Author Topic: Grand Solar Minimum  (Read 246 times)

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Offline PSForever

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Grand Solar Minimum
« on: December 01, 2020, 01:00:12 PM »
Now that we are in the Eddy Minimum (Grand Solar Minimum - cooling trend), instead of hearing about "global warming", you will now simply hear "climate change." 

Shorter (and more erratic) growing season will lead to shortages in farmed goods/produce.  This in turn leads to decrease in cattle production due to shortages in cattle feed.  Food prices will inevitably go up.  There will also be an increase in migration from the colder area to the more temperate area.  (See attached map - colder temp predicted in the area above the 45 parallel). 

The good news is that sea ice extent which has decreased during the Solar Maximum will now increase during this Solar Minimum.  See attachment comparing the sea ice extent from Nov 2016 to Nov 2020.  There will also be innovation in the area of lab created food products such as Mosa meat https://www.mosameat.com/, as well as innovation related specifically to colder weather environments.

This Eddy minimum is projected to last between 2020-2053'ish.  So plan accordingly.

By the way, for those of you who are not familiar with or who may think the Grand Solar Minimum is the stuff of sci fi, please read the linked 2013 paper presented at the actuary institute summit on the effects of Grand Minimum (GSM) to our lives/businesses.  This was presented for actuaries so that they may better help their clients predict and weather the consequent effects of a GSM.  I think there's nothing more pragmatic than a viewpoint of an actuary...

https://www.actuaries.asn.au/library/events/sum/2013/sum2013paperbrentwalker.pdf

Also, solar cycle (both Maximum and Minimums) in relation to historical times (see attached graph).
« Last Edit: December 01, 2020, 02:04:46 PM by PSForever »

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Offline icey

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Re: Grand Solar Minimum
« Reply #1 on: December 01, 2020, 06:10:28 PM »
NASA says no

https://climate.nasa.gov/blog/2953/there-is-no-impending-mini-ice-age/

Quote
Thus, a new Grand Solar Minimum would only serve to offset a few years of warming caused by human activities.

What does this mean? The warming caused by the greenhouse gas emissions from the human burning of fossil fuels is six times greater than the possible decades-long cooling from a prolonged Grand Solar Minimum.

Even if a Grand Solar Minimum were to last a century, global temperatures would continue to warm. The reason for this is because more factors than just variations in the Sun’s output change global temperatures on Earth, the most dominant of those today is the warming coming from human-induced greenhouse gas emissions.
« Last Edit: December 01, 2020, 06:16:19 PM by icey »

 

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