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    Presidential Elections

    Our own little mike Tyson here :) did you end up smashing b your screen or your knuckles with all this counter punching May I offer some fruit punch as a gentler alternative ...
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    Presidential Elections

    Wow , this triggered such an emotional and visceral response in some  .. wait does that make ?em  a SNOW  .... 
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    Presidential Elections

    Everyone should watch clips of that press conference with Theresa May with their own eyes to believe what a major league  dumbass we have elected to the White House . The clown is asking May to abolish NHS (their national health service )  as a part of any bilateral rade deal . But he doesn?t...
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    Snowflakes

    What should they have kept embracing to remain a world power ?  Ruling over vast regions of the world with brute force and exploitation?  Were it not for the diverse , progressive, economic powerhouse that is London , it would have been reduced to just another damp island in the Atlantic...
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    Snowflakes

    Who is president bone spurs punching back by covering the aircraft carrier ? dead John McCain ? The protestors in the U.K. actually had a crowd bigger than his inauguration in DC  !  Must have pissed him off to no end . But he can?t punch back now can he  :) Anyone still wonder this (MAGA)...
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    Tarriffs/Trade War

    I agree ? Tariffs wars go beyond the piddly tariff % times imports etc . It is already causing an industrial? recession  globally . You know it?s bad news cycle for trump when the MAGA swamp is quiet on this forum .  Otherwise they are jumping up and down polluting the ?recent posts? link...
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    Economic Slowdown?

    Yes, by below 2 percent I didn?t mean it will stop there.  we could actually retest 2016 brexit type levels I have some thoughts on all this rates , economy, stocks , and housing which I want to combine and post in one of these threads at some point soon . In the meantime , Recall I had...
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    The 2020 Presidential Election

    I was going to ignore this, but it is frustrating , just the level of ignorance. For the 100th time = Mexico is not paying the tariffs . The companies importing that stuff are . And nearly every survey has shown a vast majority of them are going to jack up prices on the consumer, you . With a...
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    The 2020 Presidential Election

    Man i had started reading this forum again as the nutjobs were silent but now here we go again ... nothing logical you say or do matters w this crowd : )
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    Economic Slowdown?

    stay w it ... even lower rates to come -- 10y will go below 2%
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    Economic Slowdown?

    Here we go again w the trade wars All those who missed locking in refinancing a month or two ago , your second chance is coming  !
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    Economic Slowdown?

    As an aside, while we are on this topic ...  Everyone who called for austerity back during Obama years got it wrong and caused harm ... Everyone who scaremongered about the deficit got it wrong and caused harm ...Everyone who wrote about the "skills gap" got it wrong and caused harm ...
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    Dow?

    At the macro /aggregate level, yes. And this is why homebuilder stocks are up big since October -- market looks 6-12 months ahead whereas most economists are chasing yesterdays data. Even the hated Toll brothers (because it is high end) is up ~30% since October.  I am not an Irvine market...
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    Dow?

    Most business owners , esp small Business owners , lean republican.  This heavily colors their view of business confidence surveys depending on which party is in charge , all else equal . Obama had the added misfortune of being labeled a socialist by the right echo chamber and the racist tea...
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    Dow?

    In the modern Fed era , not much . Trump tried to change that with appointment of Cain and then Moore but both blew up in his face .. the fed chairs generally operate independently. Best example volker who killed inflation in the late 70s early 80s and caused a mini recession while at it ...
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    Dow?

    I wasn?t active on this forum at the time ? but were you guys as much hyperventilating with joy when Obama was posting strong job gain numbers month after month ? Or were people busy teabagging him and worrying about deficits back then ? As I have long said , presidents don?t matter when it...
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    Economic Slowdown?

    There are mysteries and there are puzzles Puzzles can be solved by having more data (to complete it) Mysteries require at some point , a leap of faith based on available evidence and experience to make projections . Having more data will not necessarily help you solve a mystery You have to...
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    The Investigation

    Yes you love it and keep loving it but don?t treat the forum as your personal diary and again pollute the ?recent posts? link  .... No one else cares about this  !
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    Economic Slowdown?

    all I have to say is don?t get lost in economics and econometrics - it is not really a science Median incomes , median this median that All this matters for mean reverting systems - like height . Otherwise humans would be 100 ft tall just from small probabilities multiplying over time It...
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    Economic Slowdown?

    Dimon has been famously wrong before .  CEOs tend to extrapolate good times forever and over build / over hire / and then we have recessions when things unwind.  all this is just noise .  where was he in nov-dec last year I have told everyone on multiple threads there is no recession coming. ...
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