em></p> <p>I can only tell you what has worked for us personally over the past 8-10 years. No investment advice is expressly implied.</p> <p>At <a...

<p>We used <a href="http://www2.fdic.gov/edie/">FDIC's "EDIE"</a> to help us make sure each of our accounts were meeting the FDIC coverage requirements.</p>

<p>A new survey posted at Zoomerang.com today (2/28)...</p> <p><a href="http://www.zoomerang.com/survey.zgi?p=WEB2266UG8U29D">http://www.zoomerang.com/survey.zgi?p=WEB2266UG8U29D</a> </p> <p>Your feedback is appreciated!</p>

<p><em>I will recap here the last survey ended 2/20/2007:</em></p> <p><strong>Updated! - 2/20/2007, 12:56 pm</strong></p> <p><strong>There were 53 visits and 37 completes.</strong></p> <p>The <strong>final</strong> survey results are in! There were a big whoppin' <strong><u>37</u>...

<p>brealiving: <em>"I am a big fan or Buyside Realty. I've used them to put in 2 offers and the process was great."</em></p> <p>Inquiring minds want to know: Did you try lowball offers (more than 5-10% below asking price)? Was there any push back from them, or did they just pass along your...

<p>I have recently come across <a href="http://www.buysiderealty.com">www.buysiderealty.com</a>, an online agent that has an interesting twist on the conventional RE transaction. They rebate you 75% of the commission they earn on the transaction. You can either take this as a credit on escrow...

<p>IrvineRenter: <em>"To answer your question more directly, I don't limit long or short positions to any fixed percentage. If the market is trending downward, I will load up on short positions, and if the market is trending upward, I will load up on long positions. The puts I bought today were...

<p>Talking about shorts: Last week I loaded up on QID in anticipation. Not a bad <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=QID">rally</a> in those today. I wish I had some call options on VIX - man that thing just popped beautifully today!!!</p> <p>Speaking of the housing market slowdown, I like...

<p>Alright. Someone had to start this discussion thread, so I will do it.</p> <p>It's OK for the bears to come out of hiding now. This <a href="http://housingpanic.blogspot.com/2007/02/cheney-almost-bites-it-china-stocks.html">link</a> pretty much sums up what happened today... So what's on...

<p>Good suggestions coming in from everyone - I will keep an eye out for these questions over the next day or so and draft a new survey sometime this week.</p> <p>I already have a new one in the hopper about people's expectations of the Irvine housing market. I might start a separate 'survey...

<p><strong>Updated! - 2/20/2007, 12:56 pm - The survey has closed.</strong></p> <p><strong>There were 53 visits and 37 completes.</strong></p> <p>The <strong>final</strong> survey results are in! There were a big whoppin' <strong><u>37</u> responses</strong> (THANKS!!) so this not a...

<p>graphrix: <em>"For 5 years prices are flat and year six is up 4%, year seven 5%, year eight 6%, year nine 7% and finally on year ten back to what OC averages 8%..."</em></p> <p>Can you state the economic basis of this assumption? I am just trying to understand your approach. Since there...

<p>bigmoneysalsa: <em>"For OC as a whole new home sales are about one sixth of the total."</em></p> <p>For <u>OC overall</u>, I agree with the "about one-sixth" number , because I checked DataQuick charts and saw them fluctuate between 12 - 17% of total home sales. In fact, for 2006, annual...

<p>IrvineRenter and bigmoneysalsa: You guys are both correct in that it depends on what you define the market to be. My argument about the existence of the oligopoly was specifically in regards to the market for new homes. My initial argument was that prices of new homes set the trend for...

<p>bigmoneysalsa: <em>"Hold on a minute. Controling a good share of the market, and holding out for premium prices, is not price fixing. Price fixing involves collusion between entities who would normally be competitors. This clearly does not apply to the relationship between Irvine Company and...

<p>Long post alert!</p> <p>bigmoneysalsa: <em>"How can you have dominant control over a market when your market share is less than half?"</em></p> <p>New house <u>sales</u>, by their very nature, "happen" with a higher frequency, and therefore set the pricing trend for the total (used and...

<p>Slightly off topic: I have found what I think is the holy grail of links to Real Estate news and articles (other than blogs and forums) on the web. The website is SeeklingAlpha.com and the topical coverage of RE is <a href="http://usmarket.seekingalpha.com/by/type/housing">here</a>...

<p>I discovered another study from PMI Mortgage Insurance Company which talks about price appreciation and affordability. I think it makes for a fascinating reading... The tables on pages 4-5 are best read printed out in color or "side by side" in Adobe Acrobat Read it <a...