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Skiddy, this ones for you. Here is a nice deal in T Ridge. You might wanna evaluate the possibilty of any more 3200 Sq ft homes closing for $2.2MM this decade. Here is a 3600 sq ft home with asking less than $1.7. http://www.redfin.com/CA/Irvine/35-Hidden-Trl-92603/home/5927964...

Ok, so according to your data recent ASKS are ~25% of slightly less recent closings. Looks like a collapsing market to me...

OK here is some UGLY data out of LPS. http://www.lpsvcs.com/NewsRoom/Pages/20090901.aspx

Nice recent study on modifcation from UNC. http://www.ccc.unc.edu/documents/LM_March3_2009_final.pdf

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123875775797386333.html More recent data on mofications. Looks like the more recent mods, which include payment reduction, are far more stable the mods from '08. There is mention at the end the servicers of their own loans are far more successful with mods...